Holland Colours NV (HOLCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Holland Colours NV €71.75, price €78.00, upside -8.0%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €75.50 – €169.14 · fair‑value band €66.82 – €93.29 · the €78.00 price screens above the €71.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Holland Colours N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing, distribution, and sales of color concentrates in Europe, the Middle East, India, Africa, the United States, Asia, and internationally.
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Holland Colours N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing, distribution, and sales of color concentrates in Europe, the Middle East, India, Africa, the United States, Asia, and internationally. The company offers colorants for the building and construction industry, including profiles, pipes, tubing and fittings, siding and cladding, decking, fencing, window blinds, and insulation, as well as solutions for a range of polymers. It also provides colorants for packaging applications comprising water, carbonated soft drinks, fruit juices, dairy, beer, wine, detergents, pharmaceutical, and personal care products. In addition, the company offers coatings, sealants, or adhesives; and colorants for other applications, such as shopping bags, polybags, mulch films, OPP tapes, PU flexible foams, synthetic leather, fiber glass and buttons, paving blocks, artificial stones, cast PMMA, PP non-woven and spunbond, coatings, flexible PVCs, prosthetics, glass fiber reinforced nylon, and silicone rubber and elastomers. Further, the company offers custom color solutions for applications in PVC- and PU-coated fabrics, and consumer, automotive and industrial goods. It sells its products through a network of suppliers, agents, and distributors. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Apeldoorn, the Netherlands. Holland Colours N.V. is a subsidiary of Holland Pigments BV.
Stock analysis
Holland Colours NV (HOLCO) currently trades at €78.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €71.75, implying the stock looks roughly 8.7% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €68.84 per share, and 3 of the 14 models we run sit above the €78.00 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at €40.79, and 11 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €66.82 (bear) to €93.29 (bull), the price of €78.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Holland Colours NV reported revenue of €109M in FY2026 versus €110M in FY2022, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was €3.5M in FY2026, compounding −23.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap €67.1M · P/E ratio 19.3 · P/S ratio 0.62 · EPS (TTM) €4.05 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 3.2% · Return on equity 5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −8%, HOLCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €66.82Fair Value €71.75Bull €93.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.9844 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.0% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18% vs 0%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 4%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 713 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.6% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
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Is Holland Colours NV (HOLCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €71.75 versus a price of €78.00, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HOLCO?
Our model-based fair value for Holland Colours NV is €71.75 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €78.00.
What is the quality score of HOLCO?
Holland Colours NV has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €71.75 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario €66.82, optimistic scenario €93.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Holland Colours NV stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €71.75, about −8% upside versus a price of €78.00 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €66.82, optimistic scenario €93.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
Holland Colours NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €109M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Holland Colours NV pay a dividend?
Holland Colours NV currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.59% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Holland Colours NV it is €71.75 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €78.00. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Holland Colours NV stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, HOLCO trades above its calculated fair value: price €78.00, fair value €71.75, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HOLCO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€78.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€71.75). For Holland Colours NV the two are €6.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Holland Colours NV worth?
The market values Holland Colours NV at about €67.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €78.00; our models calculate a fair value of €71.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HOLCO?
Our models span a range for Holland Colours NV: cautious scenario €66.82, base €71.75, optimistic €93.29 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €78.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HOLCO?
Holland Colours NV trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €71.75 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 8.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Holland Colours NV (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 5.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HOLCO from its 52-week high?
Holland Colours NV trades at €78.00, about 26% below its 52-week high of €105.00 and 3% above the low of €75.50 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €71.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Holland Colours NV?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Holland Colours NV stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €78.00, calculated fair value €71.75 (−8%), Quality Score 58/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HOLCO calculated?
We run Holland Colours NV through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €71.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Holland Colours NV itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €78.00. Our model-based fair value is €71.75, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Holland Colours NV right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Holland Colours NV (HOLCO) come from?
Earnings per share at Holland Colours NV grew +1.9 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.4 %, EBIT margin −3.7 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Holland Colours NV
How large is the market capitalisation of Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
The market capitalisation of Holland Colours NV is €67.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Holland Colours NV is 0.62 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
Earnings per share at Holland Colours NV are €4.05 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
The dividend yield of Holland Colours NV is 2.6% (payout 49.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
The net margin of Holland Colours NV is 3.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Holland Colours NV is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Holland Colours NV is 10.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
The operating margin of Holland Colours NV is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
Revenue at Holland Colours NV is growing −6.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Holland Colours NV (HOLCO)?
Earnings per share at Holland Colours NV are growing −43.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Holland Colours NV (HOLCO) generate?
The free cash flow of Holland Colours NV is −€3.2M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Holland Colours NV (HOLCO) hold?
Holland Colours NV holds more cash than debt, €9.3M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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