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Holland Colours N.V (HOLCO) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · NL · Market cap €69.7M

HC Holland Colours N.V HOLCO · AS
Price€77.50
Fair Value€71.75
Upside-7.4%
Quality58/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
2.56% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: Medium Range €66.82 – €93.29 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from €55.44 to €71.75 (+29.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.3% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from €66.82 (bear) to €93.29 (bull), base €71.75. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 58/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€169.14 €75.50 Fair Value €71.75 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €75.50 – €169.14 · fair‑value band €66.82 – €93.29 · the €77.50 price screens above the €71.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Holland Colours N.V (HOLCO) currently trades at €77.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €71.75, implying the stock looks roughly 7.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Holland Colours N.V generated revenue of €112M at a net margin of 4.0%. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €9.3M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 21.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €66.82 (bear case) to €93.29 (bull case); at €77.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -7%, HOLCO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €49.41 €48.66 €42.63 76
ROIC Compounder €40.67 €44.13 €46.94 72
Growth-Adj P/E €38.81 €55.44 €72.08 68
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €33.99 €40.21 €47.27 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €27.54 €60.03 €76.43 54
PEG = 1.0 €9.44 €13.48 €17.53 46
EPV €40.67 €44.13 €46.94 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €51.63 €68.84 €86.05 63
P/S Multiple €51.63 €68.84 €86.05 58
P/B Multiple €51.63 €68.84 €86.05 55
EV/EBIT €67.55 €86.12 €104.69 53
EV/EBITDA €83.40 €107.25 €131.09 54
EV/Revenue €60.13 €80.82 €101.51 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €35.14 €47.08 €70.27 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €49.41 €48.66 €42.63 76
ROIC Compounder €40.67 €44.13 €46.94 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €38.81 €55.44 €72.08 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€68.84) versus DCF Models (€40.21). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €112M
Net margin 4.0%
Return on equity 7.6%
Free cash flow −€3.2M FY2026
P/E ratio 21.7
Operating margin 4.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €4.05
EPS growth (YoY) -39.3%
Net cash €9.3M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Holland Colours N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing, distribution, and sales of color concentrates in Europe, the Middle East, India, Africa, the United States, Asia, and internationally.

Full company description

Holland Colours N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing, distribution, and sales of color concentrates in Europe, the Middle East, India, Africa, the United States, Asia, and internationally. The company offers colorants for the building and construction industry, including profiles, pipes, tubing and fittings, siding and cladding, decking, fencing, window blinds, and insulation, as well as solutions for a range of polymers. It also provides colorants for packaging applications comprising water, carbonated soft drinks, fruit juices, dairy, beer, wine, detergents, pharmaceutical, and personal care products. In addition, the company offers coatings, sealants, or adhesives; and colorants for other applications, such as shopping bags, polybags, mulch films, OPP tapes, PU flexible foams, synthetic leather, fiber glass and buttons, paving blocks, artificial stones, cast PMMA, PP non-woven and spunbond, coatings, flexible PVCs, prosthetics, glass fiber reinforced nylon, and silicone rubber and elastomers. Further, the company offers custom color solutions for applications in PVC- and PU-coated fabrics, and consumer, automotive and industrial goods. It sells its products through a network of suppliers, agents, and distributors. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Apeldoorn, the Netherlands. Holland Colours N.V. is a subsidiary of Holland Pigments BV.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Holland Colours N.V reported revenue of €109M in FY2026 versus €110M in FY2022, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was €3.5M in FY2026, compounding −23.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 25/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
€109M
Latest YoY
−3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Revenue −0.3%/yr
FY22 €110M
FY23 €111M
FY24 €103M
FY25 €112M
FY26 €109M
Net income −23.5%/yr
FY22 €10.2M
FY23 €5.9M
FY24 €5.2M
FY25 €5.9M
FY26 €3.5M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +1.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.4 pp

of which total revenue +4.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −3.7 pp
Tax rate +0.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Holland Colours N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HOLCO

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −7% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.33× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.74× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 23 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 22 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 51 · sector 25

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Holland Colours N.V (HOLCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €71.75 versus a price of €77.50, about −7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HOLCO?
Our model-based fair value for Holland Colours N.V is €71.75 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €77.50.
What is the quality score of HOLCO?
Holland Colours N.V has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Holland Colours N.V (HOLCO)?
Holland Colours N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €112M (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HOLCO?
The net profit margin of Holland Colours N.V is about 4.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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