High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of High Quality Food S.p.A €0.88, price €0.50, upside +76.0%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
51‑month range €0.4600 – €1.71 · fair‑value band €0.6500 – €1.28 · the €0.5000 price screens below the €0.8800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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High Quality Food S.p.A. engages in the production, transformation, and distribution of food products in Italy and internationally.
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High Quality Food S.p.A. engages in the production, transformation, and distribution of food products in Italy and internationally. It offers meat, cured meat, cheese, fish, shellfish and caviar, fruits, vegetables and herbs, rice and pasta, oils, vinegars and essences, flours, cereals, legumes and yeasts, salts, spices and sugars, mushrooms and truffles, eggs, milk and related derivatives, sweets and pastries, jams, marmalades and jellies, gastronomy products, sauces and condiments, ethnic products, preserved and canned products, wines and drinks, and agricultural products. The company sells its products through Buongusterai, an e-commerce portal; and operates an online catalog for raw materials. High Quality Food S.p.A. was founded in 2003 and is based in Rome, Italy.
Stock analysis
High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF) currently trades at €0.5000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.8800, implying the stock looks roughly 43.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €1.42 per share, and 13 of the 15 models we run sit above the €0.5000 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.3700, and 2 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €0.6500 (bear) to €1.28 (bull), the price of €0.5000 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
High Quality Food S.p.A reported revenue of €20.1M in FY2025 versus €15.0M in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was €584K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €5.6M · P/E ratio 50.0 · P/S ratio 1.45 · EPS (TTM) €0.0100 · Net margin 2.9% · Return on equity 2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.4% · Operating margin −1.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 76%, HQF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €0.6500Fair Value €0.8800Bull €1.28
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0073 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−2% → 6%
Compare High Quality Food S.p.A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+76% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.36× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
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Is High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.8800 versus a price of €0.5000, about +76% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HQF?
Our model-based fair value for High Quality Food S.p.A is €0.8800 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.5000.
What is the quality score of HQF?
High Quality Food S.p.A has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.8800 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.6500, optimistic scenario €1.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the High Quality Food S.p.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.8800, about +76% upside versus a price of €0.5000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €0.6500, optimistic scenario €1.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF)?
High Quality Food S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €19.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For High Quality Food S.p.A it is €0.8800 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €0.5000. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is High Quality Food S.p.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, HQF trades below its calculated fair value: price €0.5000, fair value €0.8800, a gap of about +76% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HQF?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.5000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.8800). For High Quality Food S.p.A the two are €0.3800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is High Quality Food S.p.A worth?
The market values High Quality Food S.p.A at about €5.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €0.5000; our models calculate a fair value of €0.8800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HQF?
Our models span a range for High Quality Food S.p.A: cautious scenario €0.6500, base €0.8800, optimistic €1.28 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €0.5000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HQF?
High Quality Food S.p.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 50.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €0.8800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF)?
Balance-sheet figures for High Quality Food S.p.A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.0%, debt of 0.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HQF from its 52-week high?
High Quality Food S.p.A trades at €0.5000, about 24% below its 52-week high of €0.6560 and 9% above the low of €0.4600 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.8800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to High Quality Food S.p.A?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is High Quality Food S.p.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €0.5000, calculated fair value €0.8800 (+76%), Quality Score 28/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HQF calculated?
We run High Quality Food S.p.A through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.8800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. High Quality Food S.p.A currently trades 76 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €0.5000. Our model-based fair value is €0.8800, about +76% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with High Quality Food S.p.A right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (28/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (€0.6500). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€0.6500 to €1.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of High Quality Food S.p.A
How large is the market capitalisation of High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF)?
The market capitalisation of High Quality Food S.p.A is €5.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of High Quality Food S.p.A is 1.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF)?
Earnings per share at High Quality Food S.p.A are €0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 50.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF)?
The net margin of High Quality Food S.p.A is 2.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of High Quality Food S.p.A is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of High Quality Food S.p.A is 2.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF)?
The operating margin of High Quality Food S.p.A is −1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF)?
Revenue at High Quality Food S.p.A is growing +6.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF)?
Earnings per share at High Quality Food S.p.A are growing +19.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF) generate?
The free cash flow of High Quality Food S.p.A is −€1.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF) carry?
The net debt of High Quality Food S.p.A is €10.0M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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