High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IT · Market cap €6.5M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from €0.9800 to €0.8800 (−10.2%) since Jun 24, 2026.
Below-average quality, screening 74% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (28/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€0.6600). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (€0.6600 to €1.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
50‑month range €0.4600 – €1.71 · fair‑value band €0.6600 – €1.29 · the €0.5050 price screens below the €0.8800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
High Quality Food S.p.A (HQF) currently trades at €0.5050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.8800, implying the stock looks roughly 74.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, High Quality Food S.p.A generated revenue of €19.5M at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. Net debt stands at €10.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.6600 (bear case) to €1.29 (bull case); at €0.5050, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 74%, HQF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€1.09) versus DCF Models (€0.3700). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
High Quality Food S.p.A. engages in the production, transformation, and distribution of food products in Italy and internationally.
Full company description
High Quality Food S.p.A. engages in the production, transformation, and distribution of food products in Italy and internationally. It offers meat, cured meat, cheese, fish, shellfish and caviar, fruits, vegetables and herbs, rice and pasta, oils, vinegars and essences, flours, cereals, legumes and yeasts, salts, spices and sugars, mushrooms and truffles, eggs, milk and related derivatives, sweets and pastries, jams, marmalades and jellies, gastronomy products, sauces and condiments, ethnic products, preserved and canned products, wines and drinks, and agricultural products. The company sells its products through Buongusterai, an e-commerce portal; and operates an online catalog for raw materials. High Quality Food S.p.A. was founded in 2003 and is based in Rome, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
High Quality Food S.p.A reported revenue of €20.1M in FY2025 versus €15.0M in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was €584K in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Food Distribution · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $81.69 | $60.58 | -26% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $99.13 | $55.10 | -44% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $113.17 | $37.94 | -66% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €17.68 | €21.59 | +22% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.90 THB | 17.04 THB | +14% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $95.79 | $37.27 | -61% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.33 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +59% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $50.19 | $6.00 | -88% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $79.24 | $47.78 | -40% |
| Metcash Limited MTS | A$2.92 | A$5.33 | +83% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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