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Haad Thip Public Company (HTC) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 6.4B THB

HT Haad Thip Public Company HTC · BK
Price15.70 THB
Fair Value16.17 THB
Upside+3.0%
Quality54/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 8.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.19% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range 9.84 THB – 24.42 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 22.25 THB to 16.17 THB (−27.3%) since Jul 19, 2026.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (9.84 THB to 24.42 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

17.37 THB 10.83 THB Fair Value 16.17 THB Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 10.83 THB – 17.37 THB · fair‑value band 9.84 THB – 24.42 THB · the 15.70 THB price screens below the 16.17 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Haad Thip Public Company (HTC) currently trades at 15.70 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.17 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Haad Thip Public Company generated revenue of 6.9B THB at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue grew 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.4%. Net debt stands at 1.3B THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 9.84 THB (bear case) to 24.42 THB (bull case); at 15.70 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 3%, HTC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 3.47 THB 5.72 THB 8.73 THB 80
Residual Income 10.01 THB 11.84 THB 20.34 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 8.55 THB 15.70 THB 23.51 THB 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 3.36 THB 5.85 THB 9.35 THB 38
Owner Earnings 5.03 THB 8.29 THB 12.87 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 8.55 THB 15.77 THB 24.92 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 14.93 THB 27.36 THB 41.64 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 12.28 THB 22.54 THB 33.06 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 6.10 THB 12.09 THB 19.95 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 10.44 THB 19.83 THB 32.09 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 8.80 THB 16.61 THB 25.86 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 9.61 THB 25.57 THB 33.44 THB 54
Lynch FV 4.95 THB 7.07 THB 9.19 THB 50
PEG = 1.0 4.95 THB 7.07 THB 9.19 THB 46
EPV 9.45 THB 11.27 THB 12.84 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 8.96 THB 17.85 THB 27.03 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 8.96 THB 13.65 THB 18.45 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 22.27 THB 29.69 THB 37.11 THB 63
P/S Multiple 18.03 THB 24.03 THB 30.04 THB 58
P/B Multiple 18.03 THB 24.03 THB 30.04 THB 55
EV/EBIT 18.25 THB 25.02 THB 31.80 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 24.99 THB 34.01 THB 43.03 THB 54
EV/Revenue 12.43 THB 18.65 THB 24.87 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5.28 THB 7.07 THB 10.55 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 3.47 THB 5.72 THB 8.73 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 8.55 THB 15.70 THB 23.51 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 10.01 THB 11.84 THB 20.34 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 9.45 THB 11.58 THB 14.45 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 17.49 THB 24.98 THB 32.48 THB 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (24.98 THB) versus Growth DCF (5.72 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.9B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.4%
Net margin 8.5%
Return on equity 13.4%
Free cash flow 210M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 10.8
More key figures
Operating margin 10.6%
EPS (TTM) 1.46 THB
Dividend yield 6.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.9%
Net debt 1.3B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 64
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Haad Thip Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes soft drinks in Thailand. The company operates through Carbonated Soft Drink and Real Estate segments.

Full company description

Haad Thip Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes soft drinks in Thailand. The company operates through Carbonated Soft Drink and Real Estate segments. It provides sparkling beverages under the Coca-Cola, Fanta, and Sprite trademarks; and non-carbonated/still beverages under the Minute Maid and Namthip Drinking Water trademarks. The company also manufactures and distributes plastic bottles and semi-finished plastic bottles; and provides plastic bottle blowing services, as well as develops real estate properties. In addition, it provides food and snack products under Green Nut, Taro, Tabi, and Norita brands; personal and home care products; and own restaurants. The company was founded in 1969 and is based in Songkhla, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Haad Thip Public Company reported revenue of 6.5B THB in FY2025 versus 6.5B THB in FY2021, a compound +0.0%/yr. Reported net income was 568M THB in FY2025, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.5B THB
Latest YoY
−19.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Revenue +0.0%/yr
FY21 6.5B THB
FY22 7.0B THB
FY23 7.8B THB
FY24 8.1B THB
FY25 6.5B THB
Net income +1.5%/yr
FY21 535M THB
FY22 435M THB
FY23 599M THB
FY24 602M THB
FY25 568M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +7.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share −4.2 pp

of which total revenue +3.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −7.8 pp

EBIT margin +14.4 pp
Tax rate −2.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Haad Thip Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HTC

Peer Group

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 90 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside +3% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.52× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.94× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 37 · sector 21
FUTURE 57 · sector 46
PAST 54 · sector 53
HEALTH 87 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 48

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company KO $86.71 $36.57 -58%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $138.70 $106.91 -23%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $45.98 $35.82 -22%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$42.54 HK$30.90 -27%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP €92.10 €70.86 -23%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $29.56 $30.99 +5%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOFUBL 180.76 MXN 159.53 MXN -12%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €54.20 €46.77 -14%
Arca Continental, S.A. AC 198.23 MXN 242.13 MXN +22%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹438.45 ₹187.49 -57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Haad Thip Public Company (HTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.17 THB versus a price of 15.70 THB, about +3% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HTC?
Our model-based fair value for Haad Thip Public Company is 16.17 THB (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 15.70 THB.
What is the quality score of HTC?
Haad Thip Public Company has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Haad Thip Public Company (HTC)?
Haad Thip Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.9B THB (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HTC?
The net profit margin of Haad Thip Public Company is about 8.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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