Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Haad Thip Public Company Limited stock THB 13.57, price THB 15.40, that is 11.9% below the price, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10.58 THB – 16.96 THB · fair‑value band 9.07 THB – 21.36 THB · the 15.40 THB price screens above the 13.57 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.
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Haad Thip Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes soft drinks in Thailand. The company operates through Carbonated Soft Drink and Real Estate segments.
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It provides sparkling beverages under the Coca-Cola, Fanta, and Sprite trademarks; and non-carbonated/still beverages under the Minute Maid and Namthip Drinking Water trademarks.
The company also manufactures and distributes plastic bottles and semi-finished plastic bottles; and provides plastic bottle blowing services, as well as develops real estate properties.
In addition, it provides food and snack products under Green Nut, Taro, Tabi, and Norita brands; personal and home care products; and own restaurants. The company was founded in 1969 and is based in Songkhla, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) currently trades at 15.40 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.57 THB, 12% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 26.86 THB per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the 15.40 THB price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 7.00 THB, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 9.07 THB (bear) to 21.36 THB (bull), the price of 15.40 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Haad Thip Public Company Limited reported revenue of 6.5B THB in FY2025 versus 6.5B THB in FY2021, a compound +0.0%/yr. Reported net income was 568M THB in FY2025, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.2B THB (≈ $183M) Micro · P/E ratio 11.4 · P/S ratio 0.88 · EPS (TTM) 1.35 THB · Dividend yield 5.9% · Net margin 7.7% · Return on equity 12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −12%, HTC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear9.07 THBFair Value 13.57 THBBull21.36 THB
Price 15.40 THB · Downside -11.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.3821 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.9% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−6.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11.9% vs 9.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 10%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.9% a year for the price.
Compare Haad Thip Public Company Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 89 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Below median
Fair Value upside−11.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)12.7% · Above median
Return on assets7.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)7.7% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)6.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)9.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)5.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.25× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Haad Thip Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HTC
Frequently asked questions
Is Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.57 THB versus a price of 15.40 THB, about 12% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HTC?
Our model-based fair value for Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 13.57 THB (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 15.40 THB.
What is the quality score of HTC?
Haad Thip Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.57 THB (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 9.07 THB, optimistic scenario 21.36 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Haad Thip Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.57 THB, about 12% lower versus a price of 15.40 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 9.07 THB, optimistic scenario 21.36 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
Haad Thip Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.1B THB (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
Does Haad Thip Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Haad Thip Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 5.91% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 11, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Haad Thip Public Company Limited pays a dividend of 0.91 THB per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.9%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 9, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2009. The payout ratio is 67.4% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.57 times. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What growth is priced into Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Haad Thip Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +28.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.3 % per year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HTC use?
Our models discount Haad Thip Public Company Limited at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.24, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Haad Thip Public Company Limited that is +28.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Haad Thip Public Company Limited grew +0.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +28.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Haad Thip Public Company Limited (+28.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.39 %: that much free cash flow Haad Thip Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Haad Thip Public Company Limited it is 13.57 THB per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of 15.40 THB. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Haad Thip Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, HTC trades above its calculated fair value: price 15.40 THB, fair value 13.57 THB, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HTC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (15.40 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.57 THB). For Haad Thip Public Company Limited the two are 1.83 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Haad Thip Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Haad Thip Public Company Limited at about 6.2B THB (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is 15.40 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 13.57 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HTC?
Our models span a range for Haad Thip Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 9.07 THB, base 13.57 THB, optimistic 21.36 THB per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price 15.40 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HTC?
Haad Thip Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.4 (as of Nov 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 13.57 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 6.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Haad Thip Public Company Limited (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity 12.7%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HTC from its 52-week high?
Haad Thip Public Company Limited trades at 15.40 THB, about 6% below its 52-week high of 16.41 THB and 11% above the low of 13.86 THB (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.57 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Haad Thip Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Haad Thip Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price 15.40 THB, calculated fair value 13.57 THB (−12%), Quality Score 54/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HTC calculated?
We run Haad Thip Public Company Limited through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 13.57 THB builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. Haad Thip Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was 15.40 THB. Our model-based fair value is 13.57 THB, about 12% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Haad Thip Public Company Limited right now?
A fairly wide model range (9.07 THB to 21.36 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) come from?
Earnings per share at Haad Thip Public Company Limited grew +7.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.2 %, EBIT margin +14.4 %, tax rate −2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Haad Thip Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The market capitalisation of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 6.2B THB (≈ $183M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 0.88 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
Earnings per share at Haad Thip Public Company Limited are 1.35 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The dividend yield of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 5.9% (payout 67.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The net margin of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 7.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The operating margin of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
Revenue at Haad Thip Public Company Limited is growing +9.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
Earnings per share at Haad Thip Public Company Limited are growing −28.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) carry?
The net debt of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 1.3B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 11, 2026