Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Haad Thip Public Company Limited THB 13.57, price THB 15.40, upside -11.9%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10.83 THB – 17.37 THB · fair‑value band 7.40 THB – 21.36 THB · the 15.40 THB price screens above the 13.57 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Haad Thip Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes soft drinks in Thailand. The company operates through Carbonated Soft Drink and Real Estate segments.
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Haad Thip Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes soft drinks in Thailand. The company operates through Carbonated Soft Drink and Real Estate segments. It provides sparkling beverages under the Coca-Cola, Fanta, and Sprite trademarks; and non-carbonated/still beverages under the Minute Maid and Namthip Drinking Water trademarks. The company also manufactures and distributes plastic bottles and semi-finished plastic bottles; and provides plastic bottle blowing services, as well as develops real estate properties. In addition, it provides food and snack products under Green Nut, Taro, Tabi, and Norita brands; personal and home care products; and own restaurants. The company was founded in 1969 and is based in Songkhla, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) currently trades at 15.40 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.57 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 13.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 24.98 THB per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the 15.40 THB price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 4.24 THB, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 7.40 THB (bear) to 21.36 THB (bull), the price of 15.40 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Haad Thip Public Company Limited reported revenue of 6.5B THB in FY2025 versus 6.5B THB in FY2021, a compound +0.0%/yr. Reported net income was 568M THB in FY2025, compounding +1.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.2B THB (≈ $184M) · P/E ratio 10.5 · P/S ratio 0.92 · EPS (TTM) 1.46 THB · Dividend yield 5.9% · Net margin 8.7% · Return on equity 13.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −12%, HTC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 7.40 THBFair Value 13.57 THBBull 21.36 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.4099 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.9% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−6.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11.9% vs 9.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+28.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.9% a year for the price.
Compare Haad Thip Public Company Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 88 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Below median
Fair Value upside−11.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13.4% · Above median
Return on assets6.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)8.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth11.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.25× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Haad Thip Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HTC
Frequently asked questions
Is Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 13.57 THB versus a price of 15.40 THB, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HTC?
Our model-based fair value for Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 13.57 THB (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 15.40 THB.
What is the quality score of HTC?
Haad Thip Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 13.57 THB (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 7.40 THB, optimistic scenario 21.36 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Haad Thip Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 13.57 THB, about −12% upside versus a price of 15.40 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 7.40 THB, optimistic scenario 21.36 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
Haad Thip Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.9B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Haad Thip Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Haad Thip Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.91% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Haad Thip Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +28.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HTC use?
Our models discount Haad Thip Public Company Limited at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.29, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Haad Thip Public Company Limited that is +28.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Haad Thip Public Company Limited grew +0.3 % a year. The price currently implies +28.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Haad Thip Public Company Limited (+28.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.39 %: that much free cash flow Haad Thip Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Haad Thip Public Company Limited it is 13.57 THB per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 15.40 THB. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Haad Thip Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, HTC trades above its calculated fair value: price 15.40 THB, fair value 13.57 THB, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HTC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (15.40 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (13.57 THB). For Haad Thip Public Company Limited the two are 1.83 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Haad Thip Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Haad Thip Public Company Limited at about 6.2B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 15.40 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 13.57 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HTC?
Our models span a range for Haad Thip Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 7.40 THB, base 13.57 THB, optimistic 21.36 THB per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 15.40 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HTC?
Haad Thip Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 13.57 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 6.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Haad Thip Public Company Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 13.4%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HTC from its 52-week high?
Haad Thip Public Company Limited trades at 15.40 THB, about 8% below its 52-week high of 16.80 THB and 9% above the low of 14.09 THB (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 13.57 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Haad Thip Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Haad Thip Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 15.40 THB, calculated fair value 13.57 THB (−12%), Quality Score 54/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HTC calculated?
We run Haad Thip Public Company Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 13.57 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Haad Thip Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was 15.40 THB. Our model-based fair value is 13.57 THB, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Haad Thip Public Company Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (7.40 THB to 21.36 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) come from?
Earnings per share at Haad Thip Public Company Limited grew +7.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −4.2 %, EBIT margin +14.4 %, tax rate −2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Haad Thip Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The market capitalisation of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 6.2B THB (≈ $184M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 0.92 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
Earnings per share at Haad Thip Public Company Limited are 1.46 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The dividend yield of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 5.9% (payout 62.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The net margin of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 8.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 13.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
The operating margin of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
Revenue at Haad Thip Public Company Limited is growing +11.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC)?
Earnings per share at Haad Thip Public Company Limited are growing +8.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Haad Thip Public Company Limited (HTC) carry?
The net debt of Haad Thip Public Company Limited is 1.3B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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