Heiwa Real Estate Co (HWARF) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $907M
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $15.18 to $14.94 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (19 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
19‑month range $12.14 – $938,832 · fair‑value band $11.20 – $18.24 · the $13.67 price screens below the $14.94 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
Heiwa Real Estate Co (HWARF) currently trades at $13.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.94, implying the stock looks roughly 9.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Heiwa Real Estate Co generated revenue of $50.9B at a net margin of 21.7%. Revenue grew 19.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. Net debt stands at $226B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $11.20 (bear case) to $18.24 (bull case); at $13.67, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 9%, HWARF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($1,782) versus Asset-Based ($1,191). Highest evidence: Residual Income (61).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Heiwa Real Estate Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate company in Japan. It operates in two segments, Building Business and Asset Management Business. The company develops, leases, manages, and sells stock exchange buildings, office buildings, commercial facilities, and housing. It also provides property management and real estate agency services.
Full company description
Heiwa Real Estate Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate company in Japan. It operates in two segments, Building Business and Asset Management Business. The company develops, leases, manages, and sells stock exchange buildings, office buildings, commercial facilities, and housing. It also provides property management and real estate agency services. The company was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Heiwa Real Estate Co reported revenue of $42.1B in FY2025 versus $35.0B in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was $9.6B in FY2025, compounding +7.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Diversified · 138 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 129.20 | CHF 44.83 | -65% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 68.75 THB | 71.37 THB | +4% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,733 | ₹645.21 | -63% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹2,076 | ₹701.74 | -66% |
| Fastighets AB BALDB | kr 50.42 | kr 70.70 | +40% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 16.39 SAR | 11.62 SAR | -29% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.89 | ¥0.3300 | -89% |
| Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co 000029 | ¥19.95 | ¥4.60 | -77% |
| Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO | 3,940 CLP | 2,777 CLP | -30% |
| Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A. VESTA | 59.57 MXN | 53.94 MXN | -9% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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