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Harworth Group (HWG) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · GB · Market cap 397M GBX

HG Harworth Group HWG · LSE
Price£1.26
Fair Value£0.5000
Upside-60.4%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range £0.3700 – £0.6200

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from £1.36 to £0.5000 (−63.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

£1.97 £1.26 Fair Value £0.5000 Jul 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range £1.26 – £1.97 · fair‑value band £0.3700 – £0.6200 · the £1.26 price screens above the £0.5000 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Harworth Group (HWG) currently trades at £1.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.5000 — implying the stock looks roughly 60.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Harworth Group generated revenue of £130M at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue declined 41.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. Net debt stands at £147M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 130M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -41.3%
Net margin 7.3%
Return on equity 1.4%
Free cash flow −61.1M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 40.7
More key figures
Operating margin -14.8%
EPS (TTM) £0.0300
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -35.6%
Net debt 147M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Harworth Group plc operates as a regeneration, strategic land, and development businesses. It operates through two segments, Income Generation and Capital Growth. The Income Generation segment is involved in generating rental returns from the investment portfolio; rental returns and royalties from energy generation, environmental technologies, and the agricultural portfolio; and provision of recycled aggregates products. The Capital Growth segment engages in the planning and development, value engineering, proactive asset management, and strategic land acquisition activities. Its property portfolio includes commercial, industrial and logistics, and residential properties. The company was formerly known as Coalfield Resources plc and changed its name to Harworth Group plc in March 2015. Harworth Group plc was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Rotherham, the United Kingdom.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Harworth Group reported revenue of £131M in FY2025 versus £110M in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was £9.5M in FY2025, compounding −43.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY21 £110M
FY22 £167M
FY23 £72.4M
FY24 £182M
FY25 £131M
Net income −43.7%/yr
FY21 £94.0M
FY22 £27.8M
FY23 £38.0M
FY24 £57.2M
FY25 £9.5M

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Similar stocks

6 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

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DLF Limited DLF ₹612.35 ₹159.49 -74%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,650 IDR 1,330 IDR -80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹862.00 ₹721.45 -16%
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Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹1,642 ₹788.35 -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Harworth Group (HWG) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.5000 versus a price of £1.26 — about −60% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HWG?
Our 21-model fair value for Harworth Group is £0.5000 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £1.26.
What is the quality score of HWG?
Harworth Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Harworth Group (HWG)?
Harworth Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £130M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HWG?
The net profit margin of Harworth Group is about 7.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Harworth Group pay a dividend?
Harworth Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.49% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.