Hawkins, Inc (HWKN) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.9B
Hawkins, Inc
HWKN · US
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $66.43 to $66.31 (−0.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($82.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($39.38 to $82.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $28.95 – $183.81 · fair‑value band $39.38 – $82.89 · the $129.91 price screens above the $66.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Hawkins, Inc (HWKN) currently trades at $129.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $66.31, implying the stock looks roughly 49.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hawkins, Inc generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue declined 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. Net debt stands at $258M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $39.38 (bear case) to $82.89 (bull case); at $129.91, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -49%, HWKN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($66.85) versus Dividend Discount ($11.33). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hawkins, Inc. operates as a water treatment and specialty ingredients company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions.
Full company description
Hawkins, Inc. operates as a water treatment and specialty ingredients company in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Water Treatment, Food and Health Sciences, and Industrial Solutions. The Water Treatment segment provides chemicals, filtration media and systems, equipment, services and solutions for potable water, municipal and industrial wastewater, industrial process water, non-residential swimming pool water, and agricultural water. This segment also sells and services equipment, including tanks, valves, and pumps. The Food and Health Sciences segment provide ingredient distribution, processing, and formulation solutions, such as base chemistry, acid-based reactions, minerals, vitamins and amino acids, excipients, botanicals and herbs, sweeteners and enzymes, fertilizers, and food-grade and pharmaceutical salts and ingredients to nutrition, food, pharmaceutical, and agricultural markets. The Industrial Solutions segment offers industrial chemicals, products, and services such as acids and alkalis, liquid caustic soda, sulfuric acid, hydrochloric acid, urea, phosphoric acid, aqua ammonia, and potassium hydroxide to industrial manufacturing, chemical processing, electronics, energy, plating, and surface finishing industries. It also repackages water treatment chemicals and bulk industrial chemicals; and performs custom blending of chemicals. Hawkins, Inc. was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Roseville, Minnesota.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Hawkins, Inc reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2026 versus $775M in FY2022, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was $81.5M in FY2026, compounding +12.2%/yr from FY2022.
HWKN screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Hawkins (HWKN) Q1 Earnings Lag Estimates
- Hawkins, Inc. Reports First Quarter Fiscal 2027 Results
- Hawkins, Inc. Increases its Quarterly Cash Dividend by 5% to $0.20 Per Share
- AXTA vs. HWKN: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 66/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $489.98 | $222.03 | -55% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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