Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A $0.70, price $0.39, upside +80.7%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range $0.3450 – $4.00 · fair‑value band $0.5189 – $0.9116 · the $0.3880 price screens below the $0.7012 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Haoxin Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides temperature-controlled truckload and urban delivery services in the People's Republic of China. The company focuses on transporting factory logistics, including electronic devices, chemicals, fruit, food, and commercial goods.
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Haoxin Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides temperature-controlled truckload and urban delivery services in the People's Republic of China. The company focuses on transporting factory logistics, including electronic devices, chemicals, fruit, food, and commercial goods. It operates a truckload fleet with 82 tractors, 87 trailers, and 44 vans. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Ningbo, China. Haoxin Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of TZJ Global (BVI) Limited.
Stock analysis
Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (HXHX) currently trades at $0.3880, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7012, implying the stock looks roughly 44.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $5.50 per share, and 14 of the 14 models we run sit above the $0.3880 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.35, and 0 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.5189 (bear) to $0.9116 (bull), the price of $0.3880 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares reported revenue of $33.0M in FY2025 versus $29.9M in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was $4.0M in FY2025, compounding −6.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $6.0M · P/E ratio 1.5 · P/S ratio 0.18 · EPS (TTM) $0.2700 · Net margin 12.0% · Return on equity 17.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.5% · Operating margin 23.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 74% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 81%, HXHX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.5189Fair Value $0.7012Bull $0.9116
Price $0.3880 · Upside +80.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2049 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+4.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2023 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 23%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 210 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HXHX
Frequently asked questions
Is Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7012 versus a price of $0.3880, about +81% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HXHX?
Our model-based fair value for Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is $0.7012 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.3880.
What is the quality score of HXHX?
Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7012 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5189, optimistic scenario $0.9116. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.7012, about +81% upside versus a price of $0.3880 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.5189, optimistic scenario $0.9116. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX)?
Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $33.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares it is $0.7012 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $0.3880. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, HXHX trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.3880, fair value $0.7012, a gap of about +81% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HXHX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.3880); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7012). For Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares the two are $0.3132 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares worth?
The market values Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares at about $6.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $0.3880; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7012 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HXHX?
Our models span a range for Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares: cautious scenario $0.5189, base $0.7012, optimistic $0.9116 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $0.3880). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HXHX?
Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 1.5 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.7012 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 1.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 17.3%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HXHX from its 52-week high?
Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares trades at $0.3880, about 74% below its 52-week high of $1.49 and 12% above the low of $0.3450 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7012 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $0.3880, calculated fair value $0.7012 (+81%), Quality Score 45/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HXHX calculated?
We run Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7012, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares currently trades 45 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.3880. Our model-based fair value is $0.7012, about +81% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.5189). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
How large is the market capitalisation of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX)?
The market capitalisation of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is $6.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is 0.18 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX)?
Earnings per share at Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares are $0.2700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 1.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX)?
The net margin of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is 12.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is 17.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is 23.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX)?
The operating margin of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is 23.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX)?
Revenue at Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is growing −6.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX)?
Earnings per share at Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares are growing −2.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX) generate?
The free cash flow of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is −$14.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A (HXHX) carry?
The net debt of Haoxin Holdings Limited Class A Ordinary Shares is $10.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 27, 2026