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Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A (IGD) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · IT · Market cap €485M

IG Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A IGD · MI
Price€4.08
Fair Value€4.93
Upside+20.8%
Quality58/100
Watch Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 25.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.40% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range €3.70 – €4.93 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 21% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€4.55 €1.31 Fair Value €4.93 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.31 – €4.55 · fair‑value band €3.70 – €4.93 · the €4.08 price screens below the €4.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A (IGD) currently trades at €4.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.93, implying the stock looks roughly 20.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A generated revenue of €141M at a net margin of 25.6%. Revenue grew 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. Net debt stands at €773M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €3.70 (bear case) to €4.93 (bull case); at €4.08, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at 21%, IGD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €6.17 €5.88 €4.65 76
Rev-Margin DCF €2.55 74
Gordon GGM €0.7800 €0.9400 €1.10 70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit €3.07 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €3.70 €9.05 41
10Y EBITDA Exit €0.3500 €3.57 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.7800 €0.9400 €1.10 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.7800 €0.9900 €1.22 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple €3.70 €4.93 €6.16 58
P/B Multiple €3.70 €4.93 €6.16 55
EV/EBIT €7.56 €12.35 €17.14 53
EV/EBITDA €4.74 €8.59 €12.45 54
EV/Revenue €2.11 €4.79 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €4.50 €6.03 €9.00 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF €2.55 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €6.17 €5.88 €4.65 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€6.03) versus DCF Models (€0.3500). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €141M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.0%
Net margin 25.6%
Return on equity 3.7%
Free cash flow €23.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.3
More key figures
Operating margin 69.7%
EPS (TTM) €0.3300
Dividend yield 3.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +653%
Net debt €773M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A. is a key player in Italy's retail real estate sector. IGD owns a rich portfolio of shopping centres located throughout Italy, which are managed by in-house asset, property, facility and leasing management divisions. IGD also acts as a service provider, managing portfolios of institutional third parties.

Full company description

Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A. is a key player in Italy's retail real estate sector. IGD owns a rich portfolio of shopping centres located throughout Italy, which are managed by in-house asset, property, facility and leasing management divisions. IGD also acts as a service provider, managing portfolios of institutional third parties. An extensive domestic presence, a solid financial structure, the ability to plan, monitor and manage all phases of a center's life cycle, both freehold and leasehold, as well as ongoing investments in retail and technology innovation, ensure IGD's position as a point of reference in the retail real estate sector. The Company, listed on Borsa Italiana's STAR segment, was the first SIIQ (Società di Investimento Immobiliare Quotata or real estate investment trust) in Italy. IGD's freehold portfolio, valued at more than 1,704.8 million euros at 31 December 2025, includes 8 hypermarkets and supermarkets, 25 shopping malls and retail parks in Italy and a portfolio of shopping centres in 8 Romanian cities, which are managed directly based on the same model used in Italy. The Company also holds 40% of two real estate funds which are comprised of 13 hypermarkets, 4 supermarkets and 2 shopping malls for which IGD manages project, property & facility management activities. Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A. was incorporated in 1977 in Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A reported revenue of €141M in FY2025 versus €146M in FY2021, a compound −0.8%/yr. Reported net income was €32.0M in FY2025, compounding −11.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€141M
Latest YoY
−3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+4.4%
Revenue −0.8%/yr
FY21 €146M
FY22 €145M
FY23 €157M
FY24 €145M
FY25 €141M
Net income −11.8%/yr
FY21 €52.8M
FY22 −€22.3M
FY23 −€81.7M
FY24 −€30.1M
FY25 €32.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IGD

Peer Group

REIT - Retail · 107 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +21% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 26% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 70% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.76× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.56× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.97× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 23.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 27.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 61 · sector 9
FUTURE 5 · sector 22
PAST 15 · sector 30
HEALTH 62 · sector 66
DIVIDEND 68 · sector 100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A (IGD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.93 versus a price of €4.08, about +21% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IGD?
Our model-based fair value for Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A is €4.93 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €4.08.
What is the quality score of IGD?
Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A (IGD)?
Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €141M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IGD?
The net profit margin of Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A is about 25.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 25.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A pay a dividend?
Immobiliare Grande Distribuzione SIIQ S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.40% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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