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I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of I Grandi Viaggi SpA €1.05, price €1.80, upside -41.7%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · IT · ISIN IT0005108219

IG Some data Sep 23, 2026

I Grandi Viaggi SpA

IGV · MI

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value €1.05 · Strongly overvalued (−42%)
!Quality 61/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +16.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/13)
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 12 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€3.03 €0.7180 Fair Value €1.05 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.7180 – €3.03 · fair‑value band €0.8000 – €1.34 · the €1.80 price screens above the €1.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

I Grandi Viaggi S.p.A. engages in the travel and tourism business in Italy, Europe, and internationally. The company manages owned hotels; markets stay at third-party hotel facilities; and operates and organizes tours and cruises. I Grandi Viaggi S.p.A. was founded in 1931 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy. I Grandi Viaggi S.p.A.

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I Grandi Viaggi S.p.A. engages in the travel and tourism business in Italy, Europe, and internationally. The company manages owned hotels; markets stay at third-party hotel facilities; and operates and organizes tours and cruises. I Grandi Viaggi S.p.A. was founded in 1931 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy. I Grandi Viaggi S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of Monforte & C. S.R.L.

Stock analysis

I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV) currently trades at €1.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.05, implying the stock looks roughly 71.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €1.20 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the €1.80 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €0.6400, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €0.8000 (bear) to €1.34 (bull), the price of €1.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

I Grandi Viaggi SpA reported revenue of €67.0M in FY2025 versus €33.3M in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was €3.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €85.8M · P/E ratio 45.1 · P/S ratio 2.26 · EPS (TTM) €0.0400 · Net margin 5.0% · Return on equity 3.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.9% · Operating margin −72.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at −42%, IGV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.8000 Fair Value €1.05 Bull €1.34
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 11 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0361 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €0.7200 €0.8600 €1.04 82
Growth DCF €0.7300 €0.8600 €1.01 80
Owner Earnings €0.9500 €1.14 €1.39 78
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.7200 €0.8600 €1.04 82
Owner Earnings €0.9500 €1.14 €1.39 78
5Y Revenue Exit €0.7200 €0.9500 €1.24 74
5Y EBITDA Exit €0.9500 €1.34 €1.80 76
5Y P/E Exit €0.9800 €1.40 €1.83 71
10Y Revenue Exit €0.7100 €0.8800 €1.09 68
10Y EBITDA Exit €0.8400 €1.11 €1.43 69
10Y P/E Exit €0.8600 €1.14 €1.44 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.4800 €0.9500 €1.19 66
EPV €0.5900 €0.6400 €0.6800 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple €1.16 €1.55 €1.94 63
P/S Multiple €0.9000 €1.20 €1.50 58
P/B Multiple €0.9000 €1.20 €1.50 55
EV/EBIT €1.04 €1.32 €1.60 66
EV/EBITDA €1.29 €1.65 €2.02 67
EV/Revenue €0.7600 €1.01 €1.25 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.7600 €1.01 €1.51 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.7300 €0.8600 €1.01 80
Rev-Margin DCF €0.7200 €0.9600 €1.22 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.03 €0.9900 €0.8100 71
ROIC Compounder €0.5900 €0.6400 €0.6800 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €0.8400 €1.20 €1.56 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+7.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−18% → 5%

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.1% a year for the price.

IGV screens 72% overvalued. Compare with Las Vegas Sands Corp →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 68 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −42% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −73% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −18% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 45.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.37× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.47× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 29.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 23.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)12 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 82
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $39.70 $54.02 +36%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$32.10 HK$46.74 +46%
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$12.16 HK$18.87 +55%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $38.90 $17.73 −54%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $82.51 $146.53 +78%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $48.76 $18.01 −63%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $72.08 $144.08 +100%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR $29.62 $80.92 +173%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6200 SGD 0.5600 SGD −10%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $138.98 $152.88 +10%

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Frequently asked questions

Is I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.05 versus a price of €1.80, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IGV?
Our model-based fair value for I Grandi Viaggi SpA is €1.05 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.80.
What is the quality score of IGV?
I Grandi Viaggi SpA has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.05 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.8000, optimistic scenario €1.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the I Grandi Viaggi SpA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.05, about −42% upside versus a price of €1.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.8000, optimistic scenario €1.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
I Grandi Viaggi SpA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €66.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, I Grandi Viaggi SpA would have to grow free cash flow by +18.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IGV use?
Our models discount I Grandi Viaggi SpA at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.50, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For I Grandi Viaggi SpA that is +18.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at I Grandi Viaggi SpA grew +16.8 % a year. The price currently implies +18.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into I Grandi Viaggi SpA (+18.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.85 %: that much free cash flow I Grandi Viaggi SpA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For I Grandi Viaggi SpA it is €1.05 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €1.80. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is I Grandi Viaggi SpA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, IGV trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.80, fair value €1.05, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IGV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.05). For I Grandi Viaggi SpA the two are €0.7520 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is I Grandi Viaggi SpA worth?
The market values I Grandi Viaggi SpA at about €85.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €1.80; our models calculate a fair value of €1.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IGV?
Our models span a range for I Grandi Viaggi SpA: cautious scenario €0.8000, base €1.05, optimistic €1.34 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €1.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IGV?
I Grandi Viaggi SpA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €1.05 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 23.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
Balance-sheet figures for I Grandi Viaggi SpA (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 3.1%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IGV from its 52-week high?
I Grandi Viaggi SpA trades at €1.80, about 36% below its 52-week high of €2.82 and at the low of €1.80 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.05 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to I Grandi Viaggi SpA?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is I Grandi Viaggi SpA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €1.80, calculated fair value €1.05 (−42%), Quality Score 61/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IGV calculated?
We run I Grandi Viaggi SpA through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.05, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. I Grandi Viaggi SpA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €1.80. Our model-based fair value is €1.05, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with I Grandi Viaggi SpA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€1.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of I Grandi Viaggi SpA

How large is the market capitalisation of I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
The market capitalisation of I Grandi Viaggi SpA is €85.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of I Grandi Viaggi SpA is 2.26 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
Earnings per share at I Grandi Viaggi SpA are €0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 45.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
The net margin of I Grandi Viaggi SpA is 5.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of I Grandi Viaggi SpA is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of I Grandi Viaggi SpA is 1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
The operating margin of I Grandi Viaggi SpA is −72.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
Revenue at I Grandi Viaggi SpA is growing −18.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at I Grandi Viaggi SpA (IGV)?
Earnings per share at I Grandi Viaggi SpA are growing +74.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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