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Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings (IMHDY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $5.7B

IM Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings logo Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings IMHDY · US
Price$16.32
Fair Value$18.82
Upside+15.3%
Quality65/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.52% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/11)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range $10.00 – $27.34 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $34.78 to $18.82 (−45.9%) since Jun 25, 2026.

A solid business, screening 15% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($10.00 to $27.34). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from $10.00 (bear) to $27.34 (bull), base $18.82. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 65/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.32 $9.86 Fair Value $18.82 Nov 2018 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.86 – $16.32 · fair‑value band $10.00 – $27.34 · the $16.32 price screens below the $18.82 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings (IMHDY) currently trades at $16.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.82, implying the stock looks roughly 15.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings generated revenue of $546B at a net margin of 14.0%. Revenue grew 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. Net debt stands at $47.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.00 (bear case) to $27.34 (bull case); at $16.32, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at 15%, IMHDY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $22.77 $40.47 $75.12 80
Rev-Margin DCF $22.59 $42.67 $82.07 74
ROIC Compounder $17.07 $23.13 $28.82 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $24.21 $36.96 $76.72 38
Owner Earnings $26.27 $57.52 $120.71 31
5Y Revenue Exit $21.60 $37.38 $70.45 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $25.96 $46.19 $85.89 41
5Y P/E Exit $28.21 $63.45 $111.66 38
10Y Revenue Exit $21.92 $48.22 $65.20 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $25.81 $57.39 $112.64 37
10Y P/E Exit $27.42 $62.12 $119.57 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.82 $89.41 $125.48 54
Lynch FV $38.00 $54.28 $70.57 50
PEG = 1.0 $38.00 $54.28 $70.57 46
EPV $16.10 $18.56 $20.67 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $28.28 $37.71 $47.14 63
P/S Multiple $24.04 $32.05 $40.07 58
P/B Multiple $24.04 $32.05 $40.07 55
EV/EBIT $27.34 $36.27 $45.19 53
EV/EBITDA $25.81 $34.22 $42.63 54
EV/Revenue $18.62 $26.35 $34.08 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.67 $10.28 $15.34 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $22.77 $40.47 $75.12 80
Rev-Margin DCF $22.59 $42.67 $82.07 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $14.10 $16.63 $33.59 61
ROIC Compounder $17.07 $23.13 $28.82 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $46.28 $66.11 $85.94 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($66.11) versus Asset-Based ($10.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $546B
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.9%
Net margin 14.0%
Return on equity 12.4%
Free cash flow $60.0B FY2026
P/E ratio 16.3
More key figures
Operating margin 15.8%
EPS (TTM) $1.00
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +309%
Net debt $47.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd. operates department stores in Southeast Asia, China, Taiwan, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd. operates department stores in Southeast Asia, China, Taiwan, the United States, and internationally. It also engages in credit cards, non-life insurance agency, and life insurance solicitation businesses; direct wooden furniture business; group department store membership clubs management business; distribution and distribution solutions businesses. In addition, the company provides construction and interior/design, renovation and interior furniture, and construction management services; real estate rental services; personnel, employment, recruitment, education and training, and labor and welfare services; and information systems solutions. Further, it operates supermarket, retail, specialty shops, food select, and restaurants; foods production; wholesale, cosmetics retail business; import, wholesale, and sale of various goods, such as miscellaneous and lifestyle goods, western wine and spirits, and food products; planning, development, and sale of gifts; planning, import, and sale of novelty goods; and exports european fashion and food products. Additionally, it is involved in the sale of large screen advertising; installation, operation, and maintenance of large-screen displays and signage; provision of advertising and promotion planning, proposal, and production, as well as advertising design, production, and editing services; planning and sale of travel products and tour conducting; owns river cruise ship; and investment and development of investee activities. Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Shinjuku, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings reported revenue of $546B in FY2026 versus $418B in FY2022, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was $76.1B in FY2026, compounding +57.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$546B
Latest YoY
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+13.0%
Revenue +6.9%/yr
FY22 $418B
FY23 $487B
FY24 $536B
FY25 $556B
FY26 $546B
Net income +57.6%/yr
FY22 $12.3B
FY23 $32.4B
FY24 $55.6B
FY25 $52.8B
FY26 $76.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IMHDY

Peer Group

Department Stores · 127 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.3× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 54 · sector 26
FUTURE 5 · sector 2
PAST 50 · sector 16
HEALTH 96 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 50 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Falabella S.A FALABELLA 5,875 CLP 8,880 CLP +51%
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 99.62 MXN 263.70 MXN +165%
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 3.70 MYR 1.45 MYR -61%
Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 2,040 CLP 2,516 CLP +23%
Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM ₹113.94 ₹37.39 -67%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 610,000 KRW 200,259 KRW -67%
Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB 30.04 MXN 59.59 MXN +98%
Lotte Shopping Co 023530 155,300 KRW 81,725 KRW -47%
Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 R$14.10 R$33.36 +137%
La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC 34.37 MXN 51.49 MXN +50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings (IMHDY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.82 versus a price of $16.32, about +15% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IMHDY?
Our model-based fair value for Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings is $18.82 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $16.32.
What is the quality score of IMHDY?
Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings (IMHDY)?
Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $546B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IMHDY?
The net profit margin of Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings is about 14.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings pay a dividend?
Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.52% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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