PT Inocycle Technology Group (INOV) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 222B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Share price +17.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (138.10 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (70.54 IDR to 138.10 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 52.00 IDR – 334.40 IDR · fair‑value band 70.54 IDR – 138.10 IDR · the 145.00 IDR price screens above the 119.16 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
PT Inocycle Technology Group (INOV) currently trades at 145.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 119.16 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 17.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Inocycle Technology Group generated revenue of 730B IDR at a net margin of 6.4%. Revenue grew 36.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.6%. Net debt stands at 505B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 70.54 IDR (bear case) to 138.10 IDR (bull case); at 145.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -18%, INOV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (339.06 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (39.46 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Inocycle Technology Group Tbk engages in the production and sale of recycle polyester staple fiber in Indonesia. It provides hollow conjugated, solid, and special function fiber; and padding, needle punching, geotextile, and thermal bonding products for use in various industries, such as mining, construction, agriculture, manufacturing, and …
Full company description
PT Inocycle Technology Group Tbk engages in the production and sale of recycle polyester staple fiber in Indonesia. It provides hollow conjugated, solid, and special function fiber; and padding, needle punching, geotextile, and thermal bonding products for use in various industries, such as mining, construction, agriculture, manufacturing, and infrastructure. The company also offers homeware products, comprising mattresses, pillows, bolsters, blankets, carpets, mattress protectors, dolls, and bed cover sets. The company was formerly known as PT Hilon Felt and changed its name to PT Inocycle Technology Group Tbk in 2019. PT Inocycle Technology Group Tbk was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Tangerang, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Inocycle Technology Group reported revenue of 682B IDR in FY2025 versus 633B IDR in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 9.5B IDR in FY2025, compounding −23.2%/yr from FY2021.
INOV screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →
Peer Group
Waste Management · 166 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $233.33 | $128.02 | -45% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $219.20 | $122.01 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$242.43 | C$78.67 | -68% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €37.51 | €24.50 | -35% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $303.64 | $155.37 | -49% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$55.40 | C$94.12 | +70% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €12.20 | €7.30 | -40% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.32 | ¥5.27 | -17% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥16.18 | ¥20.91 | +29% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.34 | A$1.18 | -50% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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