Iron Road Limited (IRD) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$12.6M
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from A$0.0118 to A$0.0175 (+47.9%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −11.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 17% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0163). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0163 to A$0.0175), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0090 – A$0.3375 · fair‑value band A$0.0163 – A$0.0175 · the A$0.0150 price screens below the A$0.0175 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Iron Road Limited (IRD) currently trades at A$0.0150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0175, implying the stock looks roughly 16.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$134K. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$3.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0163 (bear case) to A$0.0175 (bull case); at A$0.0150, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 75% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 17%, IRD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$0.2600) versus Growth DCF (A$0.0500). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Iron Road Limited explores for and evaluates iron ore properties in Australia. Its flagship project is the 100% owned Central Eyre iron project located in the Eyre Peninsula of South Australia. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Adelaide, Australia. Iron Road Limited operates as a subsidiary of Sentient Executive GP IV, Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Iron Road Limited reported revenue of A$7.7M in FY2025 versus A$50.3K in FY2021, a compound +251.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$5.0M in FY2025.
Watch IRD: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Steel · 378 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tata Steel Limited TTST | $0.2010 | $0.2000 | -0% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,227 | ₹1,140 | -7% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.89 | ¥8.07 | +37% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.55 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 313,500 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -50% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,940 ARS | +17% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,028 | ₹545.12 | -47% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,844 | ₹1,098 | -40% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 42.64 MXN | -49% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,210 ARS | +53% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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