Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services $0.18, price $1.00, upside -82.2%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1800 – $1.10 · fair‑value band $0.0357 – $0.5355 · the $1.00 price screens above the $0.1785 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Bally's Intralot S.A. engages in online gaming, lotteries, and iLottery and sports betting business.
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Bally's Intralot S.A. engages in online gaming, lotteries, and iLottery and sports betting business. The company offers LotosX, an open and modular ecosystem that enables operators to offer gaming services; iLottery, a digital lottery solution that provides multi-channel content in a user-friendly and simplified manner; INTRALOT Orion, a sports betting platform; INTRALOT GMS, an integrated solution for monitoring and controlling large-scale gaming networks; INTRALOT Gaming License System, an integrated platform that offers gaming regulators end-to-end processing and workflow management for various gaming licensing processes; and LotosX Omni, a unified lottery proposition that enables gaming journeys across all player channels. It provides lottery, betting, and interactive games; back-office applications, such as player account management, content management, retailer and device management, etc.; real-time monitoring performance services; and retail terminals. In addition, the company is involved in the provision of central gaming system; lottery terminals; telecommunications system/solutions; related peripheral equipment and software; implementation, maintenance and technical support services; monitoring systems for gaming and VLT operations; operational management and day-to-day support for operators; marketing services and sales network development and management; and risk management and odds setting for sports betting. The company was formerly known as Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services and changed its name to Bally's Intralot S.A. in January 2026. Bally's Intralot S.A. was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Paiania, Greece.
Stock analysis
Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF) currently trades at $1.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1785, implying the stock looks roughly 460.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.5000 per share, and 0 of the 8 models we run sit above the $1.00 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.0300, and 8 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $0.0357 (bear) to $0.5355 (bull), the price of $1.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services reported revenue of €518M in FY2025 versus €414M in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€65.2M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.9B · P/S ratio 2.67 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0800 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin −12.6% · Return on equity −7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8% · Operating margin 19.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 24% fair-value upside, at −82%, IRLTF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.0300 to $0.5000). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $0.0357Fair Value $0.1785Bull $0.5355
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.51/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+37.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −12.3% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.2% (2020) → 13.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.2% a year for the price.
Compare Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gambling · 57 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−82% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)−9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)20% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth181% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.19× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gambling median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.37× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)2.72× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF25.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA15.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 10
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)41· sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)6· sector 67
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IRLTF
Frequently asked questions
Is Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1785 versus a price of $1.00, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IRLTF?
Our model-based fair value for Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services is $0.1785 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.00.
What is the quality score of IRLTF?
Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1785 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0357, optimistic scenario $0.5355. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1785, about −82% upside versus a price of $1.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0357, optimistic scenario $0.5355. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $691M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services pay a dividend?
Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.32% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services would have to grow free cash flow by +25.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IRLTF use?
Our models discount Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.27, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services that is +25.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services grew +7.3 % a year. The price currently implies +25.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (+25.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.95 %: that much free cash flow Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services it is $0.1785 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.00. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, IRLTF trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.00, fair value $0.1785, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IRLTF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1785). For Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services the two are $0.8215 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services worth?
The market values Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services at about $1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.00; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1785 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IRLTF?
Our models span a range for Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services: cautious scenario $0.0357, base $0.1785, optimistic $0.5355 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −7.8%, debt of 1.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IRLTF from its 52-week high?
Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services trades at $1.00, about 9% below its 52-week high of $1.10 and 2% above the low of $0.9837 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1785 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Flutter Entertainment plc, Evolution AB, The Lottery Corporation, Rush Street Interactive, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.00, calculated fair value $0.1785 (−82%), Quality Score 26/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IRLTF calculated?
We run Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1785, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $1.00. Our model-based fair value is $0.1785, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.5355). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($0.0357 to $0.5355). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services
How large is the market capitalisation of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
The market capitalisation of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services is $1.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services is 2.67 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
Earnings per share at Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services are $−0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
The dividend yield of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services is 0.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
The net margin of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services is −12.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services is −7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
The operating margin of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services is 19.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
Revenue at Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services is growing +181% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF)?
Earnings per share at Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services are growing −33.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services (IRLTF) carry?
The net debt of Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services is $1.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 20.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026