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Bally's Intralot S.A (IRLTF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $1.8B

BS Bally's Intralot S.A logo Bally's Intralot S.A IRLTF · US
Price$1.00
Fair Value$0.3400
Upside-66.0%
Quality26/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -8.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range $0.0850 – $0.6035 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6035). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($0.0850 to $0.6035). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1.10 $0.1800 Fair Value $0.3400 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1800 – $1.10 · fair‑value band $0.0850 – $0.6035 · the $1.00 price screens above the $0.3400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Bally's Intralot S.A (IRLTF) currently trades at $1.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3400, implying the stock looks roughly 66.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Bally's Intralot S.A generated revenue of $691M at a net margin of -8.5%. Revenue grew 180.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.8%. Net debt stands at $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0850 (bear case) to $0.6035 (bull case); at $1.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -66%, IRLTF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 61
EV/EBITDA $0.0400 $0.3100 $0.5800 54
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.0600 $0.4500 41
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.0500 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0300 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.1100 53
EV/EBITDA $0.0400 $0.3100 $0.5800 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3700 $0.5000 $0.7400 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($0.5000) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0300). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $691M
Revenue growth (YoY) +181%
Net margin -8.5%
Return on equity -7.8%
Free cash flow $74.3M FY2025
Operating margin 19.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0800
EPS growth (YoY) -33.3%
Net debt $1.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 34
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Bally's Intralot S.A. engages in online gaming, lotteries, and iLottery and sports betting business. The company offers LotosX, an open and modular ecosystem that enables operators to offer gaming services; iLottery, a digital lottery solution that provides multi-channel content in a user-friendly and simplified manner; INTRALOT Orion, a sports betting …

Full company description

Bally's Intralot S.A. engages in online gaming, lotteries, and iLottery and sports betting business. The company offers LotosX, an open and modular ecosystem that enables operators to offer gaming services; iLottery, a digital lottery solution that provides multi-channel content in a user-friendly and simplified manner; INTRALOT Orion, a sports betting platform; INTRALOT GMS, an integrated solution for monitoring and controlling large-scale gaming networks; INTRALOT Gaming License System, an integrated platform that offers gaming regulators end-to-end processing and workflow management for various gaming licensing processes; and LotosX Omni, a unified lottery proposition that enables gaming journeys across all player channels. It provides lottery, betting, and interactive games; back-office applications, such as player account management, content management, retailer and device management, etc.; real-time monitoring performance services; and retail terminals. In addition, the company is involved in the provision of central gaming system; lottery terminals; telecommunications system/solutions; related peripheral equipment and software; implementation, maintenance and technical support services; monitoring systems for gaming and VLT operations; operational management and day-to-day support for operators; marketing services and sales network development and management; and risk management and odds setting for sports betting. The company was formerly known as Intralot S.A. Integrated Lottery Systems and Services and changed its name to Bally's Intralot S.A. in January 2026. Bally's Intralot S.A. was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Paiania, Greece.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bally's Intralot S.A reported revenue of $518M in FY2025 versus $414M in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$65.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 51/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$518M
Latest YoY
+37.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+2.2%
Revenue +5.8%/yr
FY21 $414M
FY22 $393M
FY23 $364M
FY24 $376M
FY25 $518M
Net income
FY21 $17.5M
FY22 $11.9M
FY23 $5.8M
FY24 $4.9M
FY25 −$65.2M

IRLTF screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Flutter Entertainment plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bally's Intralot S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IRLTF

Peer Group

Gambling · 54 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 181% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.19× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Gambling median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.35× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 24.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 15.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 100 · sector 9
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 41 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gambling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Flutter Entertainment plc FLUT $110.66 $88.33 -20%
Evolution AB EVO kr 684.00 kr 974.80 +43%
The Lottery Corporation TLC A$5.62 A$2.99 -47%
Super Group SGHC $14.73 $9.39 -36%
Lottomatica Group LTMC €25.62 €16.38 -36%
Light & Wonder, Inc LNWO $78.94 $70.17 -11%
Churchill Downs Incorporated CHDN $83.95 $94.74 +13%
FDJ United FDJ €23.24 €20.97 -10%
Brightstar Lottery PLC BRSL $10.71 $17.61 +64%
Tabcorp Holdings TAH A$0.8750 A$0.3700 -58%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bally's Intralot S.A (IRLTF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3400 versus a price of $1.00, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IRLTF?
Our model-based fair value for Bally's Intralot S.A is $0.3400 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.00.
What is the quality score of IRLTF?
Bally's Intralot S.A has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bally's Intralot S.A (IRLTF)?
Bally's Intralot S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $691M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IRLTF?
The net profit margin of Bally's Intralot S.A is about -8.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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