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PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk, (ISSP) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 2.9T IDR

PS PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk, ISSP · JK
Price432.00 IDR
Fair Value714.83 IDR
Upside+65.5%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 9.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 48/100
Evidence: High Range 497.49 IDR – 893.53 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 1,288 IDR to 714.83 IDR (−44.5%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price +10.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 65% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (497.49 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

521.94 IDR 146.61 IDR Fair Value 714.83 IDR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 146.61 IDR – 521.94 IDR · fair‑value band 497.49 IDR – 893.53 IDR · the 432.00 IDR price screens below the 714.83 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk, (ISSP) currently trades at 432.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 714.83 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 65.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk, generated revenue of 5.9T IDR at a net margin of 9.0%. Revenue declined 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at 1.4T IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 497.49 IDR (bear case) to 893.53 IDR (bull case); at 432.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 65%, ISSP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1,163 IDR 1,723 IDR 2,545 IDR 80
Residual Income 706.33 IDR 783.28 IDR 1,256 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 917.83 IDR 1,418 IDR 1,972 IDR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,130 IDR 1,741 IDR 2,684 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 226.02 IDR 360.08 IDR 567.01 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 917.83 IDR 1,408 IDR 2,016 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 934.35 IDR 1,438 IDR 2,005 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 929.13 IDR 1,428 IDR 1,933 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 955.69 IDR 1,420 IDR 2,009 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 993.58 IDR 1,441 IDR 2,001 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 990.21 IDR 1,435 IDR 1,947 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 515.19 IDR 1,379 IDR 1,805 IDR 54
Lynch FV 268.36 IDR 383.36 IDR 498.37 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 268.36 IDR 383.36 IDR 498.37 IDR 46
EPV 906.94 IDR 1,072 IDR 1,219 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 153.91 IDR 336.00 IDR 565.34 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 153.91 IDR 243.63 IDR 343.92 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 965.99 IDR 1,288 IDR 1,610 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 946.52 IDR 1,262 IDR 1,578 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 965.99 IDR 1,288 IDR 1,610 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 1,160 IDR 1,556 IDR 1,952 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 946.70 IDR 1,272 IDR 1,597 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 855.13 IDR 1,234 IDR 1,612 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 402.28 IDR 539.06 IDR 804.57 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,163 IDR 1,723 IDR 2,545 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 917.83 IDR 1,418 IDR 1,972 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 706.33 IDR 783.28 IDR 1,256 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 928.47 IDR 1,183 IDR 1,499 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 775.49 IDR 1,108 IDR 1,440 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (1,428 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (243.63 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.9T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.6%
Net margin 9.0%
Return on equity 9.7%
Free cash flow 708B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 5.8
More key figures
Operating margin 10.3%
EPS (TTM) 74.66 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -8.6%
Net debt 1.4T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiary, PT Spindo Engineering Industry, manufactures and sells steel pipes/tubes and other related products in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Steel Pipe Mill; Spiral Steel Pipe Mill; Strips and Plate; and Services and Others segments.

Full company description

PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiary, PT Spindo Engineering Industry, manufactures and sells steel pipes/tubes and other related products in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through Steel Pipe Mill; Spiral Steel Pipe Mill; Strips and Plate; and Services and Others segments. The company offers ERW and SSAW pipes, such as structural pipes for use in foundation work, construction projects, bridges, piers, airports, stadiums, and halls, etc., as well as building envelope structural applications; water pipes for use in transmission water pipelines, water treatment plants, wastewater treatment plants, hydropower use facilities, and water circulation systems in buildings, as well as water tunnels; and oil and gas pipes for use in the oil and gas industry. It also provides stainless steel pipes, including ornamental tubes and industrial pipes; galvanized iron pipes applied as ceiling and ceiling frames, wall partition frames, canopies, fences, gates, electrical, and telecommunication cable channels; steel poles comprising telephone, electric, and lighting poles; and mechanical tubes for use in furniture materials, bus frame structures, bicycle frames, and automotive parts. In addition, the company offers inspection and test services. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Surabaya, Indonesia. PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Cakra Bhakti Para Putra.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk, reported revenue of 5.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 5.4T IDR in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 534B IDR in FY2025, compounding +2.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.9T IDR
Latest YoY
−3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY21 5.4T IDR
FY22 6.3T IDR
FY23 6.5T IDR
FY24 6.1T IDR
FY25 5.9T IDR
Net income +2.4%/yr
FY21 486B IDR
FY22 306B IDR
FY23 498B IDR
FY24 530B IDR
FY25 534B IDR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +14.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.0 pp

of which total revenue +6.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.1 pp

EBIT margin +0.6 pp
Tax rate −0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +6.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ISSP

Peer Group

Steel · 382 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +66% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.51× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.49× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 39 · sector 16
HEALTH 90 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 40

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,269 ₹1,140 -10%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.20 ₹145.39 -22%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.74 ¥8.07 +41%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 37.25 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 325,000 KRW 155,270 KRW -52%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,838 ARS +16%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,112 ₹516.27 -54%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,894 ₹771.10 -59%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 39.22 MXN -53%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,472 ARS +55%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk, (ISSP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 714.83 IDR versus a price of 432.00 IDR, about +65% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ISSP?
Our model-based fair value for PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk, is 714.83 IDR (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 432.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of ISSP?
PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk, has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk, (ISSP)?
PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.9T IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ISSP?
The net profit margin of PT Steel Pipe Industry of Indonesia Tbk, is about 9.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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