Jumbo Interactive Limited (JIN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$449M
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from A$13.77 to A$13.92 (+1.1%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +4.4% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 84% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (78/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$10.46). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$5.91 – A$16.99 · fair‑value band A$10.46 – A$17.14 · the A$7.57 price screens below the A$13.92 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Jumbo Interactive Limited (JIN) currently trades at A$7.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$13.92, implying the stock looks roughly 83.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Jumbo Interactive Limited generated revenue of A$166M at a net margin of 22.8%. Revenue grew 27.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$65.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$10.46 (bear case) to A$17.14 (bull case); at A$7.57, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 84%, JIN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$19.78) versus Asset-Based (A$1.29). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 77 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jumbo Interactive Limited engages in the retail of lottery tickets through the internet and mobile devices in Australia, the United Kingdom, Canada, Fiji, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Lottery Retailing, Software-as-a-Service, and Managed Services.
Full company description
Jumbo Interactive Limited engages in the retail of lottery tickets through the internet and mobile devices in Australia, the United Kingdom, Canada, Fiji, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Lottery Retailing, Software-as-a-Service, and Managed Services. The company is involved in the retail of digital lottery tickets through Oz Lotteries; and lottery management services, including prize procurement, lottery game design, campaign marketing, and customer relationship and draw management services to businesses and charities. It also licenses Jumbo lottery platform as a solution to government and charity lottery operators; and provides turnkey digital lottery solutions to schools. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Milton, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jumbo Interactive Limited reported revenue of A$145M in FY2025 versus A$83.3M in FY2021, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was A$40.2M in FY2025, compounding +10.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +19.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Gambling · 54 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gambling median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gambling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flutter Entertainment plc FLUT | $110.66 | $88.33 | -20% |
| Evolution AB EVO | kr 684.00 | kr 974.80 | +43% |
| The Lottery Corporation TLC | A$5.62 | A$2.99 | -47% |
| Super Group SGHC | $14.73 | $9.39 | -36% |
| Lottomatica Group LTMC | €25.62 | €16.38 | -36% |
| Light & Wonder, Inc LNWO | $78.94 | $70.17 | -11% |
| Churchill Downs Incorporated CHDN | $83.95 | $94.74 | +13% |
| FDJ United FDJ | €23.24 | €20.97 | -10% |
| Brightstar Lottery PLC BRSL | $10.71 | $17.61 | +64% |
| Tabcorp Holdings TAH | A$0.8750 | A$0.3700 | -58% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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