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Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (JRFIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $4.5B

JM Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation logo Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation JRFIF · US
Price$623.98
Fair Value$468.17
Upside-25.0%
Quality51/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 44.8% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range $395.41 – $659.02 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $475.84 to $468.17 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$728.50 $458.68 Fair Value $468.17 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $458.68 – $728.50 · fair‑value band $395.41 – $659.02 · the $623.98 price screens above the $468.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (JRFIF) currently trades at $623.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $468.17, implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation generated revenue of $101B at a net margin of 44.8%. Revenue grew 20.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.0%. Net debt stands at $549B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $395.41 (bear case) to $659.02 (bull case); at $623.98, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -25%, JRFIF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $70,837 $73,175 $74,392 61
P/S Multiple $64,822 $86,429 $108,036 58
P/B Multiple $73,557 $98,076 $122,595 55
All 7 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple $64,822 $86,429 $108,036 58
P/B Multiple $73,557 $98,076 $122,595 55
EV/EBIT $41,260 $76,748 $112,237 53
EV/EBITDA $38,630 $73,241 $107,852 54
EV/Revenue $18,677 $43,841 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $45,141 $60,489 $90,282 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $70,837 $73,175 $74,392 61

Widest divergence: Multiples ($76,748) versus Asset-Based ($60,489). Highest evidence: Residual Income (61).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $101B
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.8%
Net margin 44.8%
Return on equity 7.0%
Free cash flow −$38.9B FY2026
P/E ratio 18.0
More key figures
Operating margin 44.3%
EPS (TTM) $34.69
EPS growth (YoY) +34.2%
Net debt $549B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 62
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation was established under the Law Concerning Investment Trusts and Investment Corporations of Japan. It was the first investment corporation in Japan to specifically target retail real estate assets.

Full company description

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation was established under the Law Concerning Investment Trusts and Investment Corporations of Japan. It was the first investment corporation in Japan to specifically target retail real estate assets. It was listed on the Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (securities code: 8953) on March 12, 2002. After that, JMF effected an absorption-type merger (the Merger) effective on March 1, 2021, with JMF as the surviving corporation and MCUBS MidCity Investment Corporation as the dissolving corporation and changed the corporation name from Japan Retail Fund Investment Corporation to Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation. JMF seeks to enhance its total return (Distribution Per Unit and Net Asset Value) by expanding its growth cycle driven by internal growth and return of gains on sales and acquired two properties and disposed of five properties (including partial dispositions) during the fiscal period ended August 31, 2025. As a result, the total assets managed by JMF at the end of the 47th fiscal period (fiscal period ended on August 31, 2025) amounted to 1,262.0 billion yen (the total acquisition price for 145 properties). The total acquisition price including investment securities such as the silent partnership interests and the investment units of domestic real estate investment corporation is 1,282.4 billion yen. Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation was incorporated in 2001 in Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation reported revenue of $95.6B in FY2026 versus $70.9B in FY2022, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was $41.5B in FY2026, compounding +13.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$95.6B
Latest YoY
+17.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+5.8%
Revenue +7.8%/yr
FY22 $70.9B
FY23 $81.7B
FY24 $82.7B
FY25 $81.7B
FY26 $95.6B
Net income +13.0%/yr
FY22 $25.4B
FY23 $32.6B
FY24 $32.0B
FY25 $31.7B
FY26 $41.5B

JRFIF screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Simon Property Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JRFIF

Peer Group

REIT - Retail · 107 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 45% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 44% · Below median
Revenue growth 21% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.80× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 100 · sector 22
PAST 28 · sector 30
HEALTH 60 · sector 66
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 100

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (JRFIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $468.17 versus a price of $623.98, about −25% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JRFIF?
Our model-based fair value for Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation is $468.17 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $623.98.
What is the quality score of JRFIF?
Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (JRFIF)?
Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $101B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JRFIF?
The net profit margin of Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation is about 44.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 44.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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