JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of JTL Industries Ltd ₹36.20, price ₹86.23, upside -58.0%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range ₹41.74 – ₹134.45 · fair‑value band ₹27.15 – ₹45.25 · the ₹86.23 price screens above the ₹36.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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JTL Industries Limited manufactures and sells iron and steel products in India and internationally. It offers DFT Structural Steel Pipes, galvanized steel tubes and pipes, solar module mounting structures, hollow steel section, solar mounting structures, steel tubular poles, and metal crash barriers.
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JTL Industries Limited manufactures and sells iron and steel products in India and internationally. It offers DFT Structural Steel Pipes, galvanized steel tubes and pipes, solar module mounting structures, hollow steel section, solar mounting structures, steel tubular poles, and metal crash barriers. The company sells product under JTL ULTRA, JTL HULK, JTL HARVEST, JTL AQUA, JTL GALV-COAT, JTL AGNIRODHI, JTL SOLARIUM, JTL GUARD, JTL UNIO, and JTL PETROGAS brands. It serves power, oil and gas, infrastructure, and water transportation sectors. The company was formerly known as JTL Infra Limited and changed its name to JTL Industries Limited in November 2022. JTL Industries Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Chandigarh, India.
Stock analysis
JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND) currently trades at ₹86.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹36.20, 58.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹76.76 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹86.23 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹23.86, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹27.15 (bear) to ₹45.25 (bull), the price of ₹86.23 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
JTL Industries Ltd reported revenue of ₹21.4B in FY2026 versus ₹13.5B in FY2022, a compound +12.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹985M in FY2026, compounding +12.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹35.9B (≈ $373M) · P/E ratio 27.8 · P/S ratio 1.28 · EPS (TTM) ₹3.10 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −58%, JTLIND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹27.15Fair Value ₹36.20Bull ₹45.25
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹1.51 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +36.5% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+0.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0.3% vs 23.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 6%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 406 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−58.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.5% · Above median
Return on assets5.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)5.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth32.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)27.8× · Pricier than median
P/B2.41× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.55× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA19.1× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 30
PAST (return on equity)30· sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)3· sector 51
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹36.20 versus a price of ₹86.23, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JTLIND?
Our model-based fair value for JTL Industries Ltd is ₹36.20 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹86.23.
What is the quality score of JTLIND?
JTL Industries Ltd has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹36.20 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹27.15, optimistic scenario ₹45.25. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JTL Industries Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹36.20, about −58% upside versus a price of ₹86.23 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹27.15, optimistic scenario ₹45.25. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
JTL Industries Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹23.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does JTL Industries Ltd pay a dividend?
JTL Industries Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JTL Industries Ltd it is ₹36.20 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹86.23. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JTL Industries Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, JTLIND trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹86.23, fair value ₹36.20, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JTLIND?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹86.23); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹36.20). For JTL Industries Ltd the two are ₹50.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JTL Industries Ltd worth?
The market values JTL Industries Ltd at about ₹35.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹86.23; our models calculate a fair value of ₹36.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JTLIND?
Our models span a range for JTL Industries Ltd: cautious scenario ₹27.15, base ₹36.20, optimistic ₹45.25 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹86.23). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JTLIND?
JTL Industries Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹36.20 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 19.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
Balance-sheet figures for JTL Industries Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 7.5%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JTLIND from its 52-week high?
JTL Industries Ltd trades at ₹86.23, about 6% below its 52-week high of ₹91.87 and 107% above the low of ₹41.74 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹36.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JTL Industries Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JTL Industries Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹86.23, calculated fair value ₹36.20 (−58%), Quality Score 30/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JTLIND calculated?
We run JTL Industries Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹36.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. JTL Industries Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹86.23. Our model-based fair value is ₹36.20, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JTL Industries Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹45.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND) come from?
Earnings per share at JTL Industries Ltd grew +35.2 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.4 %, EBIT margin +19.6 %, tax rate +1.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of JTL Industries Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
The market capitalisation of JTL Industries Ltd is ₹35.9B (≈ $373M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JTL Industries Ltd is 1.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
Earnings per share at JTL Industries Ltd are ₹3.10 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
The dividend yield of JTL Industries Ltd is 0.1% (payout 4.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
The net margin of JTL Industries Ltd is 4.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JTL Industries Ltd is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JTL Industries Ltd is 17.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
The operating margin of JTL Industries Ltd is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
Revenue at JTL Industries Ltd is growing +32.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND)?
Earnings per share at JTL Industries Ltd are growing +143% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND) generate?
The free cash flow of JTL Industries Ltd is −₹2.1B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does JTL Industries Ltd (JTLIND) carry?
The net debt of JTL Industries Ltd is ₹2.0B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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