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KHONG GUAN LIMITED (K03) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · SG · Market cap 23.7M SGD

KG KHONG GUAN LIMITED K03 · SG
Price0.9900 SGD
Fair Value0.9300 SGD
Upside-6.1%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.6% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.09% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Medium Range 0.7600 SGD – 1.39 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +17.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.7600 SGD to 1.39 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1.52 SGD 0.8450 SGD Fair Value 0.9300 SGD Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.8450 SGD – 1.52 SGD · fair‑value band 0.7600 SGD – 1.39 SGD · the 0.9900 SGD price screens above the 0.9300 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

KHONG GUAN LIMITED (K03) currently trades at 0.9900 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.9300 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 6.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, KHONG GUAN LIMITED generated revenue of 73.4M SGD at a net margin of -0.6%. Revenue declined 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.7%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.7600 SGD (bear case) to 1.39 SGD (bull case); at 0.9900 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -29% fair-value upside, at -6%, K03 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.1500 SGD 0.1700 SGD 0.1800 SGD 72
ROIC Compounder 0.5600 SGD 0.6100 SGD 0.6600 SGD 67
EPV 0.5600 SGD 0.6100 SGD 0.6600 SGD 59
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.1500 SGD 0.1700 SGD 0.1800 SGD 38
Owner Earnings 0.1200 SGD 0.1200 SGD 0.1300 SGD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.5100 SGD 0.8100 SGD 1.18 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.6600 SGD 1.06 SGD 1.52 SGD 41
10Y Revenue Exit 0.3300 SGD 0.5300 SGD 0.7800 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.4200 SGD 0.6700 SGD 0.9800 SGD 37
Earnings-Based
EPV 0.5600 SGD 0.6100 SGD 0.6600 SGD 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT 1.19 SGD 1.56 SGD 1.92 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 1.25 SGD 1.63 SGD 2.01 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 0.8800 SGD 1.21 SGD 1.55 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.06 SGD 1.42 SGD 2.11 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.1500 SGD 0.1700 SGD 0.1800 SGD 72
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 0.5600 SGD 0.6100 SGD 0.6600 SGD 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (1.56 SGD) versus Growth DCF (0.1700 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 73.4M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.1%
Net margin -0.6%
Return on equity -0.7%
Free cash flow 191K SGD FY2025
Operating margin 1.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.0200 SGD
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -13.8%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Khong Guan Limited, an investment holding company, engages in trading of wheat flour and other edible products in Singapore and Malaysia. It operates through Trading of Wheat Flour and Consumer Goods; and Others segment. The company offers wheat flour, biscuits, oatmeal, pulses, cereals, and other consumer goods.

Full company description

Khong Guan Limited, an investment holding company, engages in trading of wheat flour and other edible products in Singapore and Malaysia. It operates through Trading of Wheat Flour and Consumer Goods; and Others segment. The company offers wheat flour, biscuits, oatmeal, pulses, cereals, and other consumer goods. It also trades in shares listed primarily in Singapore and Malaysia. In addition, the company exports its products. The company was formerly known as Khong Guan Flour Milling Limited and changed its name to Khong Guan Limited in November 2016. Khong Guan Limited was incorporated in 1960 and is based in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

KHONG GUAN LIMITED reported revenue of 73.4M SGD in FY2025 versus 62.3M SGD in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was −395K SGD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
73.4M SGD
Latest YoY
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Revenue +4.2%/yr
FY21 62.3M SGD
FY22 69.7M SGD
FY23 71.9M SGD
FY24 70.2M SGD
FY25 73.4M SGD
Net income
FY21 −353K SGD
FY22 371K SGD
FY23 −286K SGD
FY24 −1.4M SGD
FY25 −395K SGD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KHONG GUAN LIMITED Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/K03

Peer Group

Food Distribution · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth -0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.34× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.25× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 97.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 25 · sector 23
FUTURE 0 · sector 12
PAST 0 · sector 35
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 22 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sysco Corporation SYY $84.69 $59.83 -29%
US Foods Holding USFD $110.94 $53.53 -52%
Performance Food Group PFGC $107.25 $37.94 -65%
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT €16.94 €21.59 +27%
CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT 14.80 THB 17.42 THB +18%
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF $111.07 $37.27 -66%
Olam Group VC2 1.34 SGD 2.12 SGD +58%
United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI $47.27 $6.00 -87%
The Andersons, Inc ANDE $65.61 $47.78 -27%
Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 ¥31.47 ¥6.75 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is KHONG GUAN LIMITED (K03) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.9300 SGD versus a price of 0.9900 SGD, about −6% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of K03?
Our model-based fair value for KHONG GUAN LIMITED is 0.9300 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.9900 SGD.
What is the quality score of K03?
KHONG GUAN LIMITED has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of KHONG GUAN LIMITED (K03)?
KHONG GUAN LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 73.4M SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of K03?
The net profit margin of KHONG GUAN LIMITED is about -0.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does KHONG GUAN LIMITED pay a dividend?
KHONG GUAN LIMITED currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.09% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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