Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. (KARSN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TR · Market cap 8.8B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated today
Share price −10.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (5.20 TRY to 13.24 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3.35 TRY – 18.53 TRY · fair‑value band 5.20 TRY – 13.24 TRY · the 9.78 TRY price screens above the 9.44 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. (KARSN) currently trades at 9.78 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9.44 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 3.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. generated revenue of 19.4B TRY at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 139.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. Net debt stands at 7.2B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 5.20 TRY (bear case) to 13.24 TRY (bull case); at 9.78 TRY, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -3%, KARSN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (28.76 TRY) versus Multiples (4.38 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. engages in the production and sale of automotives and related vehicles, and spare parts in Turkey and internationally. It operates through Karsan Branded Products and Spare Parts and other branded sales segments.
Full company description
Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. engages in the production and sale of automotives and related vehicles, and spare parts in Turkey and internationally. It operates through Karsan Branded Products and Spare Parts and other branded sales segments. The company provides passenger cars, trucks, minibuses, buses, hydrogen buses, and electric and diesel buses. It also offers after-sales, marketing, and financial leasing services. The company sells its products under the JEST, ATAK, and STAR brand names. Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Bursa, Turkey. The company operates as a subsidiary of Kiraca Holding AS.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Karsan Otomotiv Sanayii ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 16.6B TRL in FY2025 versus 2.1B TRL in FY2021, a compound +67.7%/yr. Reported net income was 179M TRL in FY2025, compounding +16.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 150 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $952.41 | $307.83 | -68% |
| Deere & Company DE | $597.24 | $187.86 | -69% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 336.60 | kr 288.08 | -14% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $126.20 | $94.80 | -25% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 251.90 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €69.40 | €219.41 | +216% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.65 | ¥20.84 | +12% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.39 | ¥11.79 | +41% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.00 | HK$53.51 | +31% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥32.29 | ¥42.00 | +30% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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