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Keo Capital AB (KEOC) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · SE · Market cap 3.7B SEK (≈ $390M)

What is Keo Capital AB really worth?

KC Keo Capital AB KEOC · ST
Pricekr 8.71
Fair Valuekr 1.81
Upside−79.2%
Quality48/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 381% above our fair value of kr 1.81.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue YoY −57.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/9)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range kr 1.35 – kr 2.70

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −16.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 2.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 1.35 to kr 2.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (4 months)

kr 11.80 kr 8.05 Fair Value kr 1.81 May 2026 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range kr 8.05 – kr 11.80 · fair‑value band kr 1.35 – kr 2.70 · the kr 8.71 price screens above the kr 1.81 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Keo Capital AB (KEOC) currently trades at kr 8.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.81, implying the stock looks roughly 381.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

It earns a return on equity of −17.4%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 1.35 (bear case) to kr 2.70 (bull case); at kr 8.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −79%, KEOC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence kr 1.33 kr 1.81 kr 2.67 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence kr 1.33 kr 1.81 kr 2.67 54

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Key figures & financial health

EPS (TTM) kr −1.23
Return on equity −17.4% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −6.4% avg 4y
Free cash flow −$4.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 48
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Keo Capital AB (publ), a fintech company, operates a digital credit platform focused on B2B payments and embedded working capital solutions in Mexico, Brazil, Canada, and Latin America.

Full company description

Keo Capital AB (publ), a fintech company, operates a digital credit platform focused on B2B payments and embedded working capital solutions in Mexico, Brazil, Canada, and Latin America. It operates a unified digital ecosystem that enables buyers and suppliers to interact through complementary solutions designed to improve liquidity, security, transparency, and efficiency in corporate payables and expense management. The company also offers digital B2B payment platforms, such as WorKEO that enable flexible payment terms and optimize working capital cycles, as well as proprietary technology and card issuer services supporting cross-border payments and credit underwriting. In addition, the company is involved in the oil related business. It serves corporate and mid-market customers. The company was formerly known as Maha Capital AB (publ) and changed its name to Keo Capital AB (publ) in June 2026. Keo Capital AB (publ)was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Keo Capital AB reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $12.3M in FY2022. Reported net income was −$24.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2023)
$5.2M
Latest YoY
−57.6%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue
FY22 $12.3M
FY23 $5.2M
FY24 $0
FY25 $0
Net income
FY22 $22.9M
FY23 −$34.0M
FY24 −$32.6M
FY25 −$24.7M

KEOC screens 381% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Keo Capital AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KEOC

Peer Group

Software - Application · 721 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.95× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 37
PAST0 · sector 11
HEALTH92 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €191.32 €169.59 −11%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$209.78 C$28.76 −86%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $78.82 $43.66 −45%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $252.05 $249.28 −1%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $138.43 $43.73 −68%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $340.39 $112.57 −67%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $329.11 $42.27 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $289.15 $454.04 +57%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $284.68 $177.51 −38%
Intuit Inc INTU $348.00 $363.46 +4%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Keo Capital AB (KEOC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.81 versus a price of kr 8.71, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KEOC?
Our model-based fair value for Keo Capital AB is kr 1.81 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 8.71.
What is the quality score of KEOC?
Keo Capital AB has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of KEOC?
The net profit margin of Keo Capital AB is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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