Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited (KERNEX) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · IN · Market cap ₹40.1B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −14.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 29% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,564). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹499.95 to ₹1,564). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹39.60 – ₹2,549 · fair‑value band ₹499.95 – ₹1,564 · the ₹1,752 price screens above the ₹1,251 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited (KERNEX) currently trades at ₹1,752, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,251, implying the stock looks roughly 28.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited generated revenue of ₹4.3B at a net margin of 20.5%. Revenue grew 206.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 43.6%. Net debt stands at ₹1.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹499.95 (bear case) to ₹1,564 (bull case); at ₹1,752, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -29%, KERNEX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹2,056) versus Dividend Discount (₹9.27). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of safety systems and software services for railways in India and internationally.
Full company description
Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of safety systems and software services for railways in India and internationally. The company offers safety products for the railroad industry, such as LxGuard, a level crossing protection system; TrainSHIELD, a train collision avoidance system; SAFELx, a train actuated warning device; SENTINEX, a level crossing warning system; CASRY, a collision avoidance system for railyards; KMDAX, a multisection digital axle counter; ATRW, an automatic recording device for wagons; KTPIS, a train passenger information system; and BCPS2440, a battery charger cum power supply. It also provides turnkey product development, electronic product design, embedded software design, electronic manufacturing, ESS testing, offshore development, quality control, and training services. The company was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited reported revenue of ₹4.3B in FY2026 versus ₹66.5M in FY2022, a compound +183.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹883M in FY2026.
KERNEX screens 29% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 723 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.46 | C$16.26 | +30% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$209.78 | C$28.76 | -86% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $75.36 | $43.66 | -42% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $193.32 | $249.28 | +29% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $124.94 | $43.73 | -65% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $323.13 | $112.57 | -65% |
| Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc 688111 | ¥254.50 | ¥81.23 | -68% |
| Tata Elxsi Limited TATAELXSI | ₹3,712 | ₹2,519 | -32% |
| Douzone Bizon Co 012510 | 120,000 KRW | 92,181 KRW | -23% |
| KFin Technologies Limited KFINTECH | ₹922.00 | ₹556.85 | -40% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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