KION GROUP AG (KGX) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DE · Market cap €5.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €30.42 to €42.74 (+40.5%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price +2.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from €39.60 (bear) to €53.43 (bull), base €42.74. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €18.25 – €94.42 · fair‑value band €39.60 – €53.43 · the €41.75 price screens below the €42.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
KION GROUP AG (KGX) currently trades at €41.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €42.74, implying the stock looks roughly 2.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, KION GROUP AG generated revenue of €11.3B at a net margin of 3.3%. Revenue declined 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. Net debt stands at €7.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €39.60 (bear case) to €53.43 (bull case); at €41.75, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at 2%, KGX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€62.20) versus Earnings-Based (€10.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
KION GROUP AG provides industrial trucks and supply chain solutions in Western and Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Central and South America, China, and the rest of the Asia Pacific. It operates through Industrial Trucks & Services; and Supply Chain Solutions segments.
Full company description
KION GROUP AG provides industrial trucks and supply chain solutions in Western and Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Central and South America, China, and the rest of the Asia Pacific. It operates through Industrial Trucks & Services; and Supply Chain Solutions segments. The company offers forklift and heavy trucks, counterbalance trucks with electric drive and internal combustion engine, intralogistics systems, components and spare parts, narrow aisle trucks, lithium-ion batteries, and industrial and warehouse trucks under the Linde, STILL, Baoli, Fenwick, and OM brands. It also leases and rents industrial trucks and related equipment; and provides maintenance and repair services, fleet management solutions, driver assistance systems, and service options, as well as finance solutions. In addition, the company provides integrated technology and software solutions, automated guided vehicle systems, warehouse automation solutions, palletizers, storage and picking equipment, automated storage and retrieval systems, system components and racking, sorters, and conveyors under the Dematic brand. Further, it offers logistics solutions. The company was formerly known as KION Holding 1 GmbH. KION GROUP AG was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
KION GROUP AG reported revenue of €11.3B in FY2025 versus €10.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was €230M in FY2025, compounding −20.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch KGX: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Are Investors Undervaluing Kion Group (KIGRY) Right Now?
- Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights W.W. Grainger, MSC Industrial, Kion, Fastenal and EquipmentShare.com
- Should Value Investors Buy Kion Group (KIGRY) Stock?
- Is It Smart To Buy KION GROUP AG (ETR:KGX) Before It Goes Ex-Dividend?
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 149 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $855.60 | $307.83 | -64% |
| Deere & Company DE | $619.77 | $182.29 | -71% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 344.00 | kr 288.08 | -16% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $131.06 | $94.80 | -28% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 254.50 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.91 | ¥20.84 | +10% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.25 | ¥11.79 | +43% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.42 | HK$53.57 | +29% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥29.82 | ¥42.00 | +41% |
| Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY | ₹176.70 | ₹118.01 | -33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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