KGYO Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · TR · Market cap 10.2B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Share price +63.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.29 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (1.53 TRY to 3.29 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.2660 TRY – 13.16 TRY · fair‑value band 1.53 TRY – 3.29 TRY · the 11.28 TRY price screens above the 2.41 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
KGYO (KGYO) currently trades at 11.28 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.41 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 78.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, KGYO generated revenue of 2.0B TRY at a net margin of -37.4%. It earns a return on equity of -47.7%. Net debt stands at 531M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.53 TRY (bear case) to 3.29 TRY (bull case); at 11.28 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 257% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -79%, KGYO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (17.34 TRY) versus Asset-Based (0.8100 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Koray Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S., a real estate investment trust (REIT), engages in the purchase, sale, and rental of real estate properties in Turkey. The company's investment portfolio of properties consists of residential and commercial real estate. It is also involved in the project development activities.
Full company description
Koray Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi A.S., a real estate investment trust (REIT), engages in the purchase, sale, and rental of real estate properties in Turkey. The company's investment portfolio of properties consists of residential and commercial real estate. It is also involved in the project development activities. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
KGYO reported revenue of 420M TRY in FY2025 versus 61.0M TRY in FY2021, a compound +62.0%/yr. Reported net income was −755M TRY in FY2025.
KGYO screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Goodman Group →
Peer Group
REIT - Diversified · 174 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodman Group GMG | A$29.11 | A$7.37 | -75% |
| VICI Properties Inc VICI | $26.73 | $41.74 | +56% |
| W. P. Carey Inc WPC | $70.00 | $34.80 | -50% |
| Charter Hall Group CHC | A$21.90 | A$11.46 | -48% |
| Fibra Uno FUNO11 | 31.10 MXN | 63.56 MXN | +104% |
| COV COV | €52.55 | €62.39 | +19% |
| The GPT Group GPT | A$4.89 | A$3.49 | -29% |
| Mirvac Group MGR | A$1.70 | A$0.5700 | -66% |
| KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS | 8.85 MYR | 6.91 MYR | -22% |
| CRRUN CRRUN | C$17.65 | C$17.89 | +1% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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