Kumba Iron Ore Limited (KIO) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · ZA · Market cap 91.4B ZAC
Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −10.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R280.98 – R389.34 · fair‑value band R581.60 – R969.34 · the R291.54 price screens below the R775.47 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.
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Kumba Iron Ore Limited (KIO) currently trades at R291.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R775.47 — implying the stock looks roughly 166.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kumba Iron Ore Limited generated revenue of 70.1B ZAR at a net margin of 20.9%. Revenue grew 8.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 14.8B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Kumba Iron Ore Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, extraction, beneficiation, marketing, sale, and shipping of iron ore for the steel industry in South Africa. It operates through Products " Sishen Mine, Products " Kolomela Mine, Services " Logistics, and Services " Shipping Operations segments. The company produces iron ore at its flagship Sishen mine located near the town of Kathu in the Northern Cape province; and its Kolomela mine located near Postmasburg in the Northern Cape province. It is also involved in the operation of a port in Saldanha Bay in the Western Cape province; and provision of iron ore logistics services through rail, as well as shipping services. The company exports its products to China, Japan, India, South Korea, rest of Asia, Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, rest of Africa, and rest of the Americas. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa. Kumba Iron Ore Limited is a subsi…
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kumba Iron Ore Limited reported revenue of R72.1B in FY2025 versus R102B in FY2021, a compound −8.3%/yr. Reported net income was R14.6B in FY2025, compounding −18.6%/yr from FY2021.
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6 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tata Steel Limited TTST | $0.2140 | $0.2500 | +17% |
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| ArcelorMittal S.A ARMT34 | R$163.20 | R$15.38 | -91% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,284 | ₹901.55 | -30% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.25 TWD | 9.37 TWD | -76% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.74 | ¥7.78 | +36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.