PT Kioson Komersial Indonesia Tbk, (KIOS) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · ID · Market cap 99.0B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from 12.00 IDR to 10.20 IDR (−15.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +10.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 89% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (12.75 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 50.00 IDR – 1,175 IDR · fair‑value band 7.65 IDR – 12.75 IDR · the 97.00 IDR price screens above the 10.20 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
PT Kioson Komersial Indonesia Tbk, (KIOS) currently trades at 97.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.20 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 89.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Kioson Komersial Indonesia Tbk, generated revenue of 8.5B IDR at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue declined 47.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 532M IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 7.65 IDR (bear case) to 12.75 IDR (bull case); at 97.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -89%, KIOS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (86.09 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (8.90 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Kioson Komersial Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the online trading and e-commerce business in Indonesia. The company provides software and hardware platforms to support micro, small, and middle businesses through the Kioson Cash Point partnership system.
Full company description
PT Kioson Komersial Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the online trading and e-commerce business in Indonesia. The company provides software and hardware platforms to support micro, small, and middle businesses through the Kioson Cash Point partnership system. It is also involved in the transferring funds or sending money electronic money transactions, services, development, printing, industries, trade, transportation, workshops, agriculture, technology and digital products, and warehousing services. PT Kioson Komersial Indonesia Tbk was founded in 2015 and is based in Jakarta Pusat, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Kioson Komersial Indonesia Tbk, reported revenue of 10.1B IDR in FY2025 versus 339B IDR in FY2021, a compound −58.4%/yr. Reported net income was 646M IDR in FY2025, compounding −28.7%/yr from FY2021.
KIOS screens 89% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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