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Klépierre SA (KLPEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Klépierre SA $38.22, price $42.58, upside -10.2%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Klépierre SA
KLPEF · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value $38.22 · Overvalued (−10.2%)
!Quality 51/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +2.4 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 74.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓4.5% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 71/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.37 – $45.02 · fair‑value band $19.67 – $62.29 · the $42.58 price screens above the $38.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Klépierre SA is the European leader in shopping malls, with exclusive focus on continental Europe. The Company's portfolio is valued at 21.2 billion euros at December 31, 2025, and comprises large shopping centers in more than 10 countries in Continental Europe which together host more than 720 million visitors per year.
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Klépierre SA is the European leader in shopping malls, with exclusive focus on continental Europe. The Company's portfolio is valued at 21.2 billion euros at December 31, 2025, and comprises large shopping centers in more than 10 countries in Continental Europe which together host more than 720 million visitors per year. Klépierre is a French REIT (SIIC) listed on Euronext Paris and is included in the CAC Next 20 and EPRA Euro Zone Indexes. It is also included in ethical indexes, such as CAC SBT 1.5, MSCI Europe ESG Leaders, FTSE4Good, Euronext Vigeo Europe 120, and features in CDPs. These distinctions underscore the Group's commitment to a proactive sustainable development policy and its global leadership in the fight against climate change. Klépierre SA was established and incorporated on November 2009 in France.
Stock analysis
Klépierre SA (KLPEF) currently trades at $42.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $38.22, 10.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $46.43 per share, and 5 of the 16 models we run sit above the $42.58 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $24.51, and 11 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $19.67 (bear) to $62.29 (bull), the price of $42.58 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Klépierre SA reported revenue of €1.6B in FY2025 versus €1.4B in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was €1.3B in FY2025, compounding +24.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $13.7B · P/E ratio 8.1 · P/S ratio 6.70 · EPS (TTM) $5.27 · Dividend yield 4.5% · Net margin 82.9% · Return on equity 13.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −10%, KLPEF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $19.67
Fair Value $38.22
Bull $62.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.55 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$18.78
$38.50
$67.28
77
Growth DCF
$19.81
$37.84
$62.85
76
Residual Income
$35.69
$43.60
$60.46
76
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$18.78
$38.50
$67.28
77
5Y Revenue Exit
$10.69
$26.88
$46.85
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
$21.54
$46.52
$74.75
73
10Y Revenue Exit
$12.42
$27.60
$46.59
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
$20.13
$41.00
$67.24
66
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$19.07
$38.18
$62.89
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$19.07
$29.30
$40.28
66
Multiples
P/S Multiple
$29.98
$39.98
$49.97
58
P/B Multiple
$54.88
$73.17
$91.46
55
EV/EBIT
$43.33
$65.18
$87.04
65
EV/EBITDA
$29.26
$46.43
$63.59
66
EV/Revenue
$7.90
$20.81
$33.73
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$18.29
$24.51
$36.58
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$19.81
$37.84
$62.85
76
Rev-Margin DCF
$10.52
$26.20
$42.94
70
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$35.69
$43.60
$60.46
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
51/100
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Profitability
42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
21
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.1% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+27.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+23.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.21.8% vs 2.1%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−58% → 65%
2025 sits 179% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−1.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.7% a year for the price and −3.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−14.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.8%
Projected 2028 (sales)+2.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.5%
KLPEF screens overvalued: fair value 10% below the price. Compare with Simon Property Group →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Retail · 91 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Property Group SPG | $200.76 | $114.08 | −43% |
| Realty Income Corporation O | $55.35 | $87.76 | +59% |
| Kimco Realty Corporation KIM | $22.49 | $17.46 | −22% |
| Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW | €91.72 | €70.12 | −24% |
| CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U | 2.24 SGD | 1.38 SGD | −38% |
| Regency Centers Corporation REG | $73.23 | $38.95 | −47% |
| Scentre Group SCG | A$3.35 | A$3.49 | +4% |
| Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 | HK$37.02 | HK$38.68 | +4% |
| Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT | $108.29 | $40.55 | −63% |
| Brixmor Property Group BRX | $28.07 | $18.82 | −33% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Klépierre SA (KLPEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $38.22 versus a price of $42.58, about −10% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KLPEF?
Our model-based fair value for Klépierre SA is $38.22 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $42.58.
What is the quality score of KLPEF?
Klépierre SA has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $38.22 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $19.67, optimistic scenario $62.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Klépierre SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $38.22, about −10% upside versus a price of $42.58 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $19.67, optimistic scenario $62.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
Klépierre SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.7B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Klépierre SA pay a dividend?
Klépierre SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.46% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Klépierre SA would have to grow free cash flow by +13.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.4 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KLPEF use?
Our models discount Klépierre SA at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.91, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Klépierre SA that is +13.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Klépierre SA (KLPEF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Klépierre SA grew +2.4 % a year. The price currently implies +13.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Klépierre SA (KLPEF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Klépierre SA (+13.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.96 %: that much free cash flow Klépierre SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Klépierre SA it is $38.22 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $42.58. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Klépierre SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, KLPEF trades above its calculated fair value: price $42.58, fair value $38.22, a gap of about −10% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KLPEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($42.58); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($38.22). For Klépierre SA the two are $4.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Klépierre SA worth?
The market values Klépierre SA at about $13.7B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $42.58; our models calculate a fair value of $38.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KLPEF?
Our models span a range for Klépierre SA: cautious scenario $19.67, base $38.22, optimistic $62.29 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $42.58). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KLPEF?
Klépierre SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.1 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $38.22 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 9.7, P/B 1.3, P/S 6.7, EV/EBITDA 15.3.
What is the PEG ratio of KLPEF?
The PEG ratio of Klépierre SA is 9.69 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Klépierre SA (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 13.2%, debt of 0.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KLPEF from its 52-week high?
Klépierre SA trades at $42.58, about 5% below its 52-week high of $45.02 and 20% above the low of $35.55 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $38.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Klépierre SA?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Simon Property Group, Realty Income Corporation, Kimco Realty Corporation, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Klépierre SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $42.58, calculated fair value $38.22 (−10%), Quality Score 51/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KLPEF calculated?
We run Klépierre SA through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $38.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Klépierre SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $42.58. Our model-based fair value is $38.22, about −10% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Klépierre SA right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($19.67 to $62.29). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Klépierre SA (KLPEF) come from?
Earnings per share at Klépierre SA grew +1.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.0 %, EBIT margin +0.7 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Klépierre SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
The market capitalisation of Klépierre SA is $13.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Klépierre SA is 6.70 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
Earnings per share at Klépierre SA are $5.27 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
The dividend yield of Klépierre SA is 4.5% (payout 36.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
The net margin of Klépierre SA is 82.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Klépierre SA is 13.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Klépierre SA is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
The operating margin of Klépierre SA is 65.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
Revenue at Klépierre SA is growing +1.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Klépierre SA (KLPEF)?
Earnings per share at Klépierre SA are growing +21.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Klépierre SA (KLPEF) carry?
The net debt of Klépierre SA is €8.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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