Kansai Paint Co (KPTCY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.8B

A solid business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• A fairly wide model range ($5.03 to $12.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
• Our model range runs from $5.03 (bear) to $12.55 (bull), base $9.50. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.29 – $12.46 · fair‑value band $5.03 – $12.55 · the $8.02 price screens below the $9.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Kansai Paint Co (KPTCY) currently trades at $8.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.50, implying the stock looks roughly 18.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kansai Paint Co generated revenue of $590B at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $22.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.03 (bear case) to $12.55 (bull case); at $8.02, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 18%, KPTCY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($11.16) versus Asset-Based ($3.95). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Kansai Paint Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells paints and coatings in Japan, India, China, Asia, Africa, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

Kansai Paint Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells paints and coatings in Japan, India, China, Asia, Africa, Europe, and internationally. The company offers decorative coatings for protecting exterior and interior of buildings; automotive refinish coatings for dents and scrapes; and industrial coatings that are used in industrial vehicles, steel furniture, agricultural machinery, special-purpose vehicles, exterior building materials, metal products, beverage cans, and precoated metals used in metallic building materials and home appliances. It also offers marine coatings; automotive coatings for vehicles, including new car body, plastic parts, and aluminum wheel painting, and automotive color design; and anticorrosion paint for bridges, power equipment, industrial plants, and steel structures, as well as offers fire-resistant coatings. In addition, the company provides coatings solutions through electronic materials coating design technologies; and develops hydrogel fluid carrier beads that are used in various types of wastewater treatment. Further, it designs, manufactures, and sells coating equipment; controls and undertakes painting works; designs color schemes; and manufactures and sells products in the biotechnology and electronics fields. Kansai Paint Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1918 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Kansai Paint Co reported revenue of $625B in FY2026 versus $419B in FY2022, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was $33.5B in FY2026, compounding +6.0%/yr from FY2022.

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Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.