Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. TRY 68.72, price TRY 78.85, upside -12.9%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.79 TRY – 145.50 TRY · fair‑value band 48.88 TRY – 88.54 TRY · the 78.85 TRY price screens above the 68.72 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. manufactures and sells iron and steel, coke, and coke-by products in Turkey. The company also engages in steel structure manufacturing and assembly; casting and machining; energy business; and intra-city and intercity freight transportation activities. Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.
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Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. manufactures and sells iron and steel, coke, and coke-by products in Turkey. The company also engages in steel structure manufacturing and assembly; casting and machining; energy business; and intra-city and intercity freight transportation activities. Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Karabük, Turkey.
Stock analysis
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB) currently trades at 78.85 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 68.72 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 14.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 49.75 TRY per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 78.85 TRY price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 26.97 TRY, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 48.88 TRY (bear) to 88.54 TRY (bull), the price of 78.85 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 66.7B TRY in FY2025 versus 14.8B TRY in FY2021, a compound +45.8%/yr. Reported net income was −1.7B TRY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 161B TRY (≈ $3.3B) · P/E ratio 524.0 · P/S ratio 2.55 · EPS (TTM) 0.2500 TRY · Net margin −2.5% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5% · Operating margin 6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 267% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −13%, KRDMB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 48.88 TRYFair Value 68.72 TRYBull 88.54 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1856 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+54.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +40.5% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.6% (2020) → 4.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 411 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−12.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.4% · Below median
Return on assets2.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)0.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−18.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.03× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KRDMB
Frequently asked questions
Is Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 68.72 TRY versus a price of 78.85 TRY, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KRDMB?
Our model-based fair value for Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 68.72 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 78.85 TRY.
What is the quality score of KRDMB?
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 68.72 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario 48.88 TRY, optimistic scenario 88.54 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 68.72 TRY, about −13% upside versus a price of 78.85 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 48.88 TRY, optimistic scenario 88.54 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 63.3B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. it is 68.72 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 78.85 TRY. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, KRDMB trades above its calculated fair value: price 78.85 TRY, fair value 68.72 TRY, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KRDMB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (78.85 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (68.72 TRY). For Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. the two are 10.13 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. worth?
The market values Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. at about 161B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 78.85 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 68.72 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KRDMB?
Our models span a range for Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.: cautious scenario 48.88 TRY, base 68.72 TRY, optimistic 88.54 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 78.85 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.4%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KRDMB from its 52-week high?
Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. trades at 78.85 TRY, about 46% below its 52-week high of 145.50 TRY and 267% above the low of 21.50 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 68.72 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 78.85 TRY, calculated fair value 68.72 TRY (−13%), Quality Score 35/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KRDMB calculated?
We run Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 68.72 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 78.85 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 68.72 TRY, about −13% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. right now?
A fairly wide model range (48.88 TRY to 88.54 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S.
How large is the market capitalisation of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
The market capitalisation of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 161B TRY (≈ $3.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 524.0 (as of Aug 13, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 2.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
Earnings per share at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. are 0.2500 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 524.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
The net margin of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is −2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
The operating margin of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
Revenue at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is growing −18.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +34.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB)?
Earnings per share at Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. are growing −51.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB) generate?
The free cash flow of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is −2.4B TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. (KRDMB) carry?
The net debt of Kardemir Karabük Demir Çelik Sanayi Ve Ticaret A.S. is 6.1B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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