Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Kretto Syscon Ltd ₹0.47, price ₹0.44, upside +6.8%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹0.3308 – ₹2.41 · fair‑value band ₹0.3500 – ₹0.6500 · the ₹0.4400 price screens below the ₹0.4700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow Kretto Syscon in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Kretto Syscon is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Kretto Syscon Limited does not have significant operations. It was previously engaged in the real estate business. The company was formerly known as Ideal Texbuild Limited and changed its name to Kretto Syscon Limited in April 2017. Kretto Syscon Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.
Stock analysis
Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS) currently trades at ₹0.4400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹0.4700, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.4%).
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹0.6900 per share, and 13 of the 22 models we run sit above the ₹0.4400 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹0.2500, and 9 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹0.3500 (bear) to ₹0.6500 (bull), the price of ₹0.4400 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Kretto Syscon Ltd reported revenue of ₹59.0M in FY2026 versus ₹34.8M in FY2022, a compound +14.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹20.2M in FY2026, compounding +83.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹298M (≈ $3.1M) · P/E ratio 15.7 · P/S ratio 5.36 · Net margin 34.2% · Return on equity 2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin −29.2% · Revenue (TTM) ₹21.2M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 7%, KRETTOSYS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹0.3500Fair Value ₹0.4700Bull ₹0.6500
Price ₹0.4400 · Upside +6.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Revenue growth 1 year
−49.6%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.9%
’19
’22
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+39.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+39.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−12% → 47%
2026 sits 165% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Infrastructure Operations · 65 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+6.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.9% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets2.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−29.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−92.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹0.4700 versus a price of ₹0.4400, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KRETTOSYS?
Our model-based fair value for Kretto Syscon Ltd is ₹0.4700 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹0.4400.
What is the quality score of KRETTOSYS?
Kretto Syscon Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹0.4700 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹0.3500, optimistic scenario ₹0.6500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kretto Syscon Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹0.4700, about +7% upside versus a price of ₹0.4400 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹0.3500, optimistic scenario ₹0.6500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
Kretto Syscon Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹21.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kretto Syscon Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -0.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 7 years revenue grew +41.9 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KRETTOSYS use?
Our models discount Kretto Syscon Ltd at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.12, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kretto Syscon Ltd that is -0.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS) delivered so far?
Over the past 7 years revenue at Kretto Syscon Ltd grew +41.9 % a year. The price currently implies -0.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kretto Syscon Ltd (-0.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.76 %: that much free cash flow Kretto Syscon Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kretto Syscon Ltd it is ₹0.4700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹0.4400. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kretto Syscon Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, KRETTOSYS trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹0.4400, fair value ₹0.4700, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KRETTOSYS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹0.4400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹0.4700). For Kretto Syscon Ltd the two are ₹0.0300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kretto Syscon Ltd worth?
The market values Kretto Syscon Ltd at about ₹298M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹0.4400; our models calculate a fair value of ₹0.4700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KRETTOSYS?
Our models span a range for Kretto Syscon Ltd: cautious scenario ₹0.3500, base ₹0.4700, optimistic ₹0.6500 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹0.4400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KRETTOSYS?
Kretto Syscon Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.7 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹0.4700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 5.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kretto Syscon Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 2.9%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KRETTOSYS from its 52-week high?
Kretto Syscon Ltd trades at ₹0.4400, about 69% below its 52-week high of ₹1.42 and 10% above the low of ₹0.4000 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹0.4700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kretto Syscon Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Transurban Group, China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings, Jiangsu Expressway Company, Shandong Hi-speed Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kretto Syscon Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹0.4400, calculated fair value ₹0.4700 (+7%), Quality Score 49/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KRETTOSYS calculated?
We run Kretto Syscon Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹0.4700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Kretto Syscon Ltd currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹0.4400. Our model-based fair value is ₹0.4700, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kretto Syscon Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (₹0.3500 to ₹0.6500) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Kretto Syscon Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
The market capitalisation of Kretto Syscon Ltd is ₹298M (≈ $3.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kretto Syscon Ltd is 5.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
The net margin of Kretto Syscon Ltd is 34.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kretto Syscon Ltd is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kretto Syscon Ltd is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
The operating margin of Kretto Syscon Ltd is −29.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
Revenue at Kretto Syscon Ltd is growing −92.9% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS)?
Earnings per share at Kretto Syscon Ltd are growing −91.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kretto Syscon Ltd (KRETTOSYS) carry?
The net debt of Kretto Syscon Ltd is ₹1.6M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Kretto Syscon Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Kretto Syscon Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
