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Kronos Worldwide, Inc (KRO) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $787M

KW Kronos Worldwide, Inc logo Kronos Worldwide, Inc KRO · US
Price$8.59
Fair Value$3.86
Upside-55.1%
Quality39/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -7.1% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
2.88% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range $3.12 – $4.56 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $1.93 to $3.86 (+100.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +46.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 55% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$15.71 $4.21 Fair Value $3.86 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.21 – $15.71 · fair‑value band $3.12 – $4.56 · the $8.59 price screens above the $3.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Kronos Worldwide, Inc (KRO) currently trades at $8.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.86, implying the stock looks roughly 55.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kronos Worldwide, Inc generated revenue of $1.9B at a net margin of -7.1%. Revenue grew 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -16.8%. Net debt stands at $540M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.12 (bear case) to $4.56 (bull case); at $8.59, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 117% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -55%, KRO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $1.55 $1.92 $2.26 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.55 $2.00 $2.47 61
NCAV (Graham) $3.26 $4.37 $6.53 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.55 $1.92 $2.26 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.55 $2.00 $2.47 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.26 $4.37 $6.53 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($4.37) versus Dividend Discount ($1.92). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.1%
Net margin -7.1%
Return on equity -16.8%
Free cash flow −$40.4M FY2025
Operating margin 3.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.16
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +125%
Net debt $540M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kronos Worldwide, Inc. produces and markets titanium dioxide pigments (TiO2) in Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.

Full company description

Kronos Worldwide, Inc. produces and markets titanium dioxide pigments (TiO2) in Europe, North America, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company offers TiO2 in two crystalline forms comprising rutile and anatase to impart whiteness, brightness, opacity, and durability for various products, including paints, coatings, plastics, paper, fibers, and ceramics, as well as for various specialty products, such as inks, foods, cosmetics, and pharmaceuticals. It also produces and sells ilmenite, a raw material used directly as a feedstock by sulfate-process TiO2 plants; iron-based chemicals, which are used as treatment and conditioning agents for industrial effluents and municipal wastewater, as well as in the manufacture of iron pigments, cement, and agricultural products; and specialty chemicals for use in the formulation of pearlescent pigments, and production of electroceramic capacitors for cell phones and other electronic devices, as well as for use in natural gas pipe and other specialty applications. In addition, the company provides technical services for its products. It sells its products under the KRONOS brand through agents and distributors to paint, plastics, decorative laminate, and paper manufacturers. The company was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Kronos Worldwide, Inc. is a subsidiary of Valhi, Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kronos Worldwide, Inc reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$111M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 11/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.9B
Latest YoY
−1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+2.8%
Revenue −1.0%/yr
FY21 $1.9B
FY22 $1.9B
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 $1.9B
FY25 $1.9B
Net income
FY21 $113M
FY22 $105M
FY23 −$49.1M
FY24 $86.2M
FY25 −$111M

KRO screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kronos Worldwide, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KRO

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −55% · Below median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.74× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.05× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.42× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.36× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 21 · sector 19
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 63 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 58 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kronos Worldwide, Inc (KRO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.86 versus a price of $8.59, about −55% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KRO?
Our model-based fair value for Kronos Worldwide, Inc is $3.86 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.59.
What is the quality score of KRO?
Kronos Worldwide, Inc has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kronos Worldwide, Inc (KRO)?
Kronos Worldwide, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KRO?
The net profit margin of Kronos Worldwide, Inc is about -7.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kronos Worldwide, Inc pay a dividend?
Kronos Worldwide, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.88% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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