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Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. TRY 23.15, price TRY 7.86, upside +194.5%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Defensive · TR · ISIN TRAKRSTL91A6

KK Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S.

KRSTL · IS

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value 23.15 TRY · Strongly undervalued (+194.5%)
!Quality 48/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +75.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/12)
!Moderate moat 52/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

17.76 TRY 1.25 TRY Fair Value 23.15 TRY Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.25 TRY – 17.76 TRY · fair‑value band 16.21 TRY – 30.10 TRY · the 7.86 TRY price screens below the 23.15 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. engages in the production and sale of pet bottles used in the cola and soft drinks in Turkey and internationally. The company offers sodad beverages, carbonated drinks, spring waters, non-carbonated beverages, mineral waters, energy drinks, and Balsa soda.

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Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. engages in the production and sale of pet bottles used in the cola and soft drinks in Turkey and internationally. The company offers sodad beverages, carbonated drinks, spring waters, non-carbonated beverages, mineral waters, energy drinks, and Balsa soda. It distributes and markets its products through a distributor company under the Kristal, CHAT COLA, HOT LINE, Balsa, and Rival brand names. Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. was founded in 1994 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL) currently trades at 7.86 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 23.15 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 66.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 60.03 TRY per share, and 13 of the 14 models we run sit above the 7.86 TRY price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 6.08 TRY, and 1 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 16.21 TRY (bear) to 30.10 TRY (bull), the price of 7.86 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. reported revenue of 3.2B TRY in FY2025 versus 256M TRY in FY2021, a compound +88.5%/yr. Reported net income was 252M TRY in FY2025, compounding +120.9%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 1.9B TRY (≈ $37.9M) · P/E ratio 5.4 · P/S ratio 0.42 · EPS (TTM) 1.46 TRY · Net margin 7.8% · Return on equity 17.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9% · Operating margin 9.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 195%, KRSTL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 16.21 TRY Fair Value 23.15 TRY Bull 30.10 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.08 TRY per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 16.21 TRY 18.74 TRY 20.93 TRY 74
ROIC Compounder 21.87 TRY 33.78 TRY 41.09 TRY 69
EV/EBITDA 23.92 TRY 31.83 TRY 39.74 TRY 67
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.92 TRY 62.19 TRY 87.27 TRY 61
Lynch FV 32.13 TRY 45.90 TRY 59.67 TRY 59
PEG = 1.0 32.13 TRY 45.90 TRY 59.67 TRY 55
EPV 16.21 TRY 18.74 TRY 20.93 TRY 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 20.65 TRY 27.54 TRY 34.42 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 16.72 TRY 22.29 TRY 27.87 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 16.72 TRY 22.29 TRY 27.87 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 25.16 TRY 33.49 TRY 41.82 TRY 66
EV/EBITDA 23.92 TRY 31.83 TRY 39.74 TRY 67
EV/Revenue 17.84 TRY 25.41 TRY 32.98 TRY 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.53 TRY 6.08 TRY 9.07 TRY 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 8.81 TRY 11.25 TRY 17.16 TRY 67
ROIC Compounder 21.87 TRY 33.78 TRY 41.09 TRY 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 42.02 TRY 60.03 TRY 78.04 TRY 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+63.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+75.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +44.4% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+97.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+97.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 12%
2025 sits 118% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

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Compare Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 88 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +194.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 17.6% · Above median
Return on assets 7.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 18.7% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.07× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.52× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)94 · sector 48
PAST (return on equity)70 · sector 53
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 52

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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The Coca-Cola Company KO $87.81 $29.32 −67%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $128.63 $96.95 −25%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $43.11 $47.42 +10%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$38.40 HK$42.24 +10%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP $101.73 $85.94 −16%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $31.95 $40.34 +26%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF $110.23 $107.03 −3%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹434.65 ₹187.49 −57%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥110.83 ¥173.16 +56%
Hebei Yangyuan ZhiHui Beverage Co 603156 ¥43.90 ¥17.77 −60%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KRSTL

Frequently asked questions

Is Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 23.15 TRY versus a price of 7.86 TRY, about +195% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KRSTL?
Our model-based fair value for Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is 23.15 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 7.86 TRY.
What is the quality score of KRSTL?
Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 23.15 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 16.21 TRY, optimistic scenario 30.10 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 23.15 TRY, about +195% upside versus a price of 7.86 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 16.21 TRY, optimistic scenario 30.10 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL)?
Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.6B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. it is 23.15 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 7.86 TRY. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, KRSTL trades below its calculated fair value: price 7.86 TRY, fair value 23.15 TRY, a gap of about +195% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KRSTL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (7.86 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (23.15 TRY). For Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. the two are 15.29 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. worth?
The market values Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. at about 1.9B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 7.86 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 23.15 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KRSTL?
Our models span a range for Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S.: cautious scenario 16.21 TRY, base 23.15 TRY, optimistic 30.10 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 7.86 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KRSTL?
Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.4 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 23.15 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 3.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 17.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KRSTL from its 52-week high?
Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. trades at 7.86 TRY, about 38% below its 52-week high of 12.71 TRY and 1% above the low of 7.79 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 23.15 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 7.86 TRY, calculated fair value 23.15 TRY (+195%), Quality Score 48/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KRSTL calculated?
We run Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 23.15 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. currently trades 195 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 7.86 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 23.15 TRY, about +195% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (16.21 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (16.21 TRY to 30.10 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S.

How large is the market capitalisation of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL)?
The market capitalisation of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is 1.9B TRY (≈ $37.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is 0.42 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL)?
Earnings per share at Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. are 1.46 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL)?
The net margin of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is 7.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is 17.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is 9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL)?
The operating margin of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL)?
Revenue at Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is growing +18.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +63.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL)?
Earnings per share at Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. are growing +65.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL) generate?
The free cash flow of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is −149M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. (KRSTL) carry?
The net debt of Kristal Kola ve Mesrubat Sanayi Ticaret A.S. is 48.0M TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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