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KSTUR Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TR · Market cap 10.5B TRY

K KSTUR KSTUR · IS
Price2,481 TRY
Fair Value436.94 TRY
Upside-82.4%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 7.6% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: High Range 327.70 TRY – 546.17 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Share price −10.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 82% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (546.17 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

9,722 TRY 159.20 TRY Fair Value 436.94 TRY May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 159.20 TRY – 9,722 TRY · fair‑value band 327.70 TRY – 546.17 TRY · the 2,481 TRY price screens above the 436.94 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

KSTUR (KSTUR) currently trades at 2,481 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 436.94 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 82.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, KSTUR generated revenue of 436M TRY at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue declined 18.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.6%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 327.70 TRY (bear case) to 546.17 TRY (bull case); at 2,481 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -62% fair-value upside, at -82%, KSTUR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 175.21 TRY 194.89 TRY 332.23 TRY 76
Growth DCF 1,350 TRY 2,614 TRY 4,686 TRY 72
Gordon GGM 36.40 TRY 75.68 TRY 120.05 TRY 70
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,431 TRY 2,214 TRY 4,706 TRY 38
Owner Earnings 283.25 TRY 559.66 TRY 1,140 TRY 31
5Y Revenue Exit 513.43 TRY 654.90 TRY 935.60 TRY 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 706.08 TRY 1,044 TRY 1,702 TRY 41
5Y P/E Exit 687.65 TRY 1,213 TRY 1,888 TRY 38
10Y Revenue Exit 783.11 TRY 1,210 TRY 1,348 TRY 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 927.79 TRY 1,625 TRY 2,726 TRY 37
10Y P/E Exit 914.35 TRY 1,586 TRY 2,593 TRY 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 135.05 TRY 941.84 TRY 1,322 TRY 54
Lynch FV 486.59 TRY 695.13 TRY 903.67 TRY 50
PEG = 1.0 486.59 TRY 695.13 TRY 903.67 TRY 46
EPV 322.69 TRY 365.38 TRY 402.73 TRY 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 36.40 TRY 75.68 TRY 120.05 TRY 70
DDM Multi-Stage 36.40 TRY 63.81 TRY 79.42 TRY 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 327.70 TRY 436.94 TRY 546.17 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 97.01 TRY 129.35 TRY 161.69 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 253.23 TRY 337.63 TRY 422.04 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 474.01 TRY 609.83 TRY 745.64 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 418.68 TRY 536.05 TRY 653.42 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 157.12 TRY 195.93 TRY 234.73 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 100.04 TRY 134.05 TRY 200.08 TRY 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,350 TRY 2,614 TRY 4,686 TRY 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income 175.21 TRY 194.89 TRY 332.23 TRY 76
ROIC Compounder 421.02 TRY 633.17 TRY 767.51 TRY 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 645.91 TRY 922.73 TRY 1,200 TRY 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (2,614 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (63.81 TRY). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 436M TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.7%
Net margin 7.6%
Return on equity 4.6%
Free cash flow 344M TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 9,542.3
More key figures
Operating margin -65.1%
EPS (TTM) 0.2600 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) +12.0%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 11
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kustur Kusadasi Turizm Endüstrisi A.S. constructs, purchases, operates, and rentals bungalows and villas in turkey. It also operates studio apartment blocks, hotels, motel rooms and similar tourist residence units, as well as buys and sells all kinds of touristic commodities. Kustur Kusadasi Turizm Endüstrisi A.S.

Full company description

Kustur Kusadasi Turizm Endüstrisi A.S. constructs, purchases, operates, and rentals bungalows and villas in turkey. It also operates studio apartment blocks, hotels, motel rooms and similar tourist residence units, as well as buys and sells all kinds of touristic commodities. Kustur Kusadasi Turizm Endüstrisi A.S. was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Aydin, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

KSTUR reported revenue of 458M TRY in FY2025 versus 19.8M TRY in FY2021, a compound +119.1%/yr. Reported net income was 84.3M TRY in FY2025, compounding +50.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
458M TRY
Latest YoY
−5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+64.2%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+51.1%
Revenue +119.1%/yr
FY21 19.8M TRY
FY22 103M TRY
FY23 374M TRY
FY24 483M TRY
FY25 458M TRY
Net income +50.4%/yr
FY21 16.5M TRY
FY22 56.7M TRY
FY23 231M TRY
FY24 93.9M TRY
FY25 84.3M TRY

KSTUR screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KSTUR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KSTUR

Peer Group

Lodging · 169 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -65% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -19% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.26× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.51× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 18 · sector 11
HEALTH 0 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 22

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $369.05 $135.64 -63%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $328.48 $123.67 -62%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $159.87 $85.18 -47%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $191.00 $47.69 -75%
H World Group HTHT $42.67 $47.55 +11%
Accor SA AC €47.25 €39.26 -17%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹743.20 ₹260.68 -65%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $78.54 $24.02 -69%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 113,500 KRW 36,890 KRW -67%
Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 16.00 SAR 11.64 SAR -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is KSTUR overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 436.94 TRY versus a price of 2,481 TRY, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KSTUR?
Our model-based fair value for KSTUR is 436.94 TRY (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2,481 TRY.
What is the quality score of KSTUR?
KSTUR has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of KSTUR?
KSTUR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 436M TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KSTUR?
The net profit margin of KSTUR is about 7.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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