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K.W. Metal Work Public Company (KWM) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TH · Market cap 440M THB

KW K.W. Metal Work Public Company KWM · BK
Price0.8900 THB
Fair Value1.38 THB
Upside+55.1%
Quality66/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 7.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.56% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range 1.05 THB – 1.71 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +3.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 55% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.05 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

5.62 THB 0.7600 THB Fair Value 1.38 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.7600 THB – 5.62 THB · fair‑value band 1.05 THB – 1.71 THB · the 0.8900 THB price screens below the 1.38 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

K.W. Metal Work Public Company (KWM) currently trades at 0.8900 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.38 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 55.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, K.W. Metal Work Public Company generated revenue of 347M THB at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue declined 31.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 32.1M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 1.05 THB (bear case) to 1.71 THB (bull case); at 0.8900 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 55%, KWM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 2.41 THB 3.00 THB 3.83 THB 80
Residual Income 0.8400 THB 0.8800 THB 0.9000 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 1.50 THB 1.87 THB 2.34 THB 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2.36 THB 2.98 THB 3.92 THB 38
Owner Earnings 0.7600 THB 0.9300 THB 1.17 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1.50 THB 1.83 THB 2.26 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1.76 THB 2.29 THB 2.92 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 1.74 THB 2.24 THB 2.79 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1.84 THB 2.17 THB 2.52 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 2.01 THB 2.45 THB 2.94 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 1.99 THB 2.42 THB 2.86 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.5400 THB 1.00 THB 1.24 THB 54
EPV 0.7600 THB 0.8400 THB 0.9000 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.5400 THB 0.7000 THB 0.8400 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.5400 THB 0.7100 THB 0.8800 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1.24 THB 1.65 THB 2.07 THB 63
P/S Multiple 1.00 THB 1.34 THB 1.67 THB 58
P/B Multiple 1.00 THB 1.34 THB 1.67 THB 55
EV/EBIT 1.19 THB 1.52 THB 1.85 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 1.50 THB 1.93 THB 2.36 THB 54
EV/Revenue 0.9100 THB 1.21 THB 1.51 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.5400 THB 0.7300 THB 1.08 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2.41 THB 3.00 THB 3.83 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1.50 THB 1.87 THB 2.34 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.8400 THB 0.8800 THB 0.9000 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 0.7600 THB 0.8400 THB 0.9000 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.8800 THB 1.26 THB 1.64 THB 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (2.24 THB) versus Dividend Discount (0.7000 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 347M THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -31.0%
Net margin 7.2%
Return on equity 4.0%
Free cash flow 123M THB FY2025
P/E ratio 18.0
More key figures
Operating margin 6.6%
EPS (TTM) 0.0500 THB
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -74.7%
Net cash 32.1M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

K.W. Metal Work Public Company Limited manufactures and sells parts and accessories for farm machineries primarily in Thailand. It offers disc, plough implements, screw flights, dozer blades, and rotary blades.

Full company description

K.W. Metal Work Public Company Limited manufactures and sells parts and accessories for farm machineries primarily in Thailand. It offers disc, plough implements, screw flights, dozer blades, and rotary blades. The company also engages in the sales and letting of equipment for extraction of substance from hemp and marijuana, as well as sales of products for cosmetic, pharmaceutical, food supplement, and feed industry. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

K.W. Metal Work Public Company reported revenue of 385M THB in FY2025 versus 567M THB in FY2021, a compound −9.2%/yr. Reported net income was 38.5M THB in FY2025, compounding −17.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
385M THB
Latest YoY
−25.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Revenue −9.2%/yr
FY21 567M THB
FY22 473M THB
FY23 459M THB
FY24 515M THB
FY25 385M THB
Net income −17.5%/yr
FY21 83.2M THB
FY22 30.5M THB
FY23 23.2M THB
FY24 51.4M THB
FY25 38.5M THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +0.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.0 pp

of which total revenue +6.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.8 pp

EBIT margin −4.7 pp
Tax rate −1.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "K.W. Metal Work Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KWM

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +55% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth -31% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.83× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.27× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 30
PAST 16 · sector 32
HEALTH 100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 71 · sector 40

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $952.41 $307.83 -68%
Deere & Company DE $597.24 $187.86 -69%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 336.60 kr 288.08 -14%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $126.20 $94.80 -25%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 251.90 kr 144.14 -43%
Exor N.V EXO €69.40 €219.41 +216%
Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 ¥18.65 ¥20.84 +12%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥8.39 ¥11.79 +41%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$41.00 HK$53.51 +31%
Yutong Bus Co 600066 ¥32.29 ¥42.00 +30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is K.W. Metal Work Public Company (KWM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.38 THB versus a price of 0.8900 THB, about +55% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KWM?
Our model-based fair value for K.W. Metal Work Public Company is 1.38 THB (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.8900 THB.
What is the quality score of KWM?
K.W. Metal Work Public Company has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of K.W. Metal Work Public Company (KWM)?
K.W. Metal Work Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 347M THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KWM?
The net profit margin of K.W. Metal Work Public Company is about 7.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does K.W. Metal Work Public Company pay a dividend?
K.W. Metal Work Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.03% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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