Lindbergh SpA (LDB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Lindbergh SpA €5.70, price €14.30, upside -60.1%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range €1.41 – €14.95 · fair‑value band €3.01 – €7.12 · the €14.30 price screens above the €5.70 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Lindbergh S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services in Italy and France.
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Lindbergh S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services in Italy and France. The company offers logistics services for networks of field maintenance technicians, including night distribution of spare parts, special waste and returns management, spare parts stock management, tools management and testing, and onsite services, as well as tools management and testing, PPE, and consumables services. It is also involved in circular economy projects, as well as servicing and installing activities in the heating, ventilation, and air conditioning sector. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Cremona, Italy.
Stock analysis
Lindbergh SpA (LDB) currently trades at €14.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.70, implying the stock looks roughly 150.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €7.47 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the €14.30 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.7600, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €3.01 (bear) to €7.12 (bull), the price of €14.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Lindbergh SpA reported revenue of €32.4M in FY2025 versus €13.6M in FY2021, a compound +24.1%/yr. Reported net income was €2.6M in FY2025, compounding +33.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €136M · P/E ratio 53.0 · P/S ratio 4.22 · EPS (TTM) €0.2700 · Net margin 8.0% · Return on equity 27.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.6% · Operating margin 12.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 180% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −60%, LDB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €3.01Fair Value €5.70Bull €7.12
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.1982 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+25.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+25.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 12%
2025 sits 163% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+54.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+12.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +51.2% a year for the price and +10.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
P/B14.14× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)4.66× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF117.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA35.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 8
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)83· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 62
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lindbergh SpA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LDB
Frequently asked questions
Is Lindbergh SpA (LDB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.70 versus a price of €14.30, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LDB?
Our model-based fair value for Lindbergh SpA is €5.70 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €14.30.
What is the quality score of LDB?
Lindbergh SpA has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.70 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.01, optimistic scenario €7.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lindbergh SpA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €5.70, about −60% upside versus a price of €14.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €3.01, optimistic scenario €7.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
Lindbergh SpA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €32.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lindbergh SpA would have to grow free cash flow by +54.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LDB use?
Our models discount Lindbergh SpA at 13.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.67, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lindbergh SpA that is +54.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lindbergh SpA (LDB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Lindbergh SpA grew +15.6 % a year. The price currently implies +54.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lindbergh SpA (LDB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lindbergh SpA (+54.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.95 %: that much free cash flow Lindbergh SpA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lindbergh SpA it is €5.70 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €14.30. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lindbergh SpA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, LDB trades above its calculated fair value: price €14.30, fair value €5.70, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LDB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€14.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.70). For Lindbergh SpA the two are €8.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lindbergh SpA worth?
The market values Lindbergh SpA at about €136M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €14.30; our models calculate a fair value of €5.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LDB?
Our models span a range for Lindbergh SpA: cautious scenario €3.01, base €5.70, optimistic €7.12 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €14.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LDB?
Lindbergh SpA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 53.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €5.70 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 14.1, P/S 4.7, EV/EBITDA 35.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lindbergh SpA (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 27.6%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LDB from its 52-week high?
Lindbergh SpA trades at €14.30, about 4% below its 52-week high of €14.95 and 180% above the low of €5.10 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lindbergh SpA?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lindbergh SpA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €14.30, calculated fair value €5.70 (−60%), Quality Score 56/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LDB calculated?
We run Lindbergh SpA through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €5.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Lindbergh SpA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €14.30. Our model-based fair value is €5.70, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lindbergh SpA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€7.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€3.01 to €7.12) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Lindbergh SpA
How large is the market capitalisation of Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
The market capitalisation of Lindbergh SpA is €136M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lindbergh SpA is 4.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
Earnings per share at Lindbergh SpA are €0.2700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 53.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
The net margin of Lindbergh SpA is 8.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lindbergh SpA is 27.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lindbergh SpA is 7.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
The operating margin of Lindbergh SpA is 12.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
Revenue at Lindbergh SpA is growing +23.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lindbergh SpA (LDB)?
Earnings per share at Lindbergh SpA are growing +24.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Lindbergh SpA (LDB) carry?
The net debt of Lindbergh SpA is €540K (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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