El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. (LIVEPOLC-1) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · MX · Market cap 135B MXN (≈ $8.0B) · ISIN MXP369181377
What is El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. really worth?
A solid business, trading 55% below our fair value of 220.59 MXN.
As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. is 220.59 MXN per share against a price of 100.13 MXN, so the fair value sits 120% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 263.70 MXN to 220.59 MXN (−16.3%) since Jul 19, 2026.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (117.64 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (117.64 MXN to 351.38 MXN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 68.85 MXN – 138.40 MXN · fair‑value band 117.64 MXN – 351.38 MXN · the 100.13 MXN price screens below the 220.59 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. (LIVEPOLC-1) currently trades at 100.13 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 220.59 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 54.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 238.33 MXN per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the 100.13 MXN price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 47.48 MXN, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. generated revenue of 229B MXN at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue declined 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at 15.1B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 117.64 MXN (bear case) to 351.38 MXN (bull case); at 100.13 MXN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 120%, LIVEPOLC-1 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 6.49 MXN per share, which is 2.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (238.33 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (47.48 MXN). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of department stores primarily in Mexico. The company operates through Liverpool Commercial, Suburbia Commercial, Real Estate, and Credit segments.
Full company description
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates a chain of department stores primarily in Mexico. The company operates through Liverpool Commercial, Suburbia Commercial, Real Estate, and Credit segments. Its stores offer various products, such as clothes and accessories for men, women, and children; household goods; furniture; cosmetics; shoes; perfumes; and other consumer products. The company is involved in the operation of liverpool.com.mx and suburbia.com.mx websites. In addition, it owns and leases shopping centers under the Galerías name; and provides credit cards under the Liverpool and Liverpool Premium Card name, as well as Suburbia and Suburbia VISA credit cards. Further, it operates boutiques under the Banana Republic, GAP, Pottery Barn, West Elm, and Williams-Sonoma names, as well as products under Weekend, Non-Stop, Contempo, La Mode, Metropolis, and Gianfranco Dunna names. The company was founded in 1847 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. reported revenue of 228B MXN in FY2025 versus 151B MXN in FY2021, a compound +10.9%/yr. Reported net income was 17.2B MXN in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Department Stores · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
| Dillard's, Inc DDS | $630.71 | $536.21 | −15% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.65 MYR | 1.59 MYR | −56% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Macy's, Inc M | $21.93 | $42.68 | +95% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | −72% |
| Central Retail Corporation CRC | 27.50 THB | 20.89 THB | −24% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 424,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | −58% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 96,700 KRW | 76,636 KRW | −21% |
| PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY | 940.00 IDR | 968.76 IDR | +3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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