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Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Loihde Oyj €11.34, price €13.05, upside -13.1%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · FI

LO Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Loihde Oyj

LOIHDE · HE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value €11.34 · Overvalued (−13%)
✓Quality 67/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·7.66% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (12/15)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Weak on valuation: 16 out of 100
!Weak on future: 19 out of 100
!Weak on past: 11 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€15.76 €8.37 Fair Value €11.34 Oct 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €8.37 – €15.76 · fair‑value band €8.51 – €14.18 · the €13.05 price screens above the €11.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Loihde Oyj, through its subsidiaries, provides digital development and security solutions in Finland and internationally.

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Loihde Oyj, through its subsidiaries, provides digital development and security solutions in Finland and internationally. It offers AI solutions, such as analytics, Al governance, Al agent, copilot for Microsoft 365 implementation project, and artificial intelligence and generative artificial intelligence; data management services, including data governance, data-driven sustainability, data catalogs, data harmonization and migrations, and data quality management services; and data solutions, such as reportage and information platform, mapping and takeover service, and support and maintenance service. The company also provides software development consulting, including design and user experience services. In addition, it provides cybersecurity services, including CSOC cyber security center 24/7, OT/ICS cybersecurity, administrative information security, identity and access management (IAM), customer identity management (CIAM), administrator access management (PAM), information security and protection assessment, information security testing, pilot IAM mapping, cloud security, and NIS2 directive. Its cloud and connections offerings include managed cloud, hybrid infrastructure, managed network 24/7, corporate network; cloud strategy, migration, transformation, development and modernization; Information network architecture design; and Microsoft Azure and M365. Further, the company offers security solutions, including camera surveillance, access control, time tracking, nurse call and personal security, fire safety, burglar alarms, alarm transfer, access management, locking key management, door and gate automation service, maintenance services, documentation service, and administrator services. The company was formerly known as Viria Oyj and changed its name to Loihde Oyj in May 2021. Loihde Oyj was founded in 1882 and is based in Vaasa, Finland.

Stock analysis

Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE) currently trades at €13.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €11.34, implying the stock looks roughly 15.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €17.53 per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the €13.05 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €2.37, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: €8.51 (bear) to €14.18 (bull), the price of €13.05 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Loihde Oyj reported revenue of €144M in FY2025 versus €104M in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was €2.3M in FY2025, compounding −23.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €75.1M · P/E ratio 11.8 · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) €1.11 · Dividend yield 7.7% · Net margin 1.6% · Return on equity 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −13%, LOIHDE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €8.51 Fair Value €11.34 Bull €14.18
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0808 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €16.27 €21.73 €28.41 82
Growth DCF €16.33 €21.09 €26.59 80
Owner Earnings €14.43 €19.21 €25.06 78
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €16.27 €21.73 €28.41 82
Owner Earnings €14.43 €19.21 €25.06 78
5Y Revenue Exit €10.41 €13.22 €16.51 74
5Y EBITDA Exit €20.52 €31.84 €44.83 75
5Y P/E Exit €12.08 €16.30 €20.54 72
10Y Revenue Exit €12.80 €15.72 €19.15 68
10Y EBITDA Exit €18.39 €26.68 €37.36 68
10Y P/E Exit €13.81 €17.53 €21.74 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €2.75 €8.01 €10.58 65
Lynch FV €1.66 €2.37 €3.09 61
PEG = 1.0 €1.66 €2.37 €3.09 57
EPV €4.27 €4.62 €4.91 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €5.19 €8.68 €11.27 68
DDM Multi-Stage €5.19 €7.58 €9.34 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €8.51 €11.34 €14.18 63
P/S Multiple €5.17 €6.89 €8.61 58
P/B Multiple €5.17 €6.89 €8.61 55
EV/EBIT €10.74 €13.88 €17.02 66
EV/EBITDA €27.00 €35.56 €44.13 67
EV/Revenue €6.08 €8.12 €10.16 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €7.36 €9.87 €14.73 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €16.33 €21.09 €26.59 80
Rev-Margin DCF €10.41 €13.51 €17.12 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €9.64 €9.18 €6.79 76
ROIC Compounder €4.27 €4.62 €4.91 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €6.71 €9.58 €12.46 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−22.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−4% → 2%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.5% a year for the price.

LOIHDE screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 383 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −13% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.7% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.8× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.01× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 8.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.16× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)16 · sector 16
FUTURE (revenue growth)19 · sector 48
PAST (return on equity)11 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 33

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Fortinet, Inc FTNT $178.74 $164.92 −8%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $413.06 $250.04 −39%
Block, Inc XYZ $74.68 $101.29 +36%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $86.90 $71.79 −17%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $192.91 $157.18 −19%

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€11.34 −15%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Loihde Oyj Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LOIHDE

Frequently asked questions

Is Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €11.34 versus a price of €13.05, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LOIHDE?
Our model-based fair value for Loihde Oyj is €11.34 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €13.05.
What is the quality score of LOIHDE?
Loihde Oyj has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €11.34 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €8.51, optimistic scenario €14.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Loihde Oyj stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €11.34, about −13% upside versus a price of €13.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €8.51, optimistic scenario €14.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
Loihde Oyj reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €144M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Loihde Oyj pay a dividend?
Loihde Oyj currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.66% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Loihde Oyj would have to grow free cash flow by -8.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LOIHDE use?
Our models discount Loihde Oyj at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.45, country premium for Finland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Loihde Oyj that is -8.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Loihde Oyj grew +6.2 % a year. The price currently implies -8.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Loihde Oyj (-8.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.44 %: that much free cash flow Loihde Oyj produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Loihde Oyj it is €11.34 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €13.05. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Loihde Oyj stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, LOIHDE trades above its calculated fair value: price €13.05, fair value €11.34, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LOIHDE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€13.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€11.34). For Loihde Oyj the two are €1.71 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Loihde Oyj worth?
The market values Loihde Oyj at about €75.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €13.05; our models calculate a fair value of €11.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LOIHDE?
Our models span a range for Loihde Oyj: cautious scenario €8.51, base €11.34, optimistic €14.18 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €13.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LOIHDE?
Loihde Oyj trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €11.34 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.2, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 14.5.
What is the PEG ratio of LOIHDE?
The PEG ratio of Loihde Oyj is 0.16 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Loihde Oyj (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 2.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LOIHDE from its 52-week high?
Loihde Oyj trades at €13.05, about 7% below its 52-week high of €14.09 and 25% above the low of €10.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €11.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Loihde Oyj?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Loihde Oyj stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €13.05, calculated fair value €11.34 (−13%), Quality Score 67/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LOIHDE calculated?
We run Loihde Oyj through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €11.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Loihde Oyj itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €13.05. Our model-based fair value is €11.34, about −13% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Loihde Oyj right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Key figures of Loihde Oyj

How large is the market capitalisation of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
The market capitalisation of Loihde Oyj is €75.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Loihde Oyj is 0.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
Earnings per share at Loihde Oyj are €1.11 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
The dividend yield of Loihde Oyj is 7.7% (payout 90.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
The net margin of Loihde Oyj is 1.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Loihde Oyj is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Loihde Oyj is −0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
The operating margin of Loihde Oyj is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
Revenue at Loihde Oyj is growing +3.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
Earnings per share at Loihde Oyj are growing +129% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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