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Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · FI · Market cap €69.5M

LO Loihde Oyj LOIHDE · HE
Price€12.35
Fair Value€8.10
Upside-34.4%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: High Range €6.08 – €10.13 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +0.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 34% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€10.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€15.76 €8.37 Fair Value €8.10 Oct 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range €8.37 – €15.76 · fair‑value band €6.08 – €10.13 · the €12.35 price screens above the €8.10 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE) currently trades at €12.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €8.10, implying the stock looks roughly 34.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Loihde Oyj generated revenue of €144M at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 31.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €6.08 (bear case) to €10.13 (bull case); at €12.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -34%, LOIHDE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €15.68 €20.23 €25.48 80
Residual Income €9.64 €9.18 €6.79 76
Rev-Margin DCF €10.12 €13.18 €16.73 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €15.62 €20.84 €27.22 38
Owner Earnings €13.77 €18.32 €23.88 31
5Y Revenue Exit €10.12 €12.90 €16.17 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €16.73 €25.07 €34.58 41
5Y P/E Exit €10.60 €13.78 €16.94 38
10Y Revenue Exit €12.36 €15.20 €18.58 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €16.04 €22.37 €30.41 37
10Y P/E Exit €12.72 €15.72 €19.08 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €2.75 €8.01 €10.58 54
Lynch FV €1.66 €2.37 €3.09 50
PEG = 1.0 €1.66 €2.37 €3.09 46
EPV €4.27 €4.62 €4.91 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €5.19 €8.68 €11.27 70
DDM Multi-Stage €5.19 €7.58 €9.34 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €6.08 €8.10 €10.13 63
P/S Multiple €5.17 €6.89 €8.61 58
P/B Multiple €5.17 €6.89 €8.61 55
EV/EBIT €8.38 €10.74 €13.09 53
EV/EBITDA €19.87 €26.05 €32.23 54
EV/Revenue €6.08 €8.12 €10.16 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €7.36 €9.87 €14.73 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €15.68 €20.23 €25.48 80
Rev-Margin DCF €10.12 €13.18 €16.73 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €9.64 €9.18 €6.79 76
ROIC Compounder €4.27 €4.62 €4.91 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €4.93 €7.05 €9.16 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€15.72) versus Earnings-Based (€2.37). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €144M
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.7%
Net margin 1.6%
Return on equity 2.7%
Free cash flow €10.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.9
More key figures
Operating margin 5.7%
EPS (TTM) €1.11
EPS growth (YoY) +129%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Loihde Oyj, through its subsidiaries, provides digital development and security solutions in Finland and internationally.

Full company description

Loihde Oyj, through its subsidiaries, provides digital development and security solutions in Finland and internationally. It offers AI solutions, such as analytics, Al governance, Al agent, copilot for Microsoft 365 implementation project, and artificial intelligence and generative artificial intelligence; data management services, including data governance, data-driven sustainability, data catalogs, data harmonization and migrations, and data quality management services; and data solutions, such as reportage and information platform, mapping and takeover service, and support and maintenance service. The company also provides software development consulting, including design and user experience services. In addition, it provides cybersecurity services, including CSOC cyber security center 24/7, OT/ICS cybersecurity, administrative information security, identity and access management (IAM), customer identity management (CIAM), administrator access management (PAM), information security and protection assessment, information security testing, pilot IAM mapping, cloud security, and NIS2 directive. Its cloud and connections offerings include managed cloud, hybrid infrastructure, managed network 24/7, corporate network; cloud strategy, migration, transformation, development and modernization; Information network architecture design; and Microsoft Azure and M365. Further, the company offers security solutions, including camera surveillance, access control, time tracking, nurse call and personal security, fire safety, burglar alarms, alarm transfer, access management, locking key management, door and gate automation service, maintenance services, documentation service, and administrator services. The company was formerly known as Viria Oyj and changed its name to Loihde Oyj in May 2021. Loihde Oyj was founded in 1882 and is based in Vaasa, Finland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Loihde Oyj reported revenue of €144M in FY2025 versus €104M in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was €2.3M in FY2025, compounding −23.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€144M
Latest YoY
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.8%
Revenue +8.4%/yr
FY21 €104M
FY22 €123M
FY23 €133M
FY24 €140M
FY25 €144M
Net income −23.8%/yr
FY21 €6.9M
FY22 €3.4M
FY23 −€619K
FY24 −€8.1M
FY25 €2.3M

LOIHDE screens 34% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Loihde Oyj Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LOIHDE

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −34% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.95× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.56× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 8.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.16× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 19 · sector 46
PAST 11 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €8.10 versus a price of €12.35, about −34% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LOIHDE?
Our model-based fair value for Loihde Oyj is €8.10 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €12.35.
What is the quality score of LOIHDE?
Loihde Oyj has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Loihde Oyj (LOIHDE)?
Loihde Oyj reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €144M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LOIHDE?
The net profit margin of Loihde Oyj is about 1.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Loihde Oyj pay a dividend?
Loihde Oyj currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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