Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT stock IDR 38, price IDR 108, that is 65.0% below the price, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 33.46 IDR – 2,290 IDR · fair‑value band 26.86 IDR – 56.68 IDR · the 108.00 IDR price screens above the 37.75 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 30, 2026.
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PT Lima Dua Lima Tiga Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the food and beverage business in Indonesia. The company operates through Food, Beverage, and Other segments. It operates restaurants and bars under the Lucy In The Sky brand name.
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PT Lima Dua Lima Tiga Tbk was founded in 2011 and is based in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY) currently trades at 108.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 37.75 IDR, 65.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 37.75 IDR per share, and 0 of the 5 models we run sit above the 108.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 9.36 IDR, and 5 of the 5 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 26.86 IDR (bear) to 56.68 IDR (bull), the price of 108.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT reported revenue of 82.5B IDR in FY2025 versus 14.4B IDR in FY2021, a compound +54.6%/yr. Reported net income was −43.2B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 182B IDR (≈ $10.0M) Micro · P/S ratio 2.63 · EPS (TTM) −24.68 IDR · Net margin −54.1% · Return on equity −95.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −16.6% · Operating margin −25.5% · Revenue (TTM) 69.1B IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 95% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −65%, LUCY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear26.86 IDRFair Value 37.75 IDRBull56.68 IDR
Price 108.00 IDR · Downside -65.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+47.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.8% (2020) → −67.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 203 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−65.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−51.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−54.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−25.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−32.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.45× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
P/B8.20× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)2.63× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 38
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)77· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 60
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LUCY.JK
Frequently asked questions
Is Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 37.75 IDR versus a price of 108.00 IDR, about 65% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LUCY?
Our model-based fair value for Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT is 37.75 IDR (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 108.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of LUCY?
Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 37.75 IDR (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario 26.86 IDR, optimistic scenario 56.68 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 37.75 IDR, about 65% lower versus a price of 108.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 26.86 IDR, optimistic scenario 56.68 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 69.1B IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 30, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +47.9 % per year. As of Oct 30, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LUCY use?
Our models discount Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT at 14.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.92, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (14.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT grew +47.9 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.11 %: that much free cash flow Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT it is 37.75 IDR per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of 108.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, LUCY trades above its calculated fair value: price 108.00 IDR, fair value 37.75 IDR, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LUCY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (108.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (37.75 IDR). For Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT the two are 70.25 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT worth?
The market values Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT at about 182B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is 108.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 37.75 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LUCY?
Our models span a range for Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT: cautious scenario 26.86 IDR, base 37.75 IDR, optimistic 56.68 IDR per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price 108.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −95.5%, debt of 0.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LUCY from its 52-week high?
Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT trades at 108.00 IDR, about 95% below its 52-week high of 2,290 IDR and 17% above the low of 92.00 IDR (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 37.75 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Yum! Brands, Inc, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price 108.00 IDR, calculated fair value 37.75 IDR (−65%), Quality Score 34/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LUCY calculated?
We run Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 37.75 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was 108.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 37.75 IDR, about 65% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (56.68 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (26.86 IDR to 56.68 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
The market capitalisation of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT is 182B IDR (≈ $10.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT is 2.63 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
Earnings per share at Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT are −24.68 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
The net margin of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT is −54.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT is −95.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT is −16.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
The operating margin of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT is −25.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
Revenue at Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT is growing −32.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY)?
Earnings per share at Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT are growing −41.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT (LUCY) carry?
The net debt of Lima Dua Lima Tiga PT is 10.0B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 57.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 30, 2026