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Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Luda Technology Group Limited stock $0.84, price $3.82, that is 78.0% below the price, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 8 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials US · Based in Hong Kong · ISIN KYG570191042

LT Luda Technology Group Limited logo Thin data Nov 2, 2026

Luda Technology Group Limited

LUD · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 78% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 45/100
Thin margins · 1.7% net margin (TTM)
Costs 127 times its yearly profit.
Fair value $0.8400 · Strongly overvalued (−78.0%)
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −12.4 %/yr in USD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 20/100
Thin data
Extreme value⟳ Cyclical⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$19.70 $3.20 Fair Value $0.8400 Feb 2025 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

20‑month range $3.20 – $19.70 · fair‑value band $0.6200 – $1.04 · the $3.82 price screens above the $0.8400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 2, 2026.

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Company profile

Luda Technology Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and trades stainless steel and carbon steel flanges and fittings products. It offers steel flanges, including blind, slip, plate, thread, and welding neck flanges; and steel fittings, such as elbow, reducer, cap, and tee.

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The company also trades steel pipes, valves, and other steel tubing products. Its products are used for construction of facilities, plants and equipment as well as some specific applications such as pressure equipment, marine and offshore applications.

In addition, the company serves the chemical, petrochemical, maritime, and manufacturing industries. Further, it has operations in the People's Republic of China, South America, Australia, Europe, North America, rest of Asia, and internationally.

The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Luda Technology Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Diamond Horses Group Limited.

Stock analysis

Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD) currently trades at $3.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8400, 78% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $0.6100 per share, and 0 of the 8 models we run sit above the $3.82 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.2000, and 8 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.6200 (bear) to $1.04 (bull), the price of $3.82 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Luda Technology Group Limited reported revenue of $33.5M in FY2025 versus $34.1M in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was $557K in FY2025, compounding −42.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $83.3M Micro · P/E ratio 127.3 · P/S ratio 2.48 · EPS (TTM) $0.0300 · Net margin 1.7% · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin −0.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 20 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −78%, LUD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.2000 to $2.84). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $0.6200 Fair Value $0.8400 Bull $1.04
Price $3.82 · Downside -78.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0256 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Owner Earnings $0.2900 $0.3300 $0.4000 75
Residual Income $0.5900 $0.6100 $0.6400 73
Graham-Dodd $0.1700 $0.2000 $0.2300 65
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.2900 $0.3300 $0.4000 75
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.1700 $0.2000 $0.2300 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.3100 $0.4200 $0.5200 63
P/S Multiple $0.3100 $0.4200 $0.5200 58
P/B Multiple $2.13 $2.84 $3.55 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3800 $0.5800 $0.7200 55
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.5900 $0.6100 $0.6400 73
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.2200 $0.3200 $0.4100 65

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 27
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 73
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 62
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 11
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 97
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−25.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−35.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−35.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → −3%

LUD screens overvalued: fair value 78% below the price. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 410 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −78.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 3.2% · Below median
Return on assets 1.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 1.7% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) −0.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −17.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.08× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 127.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 3.75× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.48× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)13 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)96 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥6.11 ¥8.07 +32% vs LUD
POSCO Holdings PKX $48.90 $44.09 −10% vs LUD
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.30 ₹148.06 −21% vs LUD
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,357 ₹1,029 −24% vs LUD
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €54.82 €36.10 −34% vs LUD
Reliance, Inc RS $417.00 $211.54 −49% vs LUD
Nucor Corporation NUE $244.97 $116.49 −52% vs LUD
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,165 ₹516.03 −56% vs LUD
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $222.90 $89.54 −60% vs LUD
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥1.99 ¥0.5400 −73% vs LUD

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Luda Technology Group Limited: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Luda Technology Group Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LUD

Frequently asked questions

Is Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8400 versus a price of $3.82, about 78% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LUD?
Our model-based fair value for Luda Technology Group Limited is $0.8400 (as of Nov 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.82.
What is the quality score of LUD?
Luda Technology Group Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.8400 (as of Nov 2, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6200, optimistic scenario $1.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Luda Technology Group Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.8400, about 78% lower versus a price of $3.82 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.6200, optimistic scenario $1.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
Luda Technology Group Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $33.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Luda Technology Group Limited it is $0.8400 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026), against a price of $3.82. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Luda Technology Group Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 2, 2026, LUD trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.82, fair value $0.8400, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LUD?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.82); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.8400). For Luda Technology Group Limited the two are $2.98 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Luda Technology Group Limited worth?
The market values Luda Technology Group Limited at about $83.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 2, 2026). Per share that is $3.82; our models calculate a fair value of $0.8400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LUD?
Our models span a range for Luda Technology Group Limited: cautious scenario $0.6200, base $0.8400, optimistic $1.04 per share (as of Nov 2, 2026, price $3.82). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LUD?
Luda Technology Group Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 127.3 (as of Nov 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.8400 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.8, P/S 2.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Luda Technology Group Limited (as of Nov 2, 2026): return on equity 3.2%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LUD from its 52-week high?
Luda Technology Group Limited trades at $3.82, about 68% below its 52-week high of $11.85 and 19% above the low of $3.20 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.8400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Luda Technology Group Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Luda Technology Group Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 2, 2026: price $3.82, calculated fair value $0.8400 (−78%), Quality Score 45/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LUD calculated?
We run Luda Technology Group Limited through 8 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.8400 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Luda Technology Group Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $3.82. Our model-based fair value is $0.8400, about 78% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Luda Technology Group Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (45/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Luda Technology Group Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
The market capitalisation of Luda Technology Group Limited is $83.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Luda Technology Group Limited is 2.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
Earnings per share at Luda Technology Group Limited are $0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 127.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
The net margin of Luda Technology Group Limited is 1.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Luda Technology Group Limited is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Luda Technology Group Limited is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
The operating margin of Luda Technology Group Limited is −0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
Revenue at Luda Technology Group Limited is growing −17.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD) generate?
The free cash flow of Luda Technology Group Limited is −$2.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD) hold?
Luda Technology Group Limited holds more cash than debt, $2.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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