Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Luda Technology Group Limited $0.84, price $4.18, upside -79.9%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $0.8400 · Strongly overvalued (−80%)
!Quality 41/100
!Weak Growth(revenue 3y −12.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers(1/11)
!Narrow moat15/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
19‑month range $3.20 – $19.70 · fair‑value band $0.6200 – $0.8400 · the $4.18 price screens above the $0.8400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Luda Technology Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and trades stainless steel and carbon steel flanges and fittings products. It offers steel flanges, including blind, slip, plate, thread, and welding neck flanges; and steel fittings, such as elbow, reducer, cap, and tee.
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Luda Technology Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and trades stainless steel and carbon steel flanges and fittings products. It offers steel flanges, including blind, slip, plate, thread, and welding neck flanges; and steel fittings, such as elbow, reducer, cap, and tee. The company also trades steel pipes, valves, and other steel tubing products. Its products are used for construction of facilities, plants and equipment as well as some specific applications such as pressure equipment, marine and offshore applications. In addition, the company serves the chemical, petrochemical, maritime, and manufacturing industries. Further, it has operations in the People's Republic of China, South America, Australia, Europe, North America, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. Luda Technology Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Diamond Horses Group Limited.
Stock analysis
Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD) currently trades at $4.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8400, implying the stock looks roughly 397.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.6600 per share, and 0 of the 8 models we run sit above the $4.18 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.2000, and 8 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.6200 (bear) to $0.8400 (bull), the price of $4.18 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Luda Technology Group Limited reported revenue of $33.5M in FY2025 versus $34.1M in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was $557K in FY2025, compounding −42.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $125M · P/E ratio 139.2 · P/S ratio 2.31 · EPS (TTM) $0.0300 · Net margin 1.7% · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9% · Operating margin −0.8%.
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −80%, LUD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.6200Fair Value $0.8400Bull $0.8400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0219 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−25.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.4%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−35.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−35.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → −3%
Compare Luda Technology Group Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 412 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Below median
Fair Value upside−80% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets−2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−18% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.08× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)139.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.62× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)3.72× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 2
PAST (return on equity)13· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)96· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 49
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Luda Technology Group Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LUD
Frequently asked questions
Is Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8400 versus a price of $4.18, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LUD?
Our model-based fair value for Luda Technology Group Limited is $0.8400 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.18.
What is the quality score of LUD?
Luda Technology Group Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.8400 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6200, optimistic scenario $0.8400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Luda Technology Group Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.8400, about −80% upside versus a price of $4.18 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.6200, optimistic scenario $0.8400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
Luda Technology Group Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $33.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Luda Technology Group Limited it is $0.8400 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $4.18. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Luda Technology Group Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, LUD trades above its calculated fair value: price $4.18, fair value $0.8400, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LUD?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.8400). For Luda Technology Group Limited the two are $3.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Luda Technology Group Limited worth?
The market values Luda Technology Group Limited at about $125M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $4.18; our models calculate a fair value of $0.8400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LUD?
Our models span a range for Luda Technology Group Limited: cautious scenario $0.6200, base $0.8400, optimistic $0.8400 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $4.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LUD?
Luda Technology Group Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 139.2 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.8400 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.6, P/S 3.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
Balance-sheet figures for Luda Technology Group Limited (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 3.2%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Luda Technology Group Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, Tata Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Luda Technology Group Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $4.18, calculated fair value $0.8400 (−80%), Quality Score 41/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LUD calculated?
We run Luda Technology Group Limited through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.8400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Luda Technology Group Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $4.18. Our model-based fair value is $0.8400, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Luda Technology Group Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.8400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Luda Technology Group Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
The market capitalisation of Luda Technology Group Limited is $125M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Luda Technology Group Limited is 2.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
Earnings per share at Luda Technology Group Limited are $0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 139.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
The net margin of Luda Technology Group Limited is 1.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Luda Technology Group Limited is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Luda Technology Group Limited is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
The operating margin of Luda Technology Group Limited is −0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD)?
Revenue at Luda Technology Group Limited is growing −17.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD) generate?
The free cash flow of Luda Technology Group Limited is −$2.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Luda Technology Group Limited (LUD) hold?
Luda Technology Group Limited holds more cash than debt, $2.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026