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Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (MAZDOCK) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹1.0T (≈ $11.0B) · ISIN INE249Z01012

What is Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited really worth?

MD Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited MAZDOCK · BSE
Price₹2,477
Fair Value₹1,088
Upside−56.1%
Quality53/100

A solid business, but trading 128% above our fair value of ₹1,088.

As of Aug 21, 2026, the fair value of Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited is ₹1,088 per share against a price of ₹2,477, so the fair value sits 56% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 20.1% net margin
Wide moat 66/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +26.3 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
Evidence: High Range ₹816.17 – ₹1,692

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +4.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,692). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹816.17 to ₹1,692) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹3,719 ₹92.96 Fair Value ₹1,088 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹92.96 – ₹3,719 · fair‑value band ₹816.17 – ₹1,692 · the ₹2,477 price screens above the ₹1,088 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (MAZDOCK) currently trades at ₹2,477, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,088, implying the stock looks roughly 127.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹2,405 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹2,477 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹162.03, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited generated revenue of ₹133B at a net margin of 20.1%. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 37.3. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹816.17 (bear case) to ₹1,692 (bull case); at ₹2,477, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −56%, MAZDOCK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹28.96 per share, which is 2.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence ₹649.53 ₹752.52 ₹844.07 74
ROIC Compounder ₹777.64 ₹1,082 ₹1,503 71
Owner Earnings ₹1,083 ₹2,405 ₹5,266 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹1,083 ₹2,405 ₹5,266 70
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹435.48 ₹2,957 ₹4,145 63
Lynch FV ₹867.88 ₹1,240 ₹1,612 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹867.88 ₹1,240 ₹1,612 57
EPV best evidence ₹649.53 ₹752.52 ₹844.07 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,009 ₹1,345 ₹1,681 63
P/S Multiple ₹482.41 ₹643.22 ₹804.02 58
P/B Multiple ₹816.17 ₹1,088 ₹1,360 55
EV/EBIT ₹922.74 ₹1,208 ₹1,494 66
EV/EBITDA ₹744.50 ₹970.70 ₹1,197 67
EV/Revenue ₹471.16 ₹644.82 ₹818.49 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹120.91 ₹162.03 ₹241.83 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹462.00 ₹629.40 ₹4,288 64
ROIC Compounder ₹777.64 ₹1,082 ₹1,503 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1,199 ₹1,713 ₹2,227 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹2,405) versus Asset-Based (₹162.03). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 37.3
P/S ratio 7.42 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹66.48 price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.3
Dividend yield 0.7% payout 27.9%
Net margin 19.9% FY2026
Return on equity 28.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 14.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹133B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.1% 3y avg +18.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +21.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −₹28.3B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited engages in building and repairing of ships, submarines, vessels, and related engineering products in India and internationally. It operates in two segments, Shipbuilding and Submarine.

Full company description

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited engages in building and repairing of ships, submarines, vessels, and related engineering products in India and internationally. It operates in two segments, Shipbuilding and Submarine. The company offers naval platforms, such as destroyers, conventional submarines, frigates, corvettes, missile boats, offshore patrol vessels, and floating border outposts. It also provides merchant ships comprising general cargo vessels, multipurpose support vessels, offshore supply vessels, tugs, dredgers, passenger cum cargo vessels, water tankers, barges, trawlers, and windmill towers and pontoons. In addition, the company offers offshore platforms and jack-up rigs for the oil sector. Further, it offers training ships, next generation offshore patrol vessels, and fast patrol vessels for coast guard ships. Additionally, the company provides AI products, such as remote operated vehicle, AI enabled phased array ultrasonic testing, and AI enabled computerized radiography. Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited was formerly known as Mazagon Dock Limited and changed its name to Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited in May 2015. The company was founded in 1774 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited reported revenue of ₹130B in FY2026 versus ₹57.2B in FY2022, a compound +22.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹25.8B in FY2026, compounding +43.4%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹130B
Latest YoY
+15.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+20.9% · in INR
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+20.2%
Dividend yield0.7%
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4.1% (2021) → 20.9% (2026) · rising
Revenue +22.7%/yr
FY22 ₹57.2B
FY23 ₹78.3B
FY24 ₹90.7B
FY25 ₹112B
FY26 ₹130B
Net income +43.4%/yr
FY22 ₹6.1B
FY23 ₹11.2B
FY24 ₹19.4B
FY25 ₹24.1B
FY26 ₹25.8B

MAZDOCK screens 128% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MAZDOCK.BSE

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −56% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 10.62× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.78× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 42.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

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10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

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Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $565.89 $419.01 −26%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $264.85 $50.43 −81%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $379.32 $274.32 −28%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (MAZDOCK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,088 versus a price of ₹2,477, about −56% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MAZDOCK?
Our model-based fair value for Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited is ₹1,088 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹2,477.
What is the quality score of MAZDOCK?
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (MAZDOCK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹1,088 (as of Aug 21, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹816.17, optimistic scenario ₹1,692. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹1,088, about −56% upside versus a price of ₹2,477 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹816.17, optimistic scenario ₹1,692. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited (MAZDOCK)?
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹133B (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MAZDOCK?
The net profit margin of Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited is about 20.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited pay a dividend?
Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.75% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).
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