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Malibu Boats, Inc (MBUU) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $547M

MB Malibu Boats, Inc logo Malibu Boats, Inc MBUU · US
Price$28.88
Fair Value$16.67
Upside-42.3%
Quality67/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: High Range $12.50 – $20.84 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +14.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($20.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$86.80 $23.96 Fair Value $16.67 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $23.96 – $86.80 · fair‑value band $12.50 – $20.84 · the $28.88 price screens above the $16.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Malibu Boats, Inc (MBUU) currently trades at $28.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.67, implying the stock looks roughly 42.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Malibu Boats, Inc generated revenue of $826M at a net margin of -0.1%. Revenue grew 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $11.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.50 (bear case) to $20.84 (bull case); at $28.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -42%, MBUU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $16.40 $26.07 $40.20 80
Residual Income $17.70 $16.52 $12.58 76
Rev-Margin DCF $13.01 $20.91 $31.30 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $16.72 $27.89 $45.40 38
Owner Earnings $15.04 $25.04 $40.69 31
5Y Revenue Exit $13.01 $21.01 $31.74 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $22.80 $41.52 $65.39 41
5Y P/E Exit $13.99 $23.07 $33.45 38
10Y Revenue Exit $13.93 $21.66 $33.31 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $20.21 $35.52 $59.44 37
10Y P/E Exit $14.83 $23.05 $34.63 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.15 $25.32 $34.91 54
Lynch FV $6.81 $9.73 $12.65 50
PEG = 1.0 $6.81 $9.73 $12.65 46
EPV $7.79 $8.72 $9.49 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.5200 $0.9400 $1.29 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.5200 $0.8600 $1.00 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.50 $16.67 $20.84 63
P/S Multiple $9.66 $12.88 $16.10 58
P/B Multiple $9.66 $12.88 $16.10 55
EV/EBIT $15.93 $20.91 $25.90 53
EV/EBITDA $28.63 $37.85 $47.07 54
EV/Revenue $11.05 $15.37 $19.70 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.12 $17.59 $26.25 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $16.40 $26.07 $40.20 80
Rev-Margin DCF $13.01 $20.91 $31.30 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $17.70 $16.52 $12.58 76
ROIC Compounder $7.79 $8.72 $9.49 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.77 $15.38 $20.00 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($23.07) versus Dividend Discount ($0.8600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $826M
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.1%
Net margin -0.1%
Return on equity -0.2%
Free cash flow $28.6M FY2025
Operating margin 4.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0500
EPS growth (YoY) -75.3%
Net cash $11.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 32
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Malibu Boats, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and sells various recreational powerboats. The company operates through three segments: Malibu, Saltwater Fishing, and Cobalt. It provides performance sport boats, and sterndrive and outboard boats under the Malibu, Axis, Pursuit, Maverick, Cobia, Pathfinder, Hewes, and Cobalt brands.

Full company description

Malibu Boats, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and sells various recreational powerboats. The company operates through three segments: Malibu, Saltwater Fishing, and Cobalt. It provides performance sport boats, and sterndrive and outboard boats under the Malibu, Axis, Pursuit, Maverick, Cobia, Pathfinder, Hewes, and Cobalt brands. The company's products are used for various recreational boating activities, including water sports, such as wakeboarding, water skiing, and wake surfing; and general recreational boating and fishing. It sells its products through independent dealers. Malibu Boats, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is based in Loudon, Tennessee.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Malibu Boats, Inc reported revenue of $808M in FY2025 versus $927M in FY2021, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was $14.9M in FY2025, compounding −39.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$808M
Latest YoY
−2.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−12.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+16.1%
Revenue −3.4%/yr
FY21 $927M
FY22 $1.2B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $829M
FY25 $808M
Net income −39.3%/yr
FY21 $110M
FY22 $158M
FY23 $105M
FY24 −$55.9M
FY25 $14.9M

MBUU screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Malibu Boats, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MBUU

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Recreational Vehicles · 37 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −42% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Recreational Vehicles median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.06× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.66× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 19.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 16 · sector 15
PAST 0 · sector 18
HEALTH 98 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Recreational Vehicles stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co 603129 ¥293.01 ¥199.10 -32%
Brunswick Corporation BC $80.45 $16.76 -79%
BRP Inc DOO C$85.96 C$86.81 +1%
Polaris Inc PII $67.40 $29.83 -56%
THOR Industries, Inc THO $72.86 $97.14 +33%
Trigano S.A TRI €149.60 €273.48 +83%
Patrick Industries, Inc PATK $82.70 $85.54 +3%
Harley-Davidson, Inc HOG $26.81 $64.09 +139%
LCI Industries, LCII $108.17 $156.35 +45%
Sanlorenzo S.p.A SL €38.30 €40.65 +6%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Malibu Boats, Inc (MBUU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.67 versus a price of $28.88, about −42% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MBUU?
Our model-based fair value for Malibu Boats, Inc is $16.67 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.88.
What is the quality score of MBUU?
Malibu Boats, Inc has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Malibu Boats, Inc (MBUU)?
Malibu Boats, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $826M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MBUU?
The net profit margin of Malibu Boats, Inc is about -0.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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