Malibu Boats, Inc (MBUU) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $547M
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +14.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 42% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($20.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $23.96 – $86.80 · fair‑value band $12.50 – $20.84 · the $28.88 price screens above the $16.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Malibu Boats, Inc (MBUU) currently trades at $28.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.67, implying the stock looks roughly 42.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Malibu Boats, Inc generated revenue of $826M at a net margin of -0.1%. Revenue grew 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $11.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $12.50 (bear case) to $20.84 (bull case); at $28.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -42%, MBUU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($23.07) versus Dividend Discount ($0.8600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Malibu Boats, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and sells various recreational powerboats. The company operates through three segments: Malibu, Saltwater Fishing, and Cobalt. It provides performance sport boats, and sterndrive and outboard boats under the Malibu, Axis, Pursuit, Maverick, Cobia, Pathfinder, Hewes, and Cobalt brands.
Full company description
Malibu Boats, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and sells various recreational powerboats. The company operates through three segments: Malibu, Saltwater Fishing, and Cobalt. It provides performance sport boats, and sterndrive and outboard boats under the Malibu, Axis, Pursuit, Maverick, Cobia, Pathfinder, Hewes, and Cobalt brands. The company's products are used for various recreational boating activities, including water sports, such as wakeboarding, water skiing, and wake surfing; and general recreational boating and fishing. It sells its products through independent dealers. Malibu Boats, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is based in Loudon, Tennessee.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Malibu Boats, Inc reported revenue of $808M in FY2025 versus $927M in FY2021, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was $14.9M in FY2025, compounding −39.3%/yr from FY2021.
MBUU screens 42% overvalued. Compare with Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Malibu Boats Named a Finalist in 2026 Coolest Thing Made in Tennessee Contest
- Malibu Boats Refinances Credit Facility on the Strength of Its Balance Sheet, Extending Maturity to 2031
- Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights YETI, Malibu Boats, MasterCraft Boat and Escalade
Peer Group
Recreational Vehicles · 37 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Recreational Vehicles median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Recreational Vehicles stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co 603129 | ¥293.01 | ¥199.10 | -32% |
| Brunswick Corporation BC | $80.45 | $16.76 | -79% |
| BRP Inc DOO | C$85.96 | C$86.81 | +1% |
| Polaris Inc PII | $67.40 | $29.83 | -56% |
| THOR Industries, Inc THO | $72.86 | $97.14 | +33% |
| Trigano S.A TRI | €149.60 | €273.48 | +83% |
| Patrick Industries, Inc PATK | $82.70 | $85.54 | +3% |
| Harley-Davidson, Inc HOG | $26.81 | $64.09 | +139% |
| LCI Industries, LCII | $108.17 | $156.35 | +45% |
| Sanlorenzo S.p.A SL | €38.30 | €40.65 | +6% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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