MCAP Inc (MCAP) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $197M
MCAP Inc
MCAP · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 41% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.89 – $45.38 · fair‑value band $3.54 – $5.85 · the $8.00 price screens above the $4.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
MCAP Inc (MCAP) currently trades at $8.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.69, implying the stock looks roughly 41.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, MCAP Inc generated revenue of $2.1M at a net margin of -62.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $24.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.54 (bear case) to $5.85 (bull case); at $8.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -41%, MCAP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($14.61) versus Asset-Based ($1.32). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MCAP Inc. develops and provides financial technology solutions for the global financial markets. The company focuses on electronic securities market making, application software development, and securities trading platforms.
Full company description
MCAP Inc. develops and provides financial technology solutions for the global financial markets. The company focuses on electronic securities market making, application software development, and securities trading platforms. It also offers electronic securities market making services, proprietary trading platforms, and financial technology products for institutional investors, broker-dealers, and companies. In addition, the company offers institutional customers with customized trading solutions and global market access; development of businesses that address the rapidly changing digital financial markets. The company was formerly known as MetaCap Inc. and changed its name to MCAP Inc. in March 2022. MCAP Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2010 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MCAP Inc reported revenue of $105M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2010. Reported net income was $7.0M in FY2025.
MCAP screens 41% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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