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MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of MCBC Holdings Inc stock $7.28, price $20.36, that is 64.3% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical US

MH MCBC Holdings Inc logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

MCBC Holdings Inc

MCFT · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 64% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Revenue last quarter +63% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +22.8 %/yr in USD)
Insiders bought $148,719 (6M)
Fair value $7.28 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 39/100
Loss-making · -0.5% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 22/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$34.70 $14.71 Fair Value $7.28 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $14.71 – $34.70 · fair‑value band $5.84 – $8.70 · the $20.36 price screens above the $7.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and markets recreational powerboats. It operates in two segments, MasterCraft and Pontoon.

Show moreShow less

The MasterCraft segment produces premium recreational performance sport boats primarily used for water skiing, wakeboarding, wake surfing, and general recreational boating. The Pontoon segment provides pontoon boats for use in general recreational boating.

The company also offers ski/wake and outboard boats, as well as various accessories, including trailers and aftermarket parts. It sells its boats under the MasterCraft, Crest, and Balise brands through a network of independent dealers in the United States and internationally.

The company was formerly known as MCBC Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. in November 2018. MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Vonore, Tennessee.

Stock analysis

MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT) currently trades at $20.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.28, 64% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $8.83 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the $20.36 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.38, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $5.84 (bear) to $8.70 (bull), the price of $20.36 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

MCBC Holdings Inc reported revenue of $349M in FY2026 versus $642M in FY2022, a compound −14.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.7M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $489M Small · P/S ratio 1.37 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0900 · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity −0.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 2.9% · Revenue (TTM) $349M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at −64%, MCFT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.84 Fair Value $7.28 Bull $8.70
Price $20.36 · Downside -64.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $7.65 $10.04 $12.86 82
Growth DCF $7.78 $9.96 $12.45 80
Owner Earnings $1.70 $2.24 $2.88 78
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.65 $10.04 $12.86 82
Owner Earnings $1.70 $2.24 $2.88 78
5Y Revenue Exit $5.09 $6.72 $8.62 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.44 $10.85 $14.58 76
10Y Revenue Exit $6.08 $7.62 $9.37 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $7.46 $10.09 $13.19 69
Earnings-Based
EPV $1.90 $2.16 $2.37 74
Multiples
EV/EBIT $6.87 $8.56 $10.24 66
EV/EBITDA $10.23 $13.04 $15.84 67
EV/Revenue $5.22 $6.68 $8.14 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9100 $1.38 $1.72 55
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.78 $9.96 $12.45 80
Rev-Margin DCF $5.09 $6.87 $8.81 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $1.90 $2.16 $2.37 72

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 24
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 47
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 75
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 46
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 49
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 20
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 29
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 19
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 3 officers or directors bought shares worth $148,719, most recently on Sep 18, 2026. Buying cluster

  • BuyPeter G LeemputteDirector1,265 shares at $19.73$24,958Sep 18, 2026
  • BuyRoch LambertDirector3,845 shares at $19.51$75,016Sep 15, 2026
  • BuyBradley M. NelsonChief Executive Officer, Director2,500 shares at $19.50$48,745Sep 15, 2026
  • SaleRobert Symmes MacArthur10% owner3× since Nov 10, 2025: 88,651 shares, avg. $23.53$2.1MFeb 20, 2026
  • BuyColiseum Capital Management, LLC10% owner134,807 shares at $19.65$2.6MDec 22, 2025

Plus 12 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
16.9% (2021) → 2.6% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+60.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
The revenue jump in 2027 (+77.3%) comes with 20% more shares (acquisition or merger paid in stock). Per share it is about +47.2%. The comparison above is unreliable in such a year.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.1% a year for the price and +56.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+77.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+68.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+60.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+52.2%
Projected 2031 (sales)+43.8%

MCFT screens overvalued: fair value 64% below the price. Compare with Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Recreational Vehicles · 32 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −64.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −0.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −0.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 2.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 63.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Recreational Vehicles median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.28× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 1.40× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 22.0× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 21.7× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1.35× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 26
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Recreational Vehicles stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Polaris Inc PII $63.07 $127.85 +103% vs MCFT
Trigano S.A TRI €135.60 €274.15 +102% vs MCFT
Harley-Davidson, Inc HOG $32.66 $65.04 +99% vs MCFT
LCI Industries, LCII $97.81 $167.42 +71% vs MCFT
Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co 603129 ¥317.58 ¥465.45 +47% vs MCFT
Patrick Industries, Inc PATK $78.79 $88.30 +12% vs MCFT
BRP Inc DOO $64.72 $71.19 +10% vs MCFT
Sanlorenzo S.p.A SL €36.52 €36.35 +0% vs MCFT
THOR Industries, Inc THO $80.77 $64.20 −21% vs MCFT
Brunswick Corporation BC $77.23 $59.39 −23% vs MCFT

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MCBC Holdings Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MCBC Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MCFT

Frequently asked questions

Is MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.28 versus a price of $20.36, about 64% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MCFT?
Our model-based fair value for MCBC Holdings Inc is $7.28 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $20.36.
What is the quality score of MCFT?
MCBC Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.28 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.84, optimistic scenario $8.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MCBC Holdings Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $7.28, about 64% lower versus a price of $20.36 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.84, optimistic scenario $8.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
MCBC Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $349M (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What growth is priced into MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, MCBC Holdings Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +12.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -5.6 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MCFT use?
Our models discount MCBC Holdings Inc at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.12, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For MCBC Holdings Inc that is +12.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at MCBC Holdings Inc grew -5.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +12.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into MCBC Holdings Inc (+12.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.41 %: that much free cash flow MCBC Holdings Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MCBC Holdings Inc it is $7.28 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $20.36. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is MCBC Holdings Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, MCFT trades above its calculated fair value: price $20.36, fair value $7.28, a gap of about −64% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MCFT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($20.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.28). For MCBC Holdings Inc the two are $13.08 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MCBC Holdings Inc worth?
The market values MCBC Holdings Inc at about $489M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $20.36; our models calculate a fair value of $7.28 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MCFT?
Our models span a range for MCBC Holdings Inc: cautious scenario $5.84, base $7.28, optimistic $8.70 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $20.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of MCFT?
The PEG ratio of MCBC Holdings Inc is 1.35 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
Balance-sheet figures for MCBC Holdings Inc (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −0.6%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MCFT from its 52-week high?
MCBC Holdings Inc trades at $20.36, about 26% below its 52-week high of $27.38 and 18% above the low of $17.21 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.28 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MCBC Holdings Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co, Brunswick Corporation, BRP Inc, THOR Industries, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MCBC Holdings Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $20.36, calculated fair value $7.28 (−64%), Quality Score 39/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MCFT calculated?
We run MCBC Holdings Inc through 14 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $7.28 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. MCBC Holdings Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $20.36. Our model-based fair value is $7.28, about 64% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MCBC Holdings Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Where does the earnings growth of MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT) come from?
Earnings per share at MCBC Holdings Inc grew −4.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.5 %, EBIT margin −15.4 %, tax rate +3.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of MCBC Holdings Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
The market capitalisation of MCBC Holdings Inc is $489M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MCBC Holdings Inc is 1.37 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
Earnings per share at MCBC Holdings Inc are $−0.0900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
The net margin of MCBC Holdings Inc is −0.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MCBC Holdings Inc is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MCBC Holdings Inc is 16.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
The operating margin of MCBC Holdings Inc is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
Revenue at MCBC Holdings Inc is growing +63.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT)?
Earnings per share at MCBC Holdings Inc are growing −8.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does MCBC Holdings Inc (MCFT) hold?
MCBC Holdings Inc holds more cash than debt, $43.9M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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