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Madhav Copper Limited (MCL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹1.5B

MC Madhav Copper Limited MCL · NSE
Price₹60.47
Fair Value₹28.11
Upside-53.5%
Quality58/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range ₹17.66 – ₹35.14 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +14.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹35.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹17.66 to ₹35.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹93.20 ₹23.00 Fair Value ₹28.11 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹23.00 – ₹93.20 · fair‑value band ₹17.66 – ₹35.14 · the ₹60.47 price screens above the ₹28.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Madhav Copper Limited (MCL) currently trades at ₹60.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹28.11, implying the stock looks roughly 53.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Madhav Copper Limited generated revenue of ₹2.3B at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 102.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. Net debt stands at ₹411M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹17.66 (bear case) to ₹35.14 (bull case); at ₹60.47, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at -54%, MCL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹11.49 ₹20.46 ₹34.54 80
Residual Income ₹14.80 ₹15.73 ₹17.35 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹28.16 ₹55.15 ₹111.27 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹12.32 ₹18.36 ₹36.41 38
Owner Earnings ₹26.38 ₹55.53 ₹109.63 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹25.21 ₹48.18 ₹96.57 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹23.35 ₹44.42 ₹85.81 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹17.97 ₹42.29 ₹75.63 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹19.87 ₹52.61 ₹75.96 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹19.74 ₹48.95 ₹101.17 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹16.15 ₹38.38 ₹75.26 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹11.24 ₹78.41 ₹110.03 54
Lynch FV ₹40.51 ₹57.87 ₹75.23 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹40.51 ₹57.87 ₹75.23 46
EPV ₹17.65 ₹20.17 ₹22.27 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹2.43 ₹4.38 ₹6.04 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹2.43 ₹4.00 ₹4.68 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹21.08 ₹28.11 ₹35.14 63
P/S Multiple ₹21.08 ₹28.11 ₹35.14 58
P/B Multiple ₹21.08 ₹28.11 ₹35.14 55
EV/EBIT ₹33.20 ₹44.53 ₹55.87 53
EV/EBITDA ₹28.07 ₹37.70 ₹47.32 54
EV/Revenue ₹28.66 ₹41.30 ₹53.93 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹9.25 ₹12.39 ₹18.49 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹11.49 ₹20.46 ₹34.54 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹28.16 ₹55.15 ₹111.27 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹14.80 ₹15.73 ₹17.35 76
ROIC Compounder ₹17.65 ₹22.54 ₹27.93 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹49.84 ₹71.20 ₹92.55 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹71.20) versus Dividend Discount (₹4.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹2.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +102%
Net margin 1.9%
Return on equity 9.4%
Free cash flow ₹26.2M FY2026
P/E ratio 35.6
More key figures
Operating margin 4.4%
EPS (TTM) ₹1.70
EPS growth (YoY) +69.8%
Net debt ₹411M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 86
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

M Tek Copper Limited manufactures and sells copper products in India. The company offers copper bus bars, strips, and rods; tin plated copper bus bars; paper insulated copper conductors (round/rectangular); kapton polyimide covered copper conductors; copper profiles; enamelled copper round winding wires; poly wrap subsmersible winding wires; fabricated …

Full company description

M Tek Copper Limited manufactures and sells copper products in India. The company offers copper bus bars, strips, and rods; tin plated copper bus bars; paper insulated copper conductors (round/rectangular); kapton polyimide covered copper conductors; copper profiles; enamelled copper round winding wires; poly wrap subsmersible winding wires; fabricated copper products/bus bars; oxygen free copper rods; copper earth rods (internal/external threaded); copper anode/phosporised nuggets and balls; silver bearing copper alloys; fiber glass/daglas covered copper conductors; and delivery spools, as well as tapped insulated copper conductors and bare copper wires. Its products are used in pumps, motors, transformers, generators, alternators, wind generators, panels, hydro generators, and switch gears; and automatic coil winding machines, as well as to fabricate in automatic CNC machines. The company exports its products. The company was formerly known as Madhav Copper Limited and change its name to M Tek Copper Limited in May 2026. M Tek Copper Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is based in Bhavnagar, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Madhav Copper Limited reported revenue of ₹2.3B in FY2026 versus ₹1.2B in FY2022, a compound +17.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹44.9M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 39/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹2.3B
Latest YoY
+88.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−44.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+56.1%
Revenue +17.6%/yr
FY22 ₹1.2B
FY23 ₹13.7B
FY24 ₹355M
FY25 ₹1.2B
FY26 ₹2.3B
Net income
FY22 −₹24.4M
FY23 −₹44.1M
FY24 ₹12.3M
FY25 ₹46.9M
FY26 ₹44.9M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +18.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +11.0 pp

of which total revenue +13.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.4 pp

EBIT margin +1.0 pp
Tax rate +2.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +4.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

MCL screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Southern Copper Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Madhav Copper Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MCL

Peer Group

Copper · 60 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −54% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 102% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.96× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.63× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 100
PAST 37 · sector 22
HEALTH 97 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 11 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Southern Copper Corporation SCCO $194.89 $85.17 -56%
Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX $69.22 $22.81 -67%
First Quantum Minerals Ltd FM C$44.14 C$10.06 -77%
Lundin Mining Corporation LUN C$36.91 C$18.67 -49%
Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 ¥46.47 ¥35.19 -24%
Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 ¥6.63 ¥3.06 -54%
Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM C$38.79 C$21.25 -45%
Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 ¥19.78 ¥6.39 -68%
Capstone Copper Corp CS C$15.66 C$7.15 -54%
Yunnan Copper Co 000878 ¥16.68 ¥7.46 -55%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Madhav Copper Limited (MCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹28.11 versus a price of ₹60.47, about −54% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MCL?
Our model-based fair value for Madhav Copper Limited is ₹28.11 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹60.47.
What is the quality score of MCL?
Madhav Copper Limited has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Madhav Copper Limited (MCL)?
Madhav Copper Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹2.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MCL?
The net profit margin of Madhav Copper Limited is about 1.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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