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McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.9B

MR McGrath RentCorp logo McGrath RentCorp MGRC · US
Price$119.75
Fair Value$133.64
Upside+11.6%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.70% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range $89.63 – $167.05 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +5.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 12% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($89.63 to $167.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $89.63 (bear) to $167.05 (bull), base $133.64. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$126.22 $62.07 Fair Value $133.64 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $62.07 – $126.22 · fair‑value band $89.63 – $167.05 · the $119.75 price screens below the $133.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) currently trades at $119.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $133.64, implying the stock looks roughly 11.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, McGrath RentCorp generated revenue of $947M at a net margin of 16.4%. Revenue grew 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. Net debt stands at $528M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $89.63 (bear case) to $167.05 (bull case); at $119.75, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 12%, MGRC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $86.72 $141.70 $224.12 80
Residual Income $46.69 $55.64 $113.44 76
Rev-Margin DCF $53.94 $87.11 $126.94 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $86.03 $142.73 $229.03 38
Owner Earnings $89.53 $148.30 $237.74 31
5Y Revenue Exit $53.94 $86.40 $127.37 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $104.66 $183.97 $278.44 41
5Y P/E Exit $81.96 $140.30 $202.75 38
10Y Revenue Exit $63.35 $96.01 $139.66 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $96.79 $163.24 $255.35 37
10Y P/E Exit $82.48 $133.15 $197.38 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $43.27 $153.45 $206.56 54
Lynch FV $35.99 $51.42 $66.85 50
PEG = 1.0 $35.99 $51.42 $66.85 46
EPV $59.16 $70.11 $79.56 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $17.13 $34.13 $51.68 70
DDM Multi-Stage $17.13 $29.49 $36.02 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $100.23 $133.64 $167.05 63
P/S Multiple $57.66 $76.89 $96.11 58
P/B Multiple $81.14 $108.19 $135.23 55
EV/EBIT $116.54 $158.78 $201.01 53
EV/EBITDA $129.23 $175.69 $222.16 54
EV/Revenue $38.27 $59.03 $79.79 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $25.18 $33.74 $50.36 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $86.72 $141.70 $224.12 80
Rev-Margin DCF $53.94 $87.11 $126.94 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $46.69 $55.64 $113.44 76
ROIC Compounder $61.88 $82.14 $108.49 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $69.38 $99.12 $128.85 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($140.30) versus Dividend Discount ($29.49). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $947M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.6%
Net margin 16.4%
Return on equity 13.1%
Free cash flow $211M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.5
More key figures
Operating margin 21.9%
EPS (TTM) $6.30
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -4.3%
Net debt $528M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

McGrath RentCorp operates as a business-to-business rental company in the United States and internationally. The company also engages in renting and selling relocatable modular buildings, portable storage containers, and electronic test equipment. The company operates through four segments: Mobile Modular, Portable Storage, TRS-RenTelco, and Enviroplex.

Full company description

McGrath RentCorp operates as a business-to-business rental company in the United States and internationally. The company also engages in renting and selling relocatable modular buildings, portable storage containers, and electronic test equipment. The company operates through four segments: Mobile Modular, Portable Storage, TRS-RenTelco, and Enviroplex. The Mobile Modular segment rents and sells modular buildings designed for use as classrooms, temporary offices adjacent to existing facilities, sales offices, construction field offices, restroom buildings, health care clinics, childcare facilities, office spaces, and various other purposes. The Portable Storage segment offers steel containers, such as storage and office containers, to provide temporary storage solutions to construction, retail, commercial and industrial, energy and petrochemical, manufacturing, education, and healthcare markets. The TRS-RenTelco segment rents and sells general purpose electronic test equipment, such as oscilloscopes, amplifiers, analyzers, signal source, and power source test equipment primarily for the aerospace, defense, electronics, industrial, research, and semiconductor industries. This segment also provides communications test equipment, including network and transmission test equipment for various fiber, copper, and wireless networks to the manufacturers of communications equipment and products, electrical and communications installation contractors, field technicians, and service providers. The Enviroplex segment manufactures and sells portable classrooms directly to public school districts and other educational institutions in California. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Livermore, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

McGrath RentCorp reported revenue of $944M in FY2025 versus $617M in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was $156M in FY2025, compounding +14.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$944M
Latest YoY
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+14.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+11.1%
Revenue +11.2%/yr
FY21 $617M
FY22 $636M
FY23 $832M
FY24 $911M
FY25 $944M
Net income +14.9%/yr
FY21 $89.7M
FY22 $115M
FY23 $175M
FY24 $232M
FY25 $156M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "McGrath RentCorp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MGRC

Peer Group

Rental & Leasing Services · 97 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +12% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.20× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.32× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.03× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.17× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 49 · sector 49
FUTURE 8 · sector 16
PAST 52 · sector 26
HEALTH 90 · sector 70
DIVIDEND 34 · sector 34

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Rentals, Inc URI $1,045 $449.86 -57%
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB $73.41 $65.76 -10%
AerCap Holdings AER $146.97 $301.51 +105%
U-Haul Holding UHAL $67.35 $7.21 -89%
Ryder System, Inc R $273.06 $111.57 -59%
Ayvens AYV €11.57 €24.73 +114%
Localiza Rent a Car S.A RENT3 R$40.35 R$37.01 -8%
Element Fleet Management Corp EFN C$29.83 C$15.06 -50%
BOC Aviation Limited 2588 HK$77.40 HK$18.61 -76%
GATX Corporation GATX $178.48 $140.90 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is McGrath RentCorp (MGRC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $133.64 versus a price of $119.75, about +12% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MGRC?
Our model-based fair value for McGrath RentCorp is $133.64 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $119.75.
What is the quality score of MGRC?
McGrath RentCorp has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of McGrath RentCorp (MGRC)?
McGrath RentCorp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $947M (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MGRC?
The net profit margin of McGrath RentCorp is about 16.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does McGrath RentCorp pay a dividend?
McGrath RentCorp currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.82% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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