MMP Industries Limited (MMP) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹7.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +23.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 41% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹259.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹125.75 to ₹259.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹85.28 – ₹409.29 · fair‑value band ₹125.75 – ₹259.40 · the ₹350.00 price screens above the ₹207.52 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
MMP Industries Limited (MMP) currently trades at ₹350.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹207.52, implying the stock looks roughly 40.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, MMP Industries Limited generated revenue of ₹8.2B at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 11.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at ₹1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹125.75 (bear case) to ₹259.40 (bull case); at ₹350.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -41%, MMP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹296.24) versus Growth DCF (₹27.55). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MMP Industries Limited engages in the manufacture, sale, distribution, and trade of aluminium products in India. The company operates in four segments: Aluminium Powders and Pastes, Aluminium Conductors, Aluminium Foils, and Others.
Full company description
MMP Industries Limited engages in the manufacture, sale, distribution, and trade of aluminium products in India. The company operates in four segments: Aluminium Powders and Pastes, Aluminium Conductors, Aluminium Foils, and Others. It offers pyro, flake, and atomized aluminum powders for use in various sectors, including construction and mining, agriculture, defense, firecrackers, railways, etc.; aluminum pastes; and aluminum conductors and cables used by the power sector. It also provides aluminum foils that are used in pharmaceutical and food packaging applications; and manganese oxide/dioxide, washers, circlips, and coal products. It also engages in trading and manufacturing of MnO and MnO2 Powder. It exports its products to countries in Europe, the Middle-East, and Africa. The company was formerly known as Maharashtra Metal Powders Limited and changed its name to MMP Industries Limited in June 2012. MMP Industries Limited was incorporated in 1973 and is based in Nagpur, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
MMP Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹8.2B in FY2026 versus ₹4.5B in FY2022, a compound +16.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹310M in FY2026, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +16.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
MMP screens 41% overvalued. Compare with Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding →
Peer Group
Aluminum · 82 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 | ¥21.34 | ¥23.44 | +10% |
| China Hongqiao Group 1378 | HK$24.44 | HK$45.58 | +86% |
| Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO | ₹1,046 | ₹1,026 | -2% |
| Aluminum Corporation 601600 | ¥9.94 | ¥16.30 | +64% |
| Norsk Hydro ASA NHY | kr 90.02 | kr 58.10 | -35% |
| Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 | 7.99 MYR | 3.88 MYR | -51% |
| Alcoa Corporation AAI | A$73.19 | A$49.53 | -32% |
| Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 | ¥27.44 | ¥29.68 | +8% |
| Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 | ¥27.24 | ¥30.28 | +11% |
| Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 | ¥14.27 | ¥21.86 | +53% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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