Montauk Renewables, Inc (MNTK) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $226M

Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.5600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.12 – $20.32 · fair‑value band $0.3400 – $0.5600 · the $1.79 price screens above the $0.4400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Montauk Renewables, Inc (MNTK) currently trades at $1.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.4400, implying the stock looks roughly 75.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Montauk Renewables, Inc generated revenue of $180M at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue grew 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. Net debt stands at $114M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.3400 (bear case) to $0.5600 (bull case); at $1.79, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -75%, MNTK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($1.24) versus Earnings-Based ($0.0600). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Montauk Renewables, Inc., a renewable energy company, engages in recovery and processing of biogas from landfills and other non-fossil fuel sources. It operates in two segments, Renewable Natural Gas and Renewable Electricity Generation. The company develops, owns, and operates renewable natural gas (RNG) and renewable electricity projects.

Full company description

Montauk Renewables, Inc., a renewable energy company, engages in recovery and processing of biogas from landfills and other non-fossil fuel sources. It operates in two segments, Renewable Natural Gas and Renewable Electricity Generation. The company develops, owns, and operates renewable natural gas (RNG) and renewable electricity projects. It captures methane, prevents it from being released into the atmosphere, and converts it into either RNG or electrical power for the electrical grid. The company's customers for RNG and renewable identification numbers (RIN) include large, long-term owner-operators of landfills and livestock farms, local utilities, and large refiners in the natural gas and refining sectors. Montauk Renewables, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Montauk Renewables, Inc reported revenue of $176M in FY2025 versus $148M in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was $1.7M in FY2025.

MNTK screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.