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MPC Container Ships ASA (MPCC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · NO · Market cap 12.0B NOK

MC MPC Container Ships ASA MPCC · OL
Pricekr 24.26
Fair Valuekr 8.79
Upside-63.8%
Quality58/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 42.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.76% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 82/100
Evidence: High Range kr 6.03 – kr 16.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from kr 9.67 to kr 8.79 (−9.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 64% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 16.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (kr 6.03 to kr 16.07). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 26.62 kr 3.57 Fair Value kr 8.79 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 3.57 – kr 26.62 · fair‑value band kr 6.03 – kr 16.07 · the kr 24.26 price screens above the kr 8.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

MPC Container Ships ASA (MPCC) currently trades at kr 24.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 8.79, implying the stock looks roughly 63.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, MPC Container Ships ASA generated revenue of 510M NOK at a net margin of 42.8%. Revenue declined 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.5%. Net debt stands at 158M NOK. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 6.03 (bear case) to kr 16.07 (bull case); at kr 24.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -64%, MPCC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 4.55 kr 9.49 kr 18.52 80
Residual Income kr 3.15 kr 4.01 kr 17.63 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 2.22 kr 3.84 kr 6.17 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 4.72 kr 8.52 kr 18.63 38
Owner Earnings kr 5.34 kr 11.70 kr 24.46 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 2.22 kr 3.78 kr 6.13 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 5.95 kr 12.11 kr 21.24 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 6.47 kr 13.62 kr 22.61 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 2.91 kr 4.90 kr 7.60 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 5.55 kr 11.56 kr 22.17 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 5.92 kr 12.51 kr 23.44 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 3.30 kr 21.12 kr 29.53 54
Lynch FV kr 6.12 kr 8.74 kr 11.36 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 6.12 kr 8.74 kr 11.36 46
EPV kr 4.41 kr 5.17 kr 5.84 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 2.26 kr 4.69 kr 7.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 2.26 kr 3.96 kr 4.92 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 7.65 kr 10.20 kr 12.76 63
P/S Multiple kr 1.59 kr 2.12 kr 2.65 58
P/B Multiple kr 6.20 kr 8.26 kr 10.33 55
EV/EBIT kr 6.65 kr 8.93 kr 11.21 53
EV/EBITDA kr 6.69 kr 8.99 kr 11.28 54
EV/Revenue kr 1.14 kr 1.72 kr 2.29 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.9500 kr 1.28 kr 1.90 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 4.55 kr 9.49 kr 18.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 2.22 kr 3.84 kr 6.17 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 3.15 kr 4.01 kr 17.63 76
ROIC Compounder kr 5.43 kr 7.89 kr 11.31 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 8.66 kr 12.36 kr 16.07 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 12.36) versus Asset-Based (kr 1.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 510M NOK
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.4%
Net margin 42.8%
Return on equity 24.5%
Free cash flow 161M NOK FY2025
P/E ratio 5.0
More key figures
Operating margin 38.4%
EPS (TTM) kr 4.91
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -30.8%
Net debt 158M NOK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 66
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 24
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MPC Container Ships ASA, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates a portfolio of container vessels in Intra-Asia, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally.

Full company description

MPC Container Ships ASA, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates a portfolio of container vessels in Intra-Asia, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. The company invests in maritime assets; and charters out small- to mid-size vessels through time-charter agreements to global liner shipping companies and regional carriers serving intra-regional trade lanes, as well as operates and sells vessels. It serves charterers and port calls. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated a fleet of 51 vessels with an aggregate capacity of approximately 129,192 twenty-foot equivalent units. MPC Container Ships ASA was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MPC Container Ships ASA reported revenue of kr 518M in FY2025 versus kr 410M in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was kr 237M in FY2025, compounding +5.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
518M NOK
Latest YoY
−4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+24.5%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+48.9%
Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY21 kr 410M
FY22 kr 669M
FY23 kr 711M
FY24 kr 540M
FY25 kr 518M
Net income +5.7%/yr
FY21 kr 190M
FY22 kr 435M
FY23 kr 325M
FY24 kr 267M
FY25 kr 237M

MPCC screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MPC Container Ships ASA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MPCC

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −64% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 43% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.47× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.35× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.46× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 98 · sector 27
HEALTH 76 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 15 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MPC Container Ships ASA (MPCC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 8.79 versus a price of kr 24.26, about −64% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MPCC?
Our model-based fair value for MPC Container Ships ASA is kr 8.79 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 24.26.
What is the quality score of MPCC?
MPC Container Ships ASA has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MPC Container Ships ASA (MPCC)?
MPC Container Ships ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 510M NOK (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MPCC?
The net profit margin of MPC Container Ships ASA is about 42.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 42.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MPC Container Ships ASA pay a dividend?
MPC Container Ships ASA currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.95% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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