Macau Property Opportunities Fund Ltd (MPO) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · GB · Market cap 3.0M GBX · ISIN GG00BGDYFV61
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 28, 2026, revised from £0.1174 to £0.0856 (−27.1%) since Aug 20, 2026. Share price −19.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, trading 42% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (£0.0722). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.0493 – £0.6975 · fair‑value band £0.0722 – £0.1161 · the £0.0493 price screens below the £0.0856 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Macau Property Opportunities Fund Ltd (MPO) currently trades at £0.0493, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0856, implying the stock looks roughly 73.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at £4.2M. Revenue declined 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -59.9%. Net debt stands at £42.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.0722 (bear case) to £0.1161 (bull case); at £0.0493, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 74%, MPO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Macau Property Opportunities Fund Limited is a closed-end investment company which is only quoted property fund dedicated to investing in Macau, the world's leading gaming market and the only city in China where gaming is legalized. Macau Property Opportunities Fund Limited targets strategic property investment and development opportunities in Macau.
Full company description
Macau Property Opportunities Fund Limited is a closed-end investment company which is only quoted property fund dedicated to investing in Macau, the world's leading gaming market and the only city in China where gaming is legalized. Macau Property Opportunities Fund Limited targets strategic property investment and development opportunities in Macau. Its current portfolio comprises prime residential property assets. The Company is managed by Sniper Capital Limited, an Asia-based property investment manager with an established track record in fund management and investment advisory. Macau Property Opportunities Fund Limited was founded in 2006 and is registered in Guernsey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Macau Property Opportunities Fund Ltd reported revenue of £3.4M in FY2025 versus £6.3M in FY2021, a compound −14.3%/yr. Reported net income was −£11.3M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 547 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBRE Group CBRE | $147.40 | $69.47 | -53% |
| Vonovia SE VNA | €19.95 | €36.67 | +84% |
| Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX | €27.47 | €25.46 | -7% |
| KE Holdings BEKE | $17.42 | $6.57 | -62% |
| Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL | $386.08 | $290.25 | -25% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$24.84 | HK$5.12 | -79% |
| CoStar Group CSGP | $32.14 | $4.64 | -86% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$39.84 | HK$34.95 | -12% |
| CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI | 2.73 SGD | 0.4900 SGD | -82% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,989 CLP | 4,571 CLP | +15% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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