Melcor Developments Ltd (MRD) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · CA · Market cap C$560M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from C$46.58 to C$45.98 (−1.3%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −3.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 149% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (C$25.99). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (C$25.99 to C$63.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$8.24 – C$19.47 · fair‑value band C$25.99 – C$63.83 · the C$18.50 price screens below the C$45.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Melcor Developments Ltd (MRD) currently trades at C$18.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$45.98, implying the stock looks roughly 148.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Melcor Developments Ltd generated revenue of C$405M at a net margin of 18.8%. Revenue declined 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at C$474M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$25.99 (bear case) to C$63.83 (bull case); at C$18.50, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 149%, MRD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$53.66) versus Dividend Discount (C$6.17). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Melcor Developments Ltd. operates as a real estate development company in the United States and Canada. The company operates through Land, Properties, and Golf divisions. The company develops, owns, and manages mixed-use residential, business industrial parks, office buildings, retail commercial centers, and golf courses.
Full company description
Melcor Developments Ltd. operates as a real estate development company in the United States and Canada. The company operates through Land, Properties, and Golf divisions. The company develops, owns, and manages mixed-use residential, business industrial parks, office buildings, retail commercial centers, and golf courses. It also purchases and develops land to be sold as residential communities, industrial, and commercial projects; develops and leases retail, office, and industrial properties; and owns and leases commercial, retail, and residential properties, as well as parking lots and land. In addition, the company owns and manages 18-hole golf courses. The company was founded in 1923 and is based in Edmonton, Canada. Melcor Developments Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Melton Holdings Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Melcor Developments Ltd reported revenue of C$411M in FY2025 versus C$316M in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was C$58.0M in FY2025, compounding +0.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 590 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹661.75 | ₹146.13 | -78% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,209 | ₹583.43 | -52% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,150 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 595.00 IDR | 1,488 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 73.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +15% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 610.00 IDR | 1,525 IDR | +150% |
| Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company KDH | 18,150 VND | 20,338 VND | +12% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,300 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +45% |
| PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS | 147.00 IDR | 164.33 IDR | +12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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