WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG (MSH) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · DE · Market cap €59.4M · ISIN DE0007016008
What is WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG really worth?
A solid business, but trading 14% above our fair value of €7.49.
As of Aug 20, 2026, the fair value of WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG is €7.49 per share against a price of €8.55, so the fair value sits 12% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price −5.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €7.21 – €15.42 · fair‑value band €5.62 – €9.36 · the €8.55 price screens above the €7.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG (MSH) currently trades at €8.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €7.49, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €11.41 per share, and 7 of the 22 models we run sit above the €8.55 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €2.15, and 15 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG generated revenue of €659M at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue grew 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.3%. Net debt stands at €61.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €5.62 (bear case) to €9.36 (bull case); at €8.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −12%, MSH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €0.0682 per share, which is 0.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€11.41) versus Dividend Discount (€2.15). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
Notify me when MSH reaches fair value
Put MSH on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG engages in the food business in Germany. The company operates through Retail and Wholesale segments.
Full company description
WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG engages in the food business in Germany. The company operates through Retail and Wholesale segments. It operates a bakery that sells bread, rolls, cakes, pastries and snacks, and daily meals; a butchery that provides meat and sausage products; a fruit and vegetable garden; and a wine cellar, as well as champagne under the WASGAU brand. In addition, the company sells wine accessories and spirits; coffee and espresso. Further, it offers coffee and espresso machines; and manual and electric coffee grinders through its online shops. The company was founded in 1925 and is based in Pirmasens, Germany. WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG operates as a subsidiary of Wasgau Food Beteiligungsgesellschaft mbH.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG reported revenue of €655M in FY2025 versus €565M in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was €2.4M in FY2025, compounding −25.9%/yr from FY2021.
MSH screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Sysco Corporation →
Peer Group
Food Distribution · 81 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $81.94 | $59.83 | −27% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $107.78 | $53.53 | −50% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $107.25 | $37.94 | −65% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €18.00 | €21.59 | +20% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.80 THB | 17.42 THB | +18% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $111.07 | $37.27 | −66% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.04 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +104% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $43.62 | $6.00 | −86% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $64.56 | $47.78 | −26% |
| Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 | ¥31.47 | ¥6.75 | −79% |
Compare WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG (MSH) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of MSH?
What is the quality score of MSH?
What is the price target for WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG (MSH)?
What is the WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG stock forecast for 2026?
What is the revenue of WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG (MSH)?
What is the net profit margin of MSH?
Does WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG pay a dividend?
Watch WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG in the live analysis
One click puts WASGAU Produktions & Handels AG on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.